{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2025223437","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","title":"Long-term drivers of broadband traffic in next-generation networks","display_name":"Long-term drivers of broadband traffic in next-generation networks","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-02-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2025223437","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","mag":"2025223437"},"language":"fr","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S164884734","display_name":"Annals of Telecommunications","issn_l":"0003-4347","issn":["0003-4347","1958-9395"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"annals of telecommunications - annales des t\u00e9l\u00e9communications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032363978","display_name":"Pavel Loskot","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2773-2186"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39586589","display_name":"Swansea University","ror":"https://ror.org/053fq8t95","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"P. Loskot","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, SA2 8PP, UK","Swansea University,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, SA2 8PP, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Swansea University,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087501698","display_name":"Mohamed A. M. Hassanien","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39586589","display_name":"Swansea University","ror":"https://ror.org/053fq8t95","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. A. M. Hassanien","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, SA2 8PP, UK","Swansea University,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, SA2 8PP, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Swansea University,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085285295","display_name":"F. Farjady","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","display_name":"Aston University","ror":"https://ror.org/05j0ve876","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"F. Farjady","raw_affiliation_strings":["Aston Institute of Photonic Technologies, Aston University, Aston Triangle, Birmingham, B4 7ET, UK","Aston University,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Aston Institute of Photonic Technologies, Aston University, Aston Triangle, Birmingham, B4 7ET, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Aston University,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068107481","display_name":"Marco Ruffini","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6220-0065"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I100930933","display_name":"University College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/05m7pjf47","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. Ruffini","raw_affiliation_strings":["CTVR, Dunlop Oriel House, Trinity College, University of Dublin, Dublin, Ireland","University of Dublin"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CTVR, Dunlop Oriel House, Trinity College, University of Dublin, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Dublin","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I100930933","https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113697214","display_name":"David B. Payne","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I100930933","display_name":"University College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/05m7pjf47","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"D. Payne","raw_affiliation_strings":["CTVR, Dunlop Oriel House, Trinity College, University of Dublin, Dublin, Ireland","University of Dublin"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CTVR, Dunlop Oriel House, Trinity College, University of Dublin, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Dublin","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I100930933","https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5032363978"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.0647,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":17,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.80297398,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"70","issue":"1-2","first_page":"1","last_page":"10"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12146","display_name":"Power Line Communications and Noise","score":0.9965999722480774,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12146","display_name":"Power Line Communications and Noise","score":0.9965999722480774,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12720","display_name":"Multimedia Communication and Technology","score":0.9947999715805054,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11165","display_name":"Image and Video Quality Assessment","score":0.993399977684021,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1707","display_name":"Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monetization","display_name":"Monetization","score":0.7784850597381592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7216935753822327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/broadband","display_name":"Broadband","score":0.6424167156219482},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.5660061240196228},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bandwidth","display_name":"Bandwidth (computing)","score":0.56110018491745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/traffic-generation-model","display_name":"Traffic generation model","score":0.5218331217765808},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/revenue","display_name":"Revenue","score":0.4794858396053314},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/key","display_name":"Key (lock)","score":0.44949978590011597},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/broadband-networks","display_name":"Broadband networks","score":0.44135791063308716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/telecommunications","display_name":"Telecommunications","score":0.4215657711029053},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/next-generation-network","display_name":"Next-generation network","score":0.4150159955024719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-network","display_name":"Computer network","score":0.3756447434425354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/the-internet","display_name":"The Internet","score":0.22423356771469116},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.11750131845474243},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-security","display_name":"Computer security","score":0.11355441808700562}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780602052","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q289845","display_name":"Monetization","level":2,"score":0.7784850597381592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7216935753822327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C509933004","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194163","display_name":"Broadband","level":2,"score":0.6424167156219482},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.5660061240196228},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776257435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1576430","display_name":"Bandwidth (computing)","level":2,"score":0.56110018491745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176715033","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2080768","display_name":"Traffic generation model","level":2,"score":0.5218331217765808},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195487862","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q850210","display_name":"Revenue","level":2,"score":0.4794858396053314},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.44949978590011597},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C125599584","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q15057100","display_name":"Broadband networks","level":3,"score":0.44135791063308716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.4215657711029053},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110994511","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q661020","display_name":"Next-generation network","level":3,"score":0.4150159955024719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31258907","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1301371","display_name":"Computer network","level":1,"score":0.3756447434425354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110875604","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q75","display_name":"The Internet","level":2,"score":0.22423356771469116},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.11750131845474243},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.11355441808700562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121955636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4116214","display_name":"Accounting","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S164884734","display_name":"Annals of Telecommunications","issn_l":"0003-4347","issn":["0003-4347","1958-9395"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"annals of telecommunications - annales des t\u00e9l\u00e9communications","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:publications.aston.ac.uk:26181","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/view/author/bdebe3c40d3ac0cc705c810c039a9eb9.html>,","pdf_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/id/eprint/26181/1/Long_term_drivers_of_broadband_traffic_in_next_generation_networks.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400483","display_name":"Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","host_organization_name":"Aston University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"PeerReviewed"},{"id":"pmh:oai:cronfa.swan.ac.uk:cronfa21283","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa21283","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401612","display_name":"Cronfa (Swansea University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I39586589","host_organization_name":"Swansea University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39586589"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Journal article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12243-014-0424-9.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S164884734","display_name":"Annals of Telecommunications","issn_l":"0003-4347","issn":["0003-4347","1958-9395"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"annals of telecommunications - annales des t\u00e9l\u00e9communications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","score":0.5799999833106995,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320316111","display_name":"Llywodraeth Cymru","ror":"https://ror.org/000wh6t45"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2025223437.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2025223437.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":21,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1483264354","https://openalex.org/W1967571649","https://openalex.org/W1973526014","https://openalex.org/W1977069073","https://openalex.org/W1978325612","https://openalex.org/W1988387398","https://openalex.org/W1998006735","https://openalex.org/W2041692099","https://openalex.org/W2045145506","https://openalex.org/W2048394167","https://openalex.org/W2070583349","https://openalex.org/W2077918276","https://openalex.org/W2093851615","https://openalex.org/W2095733742","https://openalex.org/W2103849785","https://openalex.org/W2112746910","https://openalex.org/W2130044239","https://openalex.org/W2155046794","https://openalex.org/W2164283051","https://openalex.org/W3028284721","https://openalex.org/W3123379484"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2118063329","https://openalex.org/W2375782580","https://openalex.org/W2383584427","https://openalex.org/W2031284563","https://openalex.org/W2023328260","https://openalex.org/W2121911981","https://openalex.org/W2133090907","https://openalex.org/W2388782569","https://openalex.org/W2068905021","https://openalex.org/W1584848975"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"is":[2],"concerned":[3],"with":[4],"long-term":[5,16,72],"(20+":[6],"years)":[7],"forecasting":[8],"of":[9,22,54,58,83,124,131,141,165,182],"broadband":[10],"traffic":[11,24,62,117,142],"in":[12,30,40],"next-generation":[13,171],"networks.":[14,172],"Such":[15],"approach":[17],"requires":[18],"going":[19],"beyond":[20],"extrapolations":[21],"past":[23],"data":[25],"while":[26],"facing":[27,36],"high":[28],"uncertainty":[29],"predicting":[31],"the":[32,37,43,81,101,125,132,138,166],"future":[33,95,133,183],"developments":[34],"and":[35,47,60,86,156,185],"fact":[38],"that,":[39],"20":[41],"years,":[42],"current":[44],"network":[45,134,191],"technologies":[46],"architectures":[48],"will":[49,91],"be":[50,66,77,92,176],"obsolete.":[51],"Thus,":[52],"\u201corder":[53],"magnitude\u201d":[55],"upper":[56,118],"bounds":[57,75,119],"upstream":[59],"downstream":[61],"are":[63,120,151,158],"deemed":[64],"to":[65,69,178,186],"good":[67,122,163],"enough":[68],"facilitate":[70],"such":[71,107],"forecasting.":[73],"These":[74],"can":[76,161,175],"obtained":[78],"by":[79,94,99,104,170],"evaluating":[80],"limits":[82,90],"human":[84],"sighting":[85],"assuming":[87],"that":[88,160],"these":[89],"achieved":[93],"services":[96,157,184],"or,":[97],"alternatively,":[98],"considering":[100],"contents":[102],"transferred":[103],"bandwidth-demanding":[105],"applications":[106,150,155],"as":[108,146,148],"those":[109],"using":[110],"embedded":[111],"interactive":[112],"3D":[113],"video":[114],"streaming.":[115],"The":[116,173],"a":[121],"indication":[123],"peak":[126],"values":[127],"and,":[128],"subsequently,":[129],"also":[130],"capacity":[135],"demands.":[136],"Furthermore,":[137],"main":[139],"drivers":[140],"growth":[143],"including":[144],"multimedia":[145],"well":[147],"non-multimedia":[149],"identified.":[152],"New":[153],"disruptive":[154],"explored":[159],"make":[162],"use":[164],"large":[167],"bandwidth":[168],"provided":[169],"results":[174],"used":[177],"identify":[179],"monetization":[180],"opportunities":[181],"map":[187],"potential":[188],"revenues":[189],"for":[190],"operators.":[192]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-06-19T15:47:20.252518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
