{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4401657455","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","title":"Probabilistic quantile multiple fourier feature network for lake temperature forecasting: incorporating pinball loss for uncertainty estimation","display_name":"Probabilistic quantile multiple fourier feature network for lake temperature forecasting: incorporating pinball loss for uncertainty estimation","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-08-17","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4401657455","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S198914822","display_name":"Earth Science Informatics","issn_l":"1865-0473","issn":["1865-0473","1865-0481"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Earth Science Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100406632","display_name":"Siyuan Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6772-2396"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76214153","display_name":"Lanzhou University","ror":"https://ror.org/01mkqqe32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Siyuan Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073660199","display_name":"Jiaxin Deng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0000-4043-1794"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76214153","display_name":"Lanzhou University","ror":"https://ror.org/01mkqqe32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jiaxin Deng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Jin Yuan","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76214153","display_name":"Lanzhou University","ror":"https://ror.org/01mkqqe32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jin Yuan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035644582","display_name":"Weide Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2288-4751"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76214153","display_name":"Lanzhou University","ror":"https://ror.org/01mkqqe32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Weide Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76214153"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061256224","display_name":"Xian Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1509-9328"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xi\u2019an Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ceyear Technology Co., Ltd., Qingdao, 266555, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ceyear Technology Co., Ltd., Qingdao, 266555, China","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100316314","display_name":"Jing Xu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0006-8692-7596"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78978612","display_name":"Yangzhou University","ror":"https://ror.org/03tqb8s11","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78978612"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jing Xu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225009, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78978612"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090789379","display_name":"Shaotong Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2806-2989"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I59028903","display_name":"Ocean University of China","ror":"https://ror.org/04rdtx186","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I59028903"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shaotong Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 266100, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 266100, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I59028903"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044575556","display_name":"Jinran Wu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2388-3614"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86695891","display_name":"Australian Catholic University","ror":"https://ror.org/04cxm4j25","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86695891"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jinran Wu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Australian Catholic University, North Sydney, 2060, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Australian Catholic University, North Sydney, 2060, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86695891"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073924559","display_name":"You\u2010Gan Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0901-4671"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165143802","display_name":"The University of Queensland","ror":"https://ror.org/00rqy9422","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165143802"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"You-Gan Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["The University of Queensland, St Lucia, 4067, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The University of Queensland, St Lucia, 4067, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165143802"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5044575556"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86695891"],"apc_list":{"value":2690,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":3390},"apc_paid":{"value":2690,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":3390},"fwci":0.9884,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.71901784,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":97,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":"6","first_page":"5135","last_page":"5148"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11490","display_name":"Hydrological Forecasting Using AI","score":0.9947999715805054,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11490","display_name":"Hydrological Forecasting Using AI","score":0.9947999715805054,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.9779000282287598,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12697","display_name":"Water Quality Monitoring Technologies","score":0.9726999998092651,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile","display_name":"Quantile","score":0.782782793045044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/feature","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","score":0.6453268527984619},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/estimation","display_name":"Estimation","score":0.636532723903656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.6060454249382019},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5051358342170715},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","score":0.5015819072723389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4935978651046753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.3759731650352478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.34478724002838135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.2901940941810608},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.19218331575393677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.10778242349624634}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118671147","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q578714","display_name":"Quantile","level":2,"score":0.782782793045044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776401178","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12050496","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","level":2,"score":0.6453268527984619},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.636532723903656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.6060454249382019},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5051358342170715},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.5015819072723389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4935978651046753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3759731650352478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.34478724002838135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.2901940941810608},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.19218331575393677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.10778242349624634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S198914822","display_name":"Earth Science Informatics","issn_l":"1865-0473","issn":["1865-0473","1865-0481"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Earth Science Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S198914822","display_name":"Earth Science Informatics","issn_l":"1865-0473","issn":["1865-0473","1865-0481"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Earth Science Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.6200000047683716}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4401657455.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W569478347","https://openalex.org/W1981679261","https://openalex.org/W1984599834","https://openalex.org/W2106295761","https://openalex.org/W2132477882","https://openalex.org/W2147544112","https://openalex.org/W2157331557","https://openalex.org/W2159360647","https://openalex.org/W2161829879","https://openalex.org/W2548694017","https://openalex.org/W2888451813","https://openalex.org/W2914483840","https://openalex.org/W2921893165","https://openalex.org/W2945753392","https://openalex.org/W2972302268","https://openalex.org/W2986457312","https://openalex.org/W2995589355","https://openalex.org/W3010453174","https://openalex.org/W3022039226","https://openalex.org/W3033538829","https://openalex.org/W3038050489","https://openalex.org/W3040818127","https://openalex.org/W3084919280","https://openalex.org/W3093263007","https://openalex.org/W3116268267","https://openalex.org/W3138729943","https://openalex.org/W3166986743","https://openalex.org/W3193409175","https://openalex.org/W3197818647","https://openalex.org/W4200150166","https://openalex.org/W4200451999","https://openalex.org/W4206223109","https://openalex.org/W4224044539","https://openalex.org/W4230014603","https://openalex.org/W4241653265","https://openalex.org/W4298144973","https://openalex.org/W4307160913","https://openalex.org/W4309879864","https://openalex.org/W4318776521","https://openalex.org/W4319440597","https://openalex.org/W4384408349","https://openalex.org/W4399653407","https://openalex.org/W6911221866"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2909436466","https://openalex.org/W2769304616","https://openalex.org/W2561944894","https://openalex.org/W4312560394","https://openalex.org/W3188413760","https://openalex.org/W2963188571","https://openalex.org/W2008291043","https://openalex.org/W2373467473","https://openalex.org/W2791458617","https://openalex.org/W3121565704"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Lake":[1,156],"temperature":[2,57,90,137],"forecasting":[3,73,142],"is":[4],"crucial":[5],"for":[6,54,77,129],"understanding":[7,151],"and":[8,21,30,71,102,117,132,143,152,157],"mitigating":[9],"climate":[10,130,149],"change":[11],"impacts":[12],"on":[13],"aquatic":[14,159],"ecosystems.":[15],"The":[16],"meteorological":[17],"time":[18,64],"series":[19,65],"data":[20],"their":[22],"relationship":[23],"have":[24],"a":[25,44,126],"high":[26],"degree":[27],"of":[28,86],"complexity":[29],"uncertainty,":[31,99],"making":[32],"it":[33],"difficult":[34],"to":[35,147],"predict":[36],"lake":[37,56,136],"temperatures.":[38],"In":[39],"this":[40],"study,":[41],"we":[42],"propose":[43],"novel":[45],"approach,":[46],"Probabilistic":[47],"Quantile":[48],"Multiple":[49],"Fourier":[50],"Feature":[51],"Network":[52],"(QMFFNet),":[53],"accurate":[55],"prediction":[58],"in":[59,135,140,154],"Qinghai":[60,155],"Lake.":[61],"Utilizing":[62],"only":[63],"data,":[66],"our":[67,124],"model":[68],"offers":[69],"practical":[70],"efficient":[72],"without":[74],"the":[75,108],"need":[76],"additional":[78],"variables.":[79],"Our":[80],"approach":[81,125],"integrates":[82],"quantile":[83],"loss":[84],"instead":[85],"L2-Norm,":[87],"enabling":[88],"probabilistic":[89,141],"forecasts":[91],"as":[92],"probability":[93],"distributions.":[94],"This":[95,122],"unique":[96],"feature":[97],"quantifies":[98],"aiding":[100],"decision-making":[101],"risk":[103],"assessment.":[104],"Extensive":[105],"experiments":[106],"demonstrate":[107],"method\u2019s":[109],"superiority":[110],"over":[111],"conventional":[112],"models,":[113],"enhancing":[114],"predictive":[115],"accuracy":[116],"providing":[118],"reliable":[119],"uncertainty":[120,144],"estimates.":[121],"makes":[123],"powerful":[127],"tool":[128],"research":[131],"ecological":[133],"management":[134],"forecasting.":[138],"Innovations":[139],"estimation":[145],"contribute":[146],"better":[148],"impact":[150],"adaptation":[153],"global":[158],"systems.":[160]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-06-13T06:13:01.061226","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
