{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3017341968","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-020-8070-y","title":"A Hierarchical Forecasting Model for China\u2019s Foreign Trade","display_name":"A Hierarchical Forecasting Model for China\u2019s Foreign Trade","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-04-17","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3017341968","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-020-8070-y","mag":"3017341968"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s11424-020-8070-y","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-020-8070-y","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S45848134","display_name":"Journal of Systems Science and Complexity","issn_l":"1009-6124","issn":["1009-6124","1559-7067"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Systems Science and Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050690906","display_name":"Yuying Sun","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9525-7954"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120485","display_name":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science","ror":"https://ror.org/02jkmyk67","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210165038","display_name":"University of Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/05qbk4x57","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yuying Sun","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035358896","display_name":"Xun Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5502-2974"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120485","display_name":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science","ror":"https://ror.org/02jkmyk67","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210165038","display_name":"University of Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/05qbk4x57","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xun Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078558986","display_name":"Shouyang Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5773-998X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120485","display_name":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science","ror":"https://ror.org/02jkmyk67","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210165038","display_name":"University of Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/05qbk4x57","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shouyang Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5050690906"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I4210165038"],"apc_list":{"value":2290,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2890},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.5898,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91028131,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"33","issue":"3","first_page":"743","last_page":"759"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9930999875068665,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9930999875068665,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11059","display_name":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","score":0.9901000261306763,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9781000018119812,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/benchmark","display_name":"Benchmark (surveying)","score":0.6638123989105225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.594238817691803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.564838171005249},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/china","display_name":"China","score":0.47899481654167175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/international-trade","display_name":"International trade","score":0.42482835054397583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.07207527756690979}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185798385","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1161707","display_name":"Benchmark (surveying)","level":2,"score":0.6638123989105225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.594238817691803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.564838171005249},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191935318","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q148","display_name":"China","level":2,"score":0.47899481654167175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155202549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178803","display_name":"International trade","level":1,"score":0.42482835054397583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.07207527756690979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13280743","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089","display_name":"Geodesy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s11424-020-8070-y","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-020-8070-y","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S45848134","display_name":"Journal of Systems Science and Complexity","issn_l":"1009-6124","issn":["1009-6124","1559-7067"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Systems Science and Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":45,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W8051289","https://openalex.org/W577552570","https://openalex.org/W615186689","https://openalex.org/W1505932295","https://openalex.org/W1531683212","https://openalex.org/W1563640319","https://openalex.org/W1587141723","https://openalex.org/W1605276600","https://openalex.org/W1978537516","https://openalex.org/W1980208815","https://openalex.org/W1994775904","https://openalex.org/W2002716348","https://openalex.org/W2024353499","https://openalex.org/W2025349443","https://openalex.org/W2038302518","https://openalex.org/W2051467209","https://openalex.org/W2060316215","https://openalex.org/W2069408601","https://openalex.org/W2073210389","https://openalex.org/W2073554396","https://openalex.org/W2074196524","https://openalex.org/W2075939607","https://openalex.org/W2093484647","https://openalex.org/W2106281346","https://openalex.org/W2108731026","https://openalex.org/W2129797080","https://openalex.org/W2150292578","https://openalex.org/W2153562738","https://openalex.org/W2159521034","https://openalex.org/W2166295067","https://openalex.org/W2171182072","https://openalex.org/W2370219820","https://openalex.org/W2379981952","https://openalex.org/W2430100741","https://openalex.org/W2740602915","https://openalex.org/W2911752508","https://openalex.org/W3122115230","https://openalex.org/W3125062156","https://openalex.org/W3125593832","https://openalex.org/W3125696988","https://openalex.org/W3126132575","https://openalex.org/W3147070131","https://openalex.org/W4291327732","https://openalex.org/W4300493551","https://openalex.org/W4302045745"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2378211422","https://openalex.org/W4321353415","https://openalex.org/W2745001401","https://openalex.org/W2130974462","https://openalex.org/W2028665553","https://openalex.org/W2086519370","https://openalex.org/W4246352526","https://openalex.org/W2121910908","https://openalex.org/W915438175"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
