{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1920652846","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","title":"The evolution of the use of Foresight methods: a scientometric analysis of global FTA research output","display_name":"The evolution of the use of Foresight methods: a scientometric analysis of global FTA research output","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-08-31","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1920652846","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","mag":"1920652846"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S148561398","display_name":"Scientometrics","issn_l":"0138-9130","issn":["0138-9130","1588-2861"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320108","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320108","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature (Netherlands)","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Scientometrics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015831139","display_name":"Ozcan Sar\u0131tas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1243-0353"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I28407311","display_name":"University of Manchester","ror":"https://ror.org/027m9bs27","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I118501908","display_name":"National Research University Higher School of Economics","ror":"https://ror.org/055f7t516","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I118501908"]}],"countries":["GB","RU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ozcan Saritas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK","Research Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge (ISSEK), Higher School of Economics, National Research University, Moscow, Russia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge (ISSEK), Higher School of Economics, National Research University, Moscow, Russia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I118501908"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013267400","display_name":"Serhat Burmao\u011flu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5537-6887"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I250383648","display_name":"Izmir K\u00e2tip \u00c7elebi University","ror":"https://ror.org/024nx4843","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I250383648"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Serhat Burmaoglu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Katip Celebi University, Izmir, Turkey"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Katip Celebi University, Izmir, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I250383648"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5015831139"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I118501908","https://openalex.org/I28407311"],"apc_list":{"value":2290,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2890},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":9.9552,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":48,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9781009,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"105","issue":"1","first_page":"497","last_page":"508"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14306","display_name":"Technology Assessment and Management","score":0.9666000008583069,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14306","display_name":"Technology Assessment and Management","score":0.9666000008583069,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.9538999795913696,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10438","display_name":"Energy, Environment, Economic Growth","score":0.9350000023841858,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/futures-studies","display_name":"Futures studies","score":0.9715991020202637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/futures-contract","display_name":"Futures contract","score":0.7147256731987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scope","display_name":"Scope (computer science)","score":0.6339070200920105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/management-science","display_name":"Management science","score":0.5517123937606812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vision","display_name":"Vision","score":0.5276675820350647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4877358376979828},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/thematic-analysis","display_name":"Thematic analysis","score":0.4374106526374817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/action","display_name":"Action (physics)","score":0.4144189953804016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-forecasting","display_name":"Technology forecasting","score":0.4112318754196167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/knowledge-management","display_name":"Knowledge management","score":0.3964647054672241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.3693108856678009},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/process-management","display_name":"Process management","score":0.35983961820602417},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/qualitative-research","display_name":"Qualitative research","score":0.2771528363227844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.19824877381324768},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sociology","display_name":"Sociology","score":0.18424630165100098},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.16294431686401367},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-science","display_name":"Social science","score":0.10488533973693848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.09878405928611755}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64848388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188867","display_name":"Futures studies","level":2,"score":0.9715991020202637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106306483","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183984","display_name":"Futures contract","level":2,"score":0.7147256731987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778012447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1034415","display_name":"Scope (computer science)","level":2,"score":0.6339070200920105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.5517123937606812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133979268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1682108","display_name":"Vision","level":2,"score":0.5276675820350647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4877358376979828},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74196892","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7781188","display_name":"Thematic analysis","level":3,"score":0.4374106526374817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780791683","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q846785","display_name":"Action (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4144189953804016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161657586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1203326","display_name":"Technology forecasting","level":2,"score":0.4112318754196167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56739046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192060","display_name":"Knowledge management","level":1,"score":0.3964647054672241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3693108856678009},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195094911","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14167904","display_name":"Process management","level":1,"score":0.35983961820602417},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C190248442","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q839486","display_name":"Qualitative research","level":2,"score":0.2771528363227844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.19824877381324768},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.18424630165100098},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.16294431686401367},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.10488533973693848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.09878405928611755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19165224","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23404","display_name":"Anthropology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S148561398","display_name":"Scientometrics","issn_l":"0138-9130","issn":["0138-9130","1588-2861"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320108","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320108","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature (Netherlands)","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Scientometrics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.atira.dk:openaire_cris_publications/2fa97b8b-04db-442d-a5fc-22738ad3fbd6","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://research.manchester.ac.uk/en/publications/2fa97b8b-04db-442d-a5fc-22738ad3fbd6","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400662","display_name":"Research Explorer (The University of Manchester)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I28407311","host_organization_name":"University of Manchester","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Saritas, O & Burmaoglu, S 2015, 'The evolution of the use of Foresight methods: a scientometric analysis of global FTA research output', Scientometrics, vol. 105, no. 1, pp. 497-508. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:scient:v:105:y:2015:i:1:d:10.1007_s11192-015-1671-x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:flore.unifi.it:2158/631487","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2158/631487","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402033","display_name":"Florence Research (University of Florence)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I45084792","host_organization_name":"University of Florence","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I45084792"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.atira.dk:publications/2fa97b8b-04db-442d-a5fc-22738ad3fbd6","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/the-evolution-of-the-use-of-foresight-methods-a-scientometric-analysis-of-global-fta-research-output(2fa97b8b-04db-442d-a5fc-22738ad3fbd6).html","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400662","display_name":"Research Explorer (The University of Manchester)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I28407311","host_organization_name":"University of Manchester","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Saritas, O & Burmaoglu, S 2015, 'The evolution of the use of Foresight methods: a scientometric analysis of global FTA research output', Scientometrics, vol. 105, no. 1, pp. 497-508. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1671-x","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Partnerships for the goals","score":0.4399999976158142,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/17"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":7,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W574174525","https://openalex.org/W1965624054","https://openalex.org/W2007930461","https://openalex.org/W2150220236","https://openalex.org/W2219567523","https://openalex.org/W2594103819","https://openalex.org/W6641644096"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2112169644","https://openalex.org/W2617969253","https://openalex.org/W4388990527","https://openalex.org/W2116043990","https://openalex.org/W2155332430","https://openalex.org/W986491864","https://openalex.org/W2349279786","https://openalex.org/W3127246875","https://openalex.org/W3127483355","https://openalex.org/W1972105660"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
