{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2800560076","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","title":"Dolores: a model that predicts football match outcomes from all over the world","display_name":"Dolores: a model that predicts football match outcomes from all over the world","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-05-03","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2800560076","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","mag":"2800560076"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S62148650","display_name":"Machine Learning","issn_l":"0885-6125","issn":["0885-6125","1573-0565"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Machine Learning","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042011218","display_name":"Anthony C. Constantinou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7147-6821"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I166337079","display_name":"Queen Mary University of London","ror":"https://ror.org/026zzn846","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124357947","https://openalex.org/I166337079"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Anthony C. Constantinou","raw_affiliation_strings":["Risk and Information Management (RIM) Research Group, School of Electronic Engineering and Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, London, E1 4NS, UK"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7147-6821","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Risk and Information Management (RIM) Research Group, School of Electronic Engineering and Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, London, E1 4NS, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I166337079"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5042011218"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I166337079"],"apc_list":{"value":2390,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2990},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":19.3377,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":81,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99029069,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":97,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"108","issue":"1","first_page":"49","last_page":"75"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10157","display_name":"Sports Performance and Training","score":0.9607999920845032,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2732","display_name":"Orthopedics and Sports Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11880","display_name":"Forest ecology and management","score":0.9185000061988831,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/football","display_name":"Football","score":0.8704847097396851},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/league","display_name":"League","score":0.8500995635986328},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tournament","display_name":"Tournament","score":0.6494874358177185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/competition","display_name":"Competition (biology)","score":0.6487195491790771},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/profitability-index","display_name":"Profitability index","score":0.6168373227119446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.581038236618042},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outcome","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","score":0.5723192095756531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/odds","display_name":"Odds","score":0.543880045413971},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.5346056222915649},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5014119148254395},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-modelling","display_name":"Predictive modelling","score":0.4585234522819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4443354308605194},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.3718870282173157},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.2705436944961548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.21230697631835938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.18831786513328552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.17588132619857788},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microeconomics","display_name":"Microeconomics","score":0.10013619065284729}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778444522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1081491","display_name":"Football","level":2,"score":0.8704847097396851},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C207456731","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q660818","display_name":"League","level":2,"score":0.8500995635986328},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136975688","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1320634","display_name":"Tournament","level":2,"score":0.6494874358177185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91306197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q45767","display_name":"Competition (biology)","level":2,"score":0.6487195491790771},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C129361004","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2470236","display_name":"Profitability index","level":2,"score":0.6168373227119446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.581038236618042},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C148220186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7111912","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","level":2,"score":0.5723192095756531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143095724","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q515895","display_name":"Odds","level":3,"score":0.543880045413971},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.5346056222915649},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5014119148254395},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.4585234522819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4443354308605194},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3718870282173157},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.2705436944961548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.21230697631835938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.18831786513328552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.17588132619857788},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.10013619065284729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151956035","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132755","display_name":"Logistic regression","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S62148650","display_name":"Machine Learning","issn_l":"0885-6125","issn":["0885-6125","1573-0565"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Machine Learning","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:qmro.qmul.ac.uk:123456789/38063","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/38063","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400530","display_name":"Queen Mary Research Online (Queen Mary University of London)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I166337079","host_organization_name":"Queen Mary University of London","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I166337079"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S62148650","display_name":"Machine Learning","issn_l":"0885-6125","issn":["0885-6125","1573-0565"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Machine Learning","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Partnerships for the goals","score":0.4099999964237213,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/17"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3533865704","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ERC-2013-AdG339182-BAYES_KNOWLEDGE","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334678","funder_display_name":"European Research Council"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334678","display_name":"European Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/0472cxd90"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2800560076.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2800560076.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":46,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W150757093","https://openalex.org/W266921490","https://openalex.org/W281004965","https://openalex.org/W624405928","https://openalex.org/W1511986666","https://openalex.org/W1546768975","https://openalex.org/W1556645910","https://openalex.org/W1597864774","https://openalex.org/W1891630314","https://openalex.org/W1968507428","https://openalex.org/W1969243910","https://openalex.org/W1975926620","https://openalex.org/W1982166547","https://openalex.org/W1986797382","https://openalex.org/W1999835727","https://openalex.org/W2022909726","https://openalex.org/W2034489173","https://openalex.org/W2035378550","https://openalex.org/W2045656233","https://openalex.org/W2061167090","https://openalex.org/W2063948020","https://openalex.org/W2065699521","https://openalex.org/W2103941978","https://openalex.org/W2104512224","https://openalex.org/W2109802089","https://openalex.org/W2112428422","https://openalex.org/W2129099765","https://openalex.org/W2130648784","https://openalex.org/W2131329453","https://openalex.org/W2136744117","https://openalex.org/W2143891888","https://openalex.org/W2145401452","https://openalex.org/W2145480231","https://openalex.org/W2156094048","https://openalex.org/W2170428988","https://openalex.org/W2172229041","https://openalex.org/W2256334485","https://openalex.org/W2520564469","https://openalex.org/W2593372848","https://openalex.org/W2736850434","https://openalex.org/W4232383088","https://openalex.org/W4302413123","https://openalex.org/W4384612969","https://openalex.org/W6609865554","https://openalex.org/W6635751388","https://openalex.org/W7001961671"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1971660097","https://openalex.org/W596417597","https://openalex.org/W2372215460","https://openalex.org/W2353353369","https://openalex.org/W3147676070","https://openalex.org/W72114162","https://openalex.org/W2187395707","https://openalex.org/W2361814984","https://openalex.org/W3094563064","https://openalex.org/W2073857110"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":15},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-05-05T08:41:31.759640","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}