{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4413024377","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","title":"Stratify: unifying multi-step forecasting strategies","display_name":"Stratify: unifying multi-step forecasting strategies","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-08-06","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4413024377","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S121920818","display_name":"Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery","issn_l":"1384-5810","issn":["1384-5810","1573-756X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061444040","display_name":"Riku Green","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Riku Green","raw_affiliation_strings":["Merchant Venturers Building, School of Computer Science, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol, BS8 1UB, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Merchant Venturers Building, School of Computer Science, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol, BS8 1UB, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016049919","display_name":"Grant M. Stevens","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8885-4443"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210161128","display_name":"Bristol Robotics Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/056sbyc67","country_code":"GB","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210161128"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Grant Stevens","raw_affiliation_strings":["HH Wills Physics Laboratory, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, United Kingdom","Merchant Venturers Building, School of Computer Science, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol, BS8 1UB, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"HH Wills Physics Laboratory, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482","https://openalex.org/I4210161128"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Merchant Venturers Building, School of Computer Science, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol, BS8 1UB, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025272350","display_name":"Zahraa S. Abdallah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1291-2918"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zahraa S. Abdallah","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard\u2019s Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom","School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard's Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard\u2019s Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard's Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5077682283","display_name":"Telmo M. Silva Filho","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0826-6885"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Telmo M. Silva Filho","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard\u2019s Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom","School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard's Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard\u2019s Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Ada Lovelace Building, Tankard's Close, Bristol, BS8 1TW, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5061444040"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"],"apc_list":{"value":2990,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2990},"apc_paid":{"value":2990,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2990},"fwci":6.8404,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96861814,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"39","issue":"5","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9983000159263611,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9983000159263611,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12205","display_name":"Time Series Analysis and Forecasting","score":0.9789000153541565,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12120","display_name":"Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting","score":0.9710999727249146,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5748428106307983},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.41852933168411255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.37746918201446533}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5748428106307983},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.41852933168411255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.37746918201446533}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S121920818","display_name":"Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery","issn_l":"1384-5810","issn":["1384-5810","1573-756X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:research-information.bris.ac.uk:openaire_cris_publications/39a3a57d-46c4-43c5-bf40-d362c1087adc","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/en/publications/39a3a57d-46c4-43c5-bf40-d362c1087adc","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400895","display_name":"Bristol Research (University of Bristol)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","host_organization_name":"University of Bristol","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Green, R, Stevens, G, Abdallah, Z S & Filho, T M S 2025, 'Stratify : unifying multi-step forecasting strategies', Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, vol. 39, no. 5, 64. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"},{"id":"pmh:oai:research-information.bris.ac.uk:publications/39a3a57d-46c4-43c5-bf40-d362c1087adc","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/1983/39a3a57d-46c4-43c5-bf40-d362c1087adc","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400895","display_name":"Bristol Research (University of Bristol)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","host_organization_name":"University of Bristol","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Green, R, Stevens, G, Abdallah, Z S & Filho, T M S 2025, 'Stratify : unifying multi-step forecasting strategies', Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, vol. 39, no. 5, 64. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10618-025-01135-1.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S121920818","display_name":"Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery","issn_l":"1384-5810","issn":["1384-5810","1573-756X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3058317262","display_name":"DTP 2224 University of Bristol","funder_award_id":"EP/W524414/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","funder_display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5715794163","display_name":"UKRI Centre for Doctoral Training in Interactive Artificial Intelligence","funder_award_id":"EP/S022937/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","funder_display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320360","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/0439y7842"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4413024377.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4413024377.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":19,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2003706483","https://openalex.org/W2014928429","https://openalex.org/W2149298154","https://openalex.org/W2159164703","https://openalex.org/W2294097774","https://openalex.org/W2728445772","https://openalex.org/W2885453527","https://openalex.org/W2913280151","https://openalex.org/W3007066689","https://openalex.org/W3022643593","https://openalex.org/W3111518852","https://openalex.org/W3132782787","https://openalex.org/W3139885963","https://openalex.org/W3181231283","https://openalex.org/W3197040406","https://openalex.org/W4206189171","https://openalex.org/W4400764101","https://openalex.org/W4401975675","https://openalex.org/W4403600951"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2961085424","https://openalex.org/W4306674287","https://openalex.org/W4387369504","https://openalex.org/W4394896187","https://openalex.org/W3170094116","https://openalex.org/W4386462264","https://openalex.org/W3107602296","https://openalex.org/W4364306694","https://openalex.org/W4312192474","https://openalex.org/W4283697347"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"A":[1],"key":[2],"aspect":[3],"of":[4,28,46,106,162],"temporal":[5],"domains":[6],"is":[7,31],"the":[8,16,26,44,100,135,141,158,170],"ability":[9],"to":[10,41,91,116,139,144,175],"make":[11],"predictions":[12],"multiple":[13],"time-steps":[14],"into":[15],"future,":[17],"a":[18,33,64],"process":[19,30],"known":[20,163],"as":[21],"multi-step":[22,69],"forecasting":[23,34,149,166],"(MSF).":[24],"At":[25],"core":[27],"this":[29,58],"selecting":[32],"strategy;":[35],"however,":[36],"with":[37,51],"no":[38,124],"existing":[39,72,118],"frameworks":[40],"map":[42],"out":[43],"space":[45,143],"strategies,":[47],"practitioners":[48,138],"are":[49,157],"left":[50],"ad-hoc":[52],"methods":[53],"for":[54,137],"strategy":[55,126],"selection.":[56],"In":[57,103],"work,":[59],"we":[60,121],"propose":[61],"Stratify":[62,81,112,142],",":[63],"parameterised":[65],"framework":[66],"that":[67,123],"addresses":[68],"forecasting,":[70],"unifying":[71],"strategies":[73,110,150],"and":[74,89,147,164],"introducing":[75],"novel,":[76],"improved":[77,113],"strategies.":[78,167],"We":[79,168],"evaluate":[80],"on":[82,152],"18":[83],"benchmark":[84],"datasets,":[85],"five":[86],"function":[87],"classes,":[88],"short":[90],"long":[92],"forecast":[93],"horizons":[94],"(10,":[95],"20,":[96],"40,":[97],"80)":[98],"in":[99,111,130],"univariate":[101],"setting.":[102],"over":[104],"84%":[105],"1080":[107],"experiments,":[108],"novel":[109,165],"performance":[114],"compared":[115],"all":[117,131],"ones.":[119],"Importantly,":[120],"find":[122],"single":[125],"consistently":[127],"outperforms":[128],"others":[129],"task":[132],"settings,":[133],"highlighting":[134],"need":[136],"explore":[140],"carefully":[145],"search":[146],"select":[148],"based":[151],"task-specific":[153],"requirements.":[154],"Our":[155],"results":[156],"most":[159],"comprehensive":[160],"benchmarking":[161],"share":[169],"code":[171],"(":[172],"https://github.com/zs18656/stratify_unifying_MSF":[173],")":[174],"reproduce":[176],"our":[177],"results.":[178]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-07-23T08:03:31.855105","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}