{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3149306431","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","title":"Computational simulation of the COVID-19 epidemic with the SEIR stochastic model","display_name":"Computational simulation of the COVID-19 epidemic with the SEIR stochastic model","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-03-30","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3149306431","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","mag":"3149306431","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33814968"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S47778307","display_name":"Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory","issn_l":"1381-298X","issn":["1381-298X","1572-9346"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062794258","display_name":"Carlos Balsa","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2431-8665"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092303","display_name":"Polytechnic Institute of Bragan\u00e7a","ror":"https://ror.org/00prsav78","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4391767784","display_name":"Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics","ror":"https://ror.org/00vye5g85","country_code":"PT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4391767784"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Carlos Balsa","raw_affiliation_strings":["Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253 Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253, Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253 Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303","https://openalex.org/I4391767784"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253, Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303","https://openalex.org/I4391767784"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005083193","display_name":"Isabel Lopes","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5614-3516"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092303","display_name":"Polytechnic Institute of Bragan\u00e7a","ror":"https://ror.org/00prsav78","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I99682543","display_name":"University of Minho","ror":"https://ror.org/037wpkx04","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I99682543"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Isabel Lopes","raw_affiliation_strings":["Applied Management Research Unit (UNIAG), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253 Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","Centro ALGORITMI, Escola de Engenharia, Universidade do Minho, Campus Azur\u00e9m, 4800-058 Guimar\u00e3es, Portugal","Applied Management Research Unit (UNIAG), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253, Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Applied Management Research Unit (UNIAG), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253 Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centro ALGORITMI, Escola de Engenharia, Universidade do Minho, Campus Azur\u00e9m, 4800-058 Guimar\u00e3es, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I99682543"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Applied Management Research Unit (UNIAG), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253, Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031743086","display_name":"Teresa Guarda","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9602-0692"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I118946981","display_name":"Universidad de las Fuerzas Armadas ESPE","ror":"https://ror.org/05j136930","country_code":"EC","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I118946981"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3133194271","display_name":"Universidad Estatal Pen\u00ednsula de Santa Elena","ror":"https://ror.org/01k410495","country_code":"EC","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3133194271"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I99682543","display_name":"University of Minho","ror":"https://ror.org/037wpkx04","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I99682543"]}],"countries":["EC","PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Teresa Guarda","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centro ALGORITMI, Escola de Engenharia - Universidade do Minho, Campus Azur\u00e9m, 4800-058 Guimar\u00e3es, Portugal","Universidad Estatal Pen\u00ednsula de Santa Elena - UPSE, La Libertad, Ecuador","Universidad de las Fuerzas Armadas-ESPE, Sangolqui, Quito, Ecuador"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centro ALGORITMI, Escola de Engenharia - Universidade do Minho, Campus Azur\u00e9m, 4800-058 Guimar\u00e3es, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I99682543"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Estatal Pen\u00ednsula de Santa Elena - UPSE, La Libertad, Ecuador","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3133194271"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad de las Fuerzas Armadas-ESPE, Sangolqui, Quito, Ecuador","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I118946981"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008882289","display_name":"Jos\u00e9 Rufino","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1344-8264"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092303","display_name":"Polytechnic Institute of Bragan\u00e7a","ror":"https://ror.org/00prsav78","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4391767784","display_name":"Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics","ror":"https://ror.org/00vye5g85","country_code":"PT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4391767784"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jos\u00e9 Rufino","raw_affiliation_strings":["Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253 Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253, Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253 Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303","https://openalex.org/I4391767784"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI), Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Bragan\u00e7a, Campus de Santa Apol\u00f3nia, 5300-253, Bragan\u00e7a, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303","https://openalex.org/I4391767784"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5062794258"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303","https://openalex.org/I4391767784"],"apc_list":{"value":2090,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2690},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.087,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":29,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.87003222,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"29","issue":"4","first_page":"507","last_page":"525"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10118","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","score":0.9916999936103821,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13283","display_name":"Mental Health Research Topics","score":0.9409999847412109,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quarantine","display_name":"Quarantine","score":0.755953311920166},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-model","display_name":"Epidemic model","score":0.7187116146087646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vaccination","display_name":"Vaccination","score":0.6891722679138184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outbreak","display_name":"Outbreak","score":0.6395258903503418},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.607506513595581},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/isolation","display_name":"Isolation (microbiology)","score":0.5840019583702087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.5181823372840881},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pandemic","display_name":"Pandemic","score":0.5051723122596741},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.46521997451782227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","score":0.4151371121406555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-health","display_name":"Environmental health","score":0.3136034607887268},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.2733864188194275},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.27154117822647095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infectious-disease","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","score":0.2638384699821472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.2533113658428192},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biology","display_name":"Biology","score":0.20383581519126892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bioinformatics","display_name":"Bioinformatics","score":0.0721983015537262}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781402358","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q182899","display_name":"Quarantine","level":2,"score":0.755953311920166},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1627819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2572354","display_name":"Epidemic model","level":3,"score":0.7187116146087646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22070199","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192995","display_name":"Vaccination","level":2,"score":0.6891722679138184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.6395258903503418},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.607506513595581},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775941552","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25212305","display_name":"Isolation (microbiology)","level":2,"score":0.5840019583702087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.5181823372840881},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89623803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12184","display_name":"Pandemic","level":5,"score":0.5051723122596741},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.46521997451782227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3007834351","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82069695","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","level":5,"score":0.4151371121406555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.3136034607887268},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.2733864188194275},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.27154117822647095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.2638384699821472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.2533113658428192},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.20383581519126892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C60644358","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q128570","display_name":"Bioinformatics","level":1,"score":0.0721983015537262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S47778307","display_name":"Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory","issn_l":"1381-298X","issn":["1381-298X","1572-9346"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:33814968","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33814968","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computational and mathematical organization theory","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:comaot:v:29:y:2023:i:4:d:10.1007_s10588-021-09327-y","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt:10198/26574","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10198/26574","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400634","display_name":"Biblioteca Digital do IPB (Instituto Politecnico De Braganca)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210092303","host_organization_name":"Polytechnic Institute of Bragan\u00e7a","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092303"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"journal article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:8007662","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/8007662","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Comput Math Organ Theory","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10588-021-09327-y.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S47778307","display_name":"Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory","issn_l":"1381-298X","issn":["1381-298X","1572-9346"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.8600000143051147,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3149306431.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3149306431.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":19,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1982306896","https://openalex.org/W2016453690","https://openalex.org/W2078980460","https://openalex.org/W2161728228","https://openalex.org/W2322645711","https://openalex.org/W2963503659","https://openalex.org/W2995393443","https://openalex.org/W3006642361","https://openalex.org/W3011351342","https://openalex.org/W3012284084","https://openalex.org/W3013566370","https://openalex.org/W3015571324","https://openalex.org/W3017160575","https://openalex.org/W3024722320","https://openalex.org/W3029408214","https://openalex.org/W3041199125","https://openalex.org/W3045835659","https://openalex.org/W3112084805","https://openalex.org/W4288083333"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4207026480","https://openalex.org/W2373635223","https://openalex.org/W2412355096","https://openalex.org/W3084704945","https://openalex.org/W4285803075","https://openalex.org/W4214949929","https://openalex.org/W4214831822","https://openalex.org/W2277671130","https://openalex.org/W4214826253","https://openalex.org/W4363651088"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-04-05T17:49:38.594831","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}