{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2801726099","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","title":"How adding new information modifies the estimation of the mean and the variance in PERT: a maximum entropy distribution approach","display_name":"How adding new information modifies the estimation of the mean and the variance in PERT: a maximum entropy distribution approach","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-04-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2801726099","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","mag":"2801726099"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S57667410","display_name":"Annals of Operations Research","issn_l":"0254-5330","issn":["0254-5330","1572-9338"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of Operations Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025446532","display_name":"Agust\u00edn Hern\u00e1ndez-Bastida","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I173304897","display_name":"Universidad de Granada","ror":"https://ror.org/04njjy449","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I173304897"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"A. Hern\u00e1ndez-Bastida","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Quantitative Methods in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Granada, Campus of Cartuja s/n, 18071, Granada, Spain"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Quantitative Methods in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Granada, Campus of Cartuja s/n, 18071, Granada, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I173304897"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008648412","display_name":"M. P. Fern\u00e1ndez-S\u00e1nchez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5834-1452"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I173304897","display_name":"Universidad de Granada","ror":"https://ror.org/04njjy449","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I173304897"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"M. P. Fern\u00e1ndez-S\u00e1nchez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Quantitative Methods in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Granada, Campus of Cartuja s/n, 18071, Granada, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5834-1452","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Quantitative Methods in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Granada, Campus of Cartuja s/n, 18071, Granada, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I173304897"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5008648412"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I173304897"],"apc_list":{"value":3090,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3090},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.5791,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.71157632,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"274","issue":"1-2","first_page":"291","last_page":"308"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12177","display_name":"Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12177","display_name":"Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10928","display_name":"Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design","score":0.9839000105857849,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.9783999919891357,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variance","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","score":0.6718867421150208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/principle-of-maximum-entropy","display_name":"Principle of maximum entropy","score":0.6078534722328186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/theory-of-computation","display_name":"Theory of computation","score":0.555114209651947},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.5474846363067627},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/entropy","display_name":"Entropy (arrow of time)","score":0.5218707323074341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.49749186635017395},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.43711262941360474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.3885956108570099},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.18515396118164062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.08241045475006104}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196083921","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915758","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","level":2,"score":0.6718867421150208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9679016","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1417473","display_name":"Principle of maximum entropy","level":2,"score":0.6078534722328186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24858836","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q844718","display_name":"Theory of computation","level":2,"score":0.555114209651947},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.5474846363067627},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106301342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4117933","display_name":"Entropy (arrow of time)","level":2,"score":0.5218707323074341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.49749186635017395},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.43711262941360474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3885956108570099},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.18515396118164062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.08241045475006104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121955636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4116214","display_name":"Accounting","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S57667410","display_name":"Annals of Operations Research","issn_l":"0254-5330","issn":["0254-5330","1572-9338"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of Operations Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:annopr:v:274:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-018-2857-4","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-018-2857-4","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Reduced inequalities","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/10","score":0.41999998688697815}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320323811","display_name":"Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria","ror":"https://ror.org/01teme464"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":27,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1878611151","https://openalex.org/W1968984064","https://openalex.org/W1979291456","https://openalex.org/W1980316752","https://openalex.org/W1997806784","https://openalex.org/W2004610758","https://openalex.org/W2008032946","https://openalex.org/W2039421108","https://openalex.org/W2042579536","https://openalex.org/W2042757497","https://openalex.org/W2052961609","https://openalex.org/W2062614451","https://openalex.org/W2067783861","https://openalex.org/W2077151163","https://openalex.org/W2077913849","https://openalex.org/W2083930975","https://openalex.org/W2085278007","https://openalex.org/W2085757315","https://openalex.org/W2099413976","https://openalex.org/W2130876464","https://openalex.org/W2133737493","https://openalex.org/W2151500277","https://openalex.org/W2159803833","https://openalex.org/W2587926013","https://openalex.org/W2751862591","https://openalex.org/W2795407492","https://openalex.org/W4301441647"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4250775169","https://openalex.org/W4309231192","https://openalex.org/W2064563243","https://openalex.org/W2163515958","https://openalex.org/W3165104833","https://openalex.org/W2012783289","https://openalex.org/W3041490575","https://openalex.org/W2970690932","https://openalex.org/W4321135767","https://openalex.org/W2069619724"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-08-21T09:56:20.448147","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}