{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4282931194","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","title":"Artificial data in sports forecasting: a simulation framework for analysing predictive models in sports","display_name":"Artificial data in sports forecasting: a simulation framework for analysing predictive models in sports","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-06-15","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4282931194","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S56271844","display_name":"Information Systems and e-Business Management","issn_l":"1617-9846","issn":["1617-9846","1617-9854"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Information Systems and e-Business Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034426774","display_name":"Marc Garnica Caparr\u00f3s","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7776-6755"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I137533716","display_name":"German Sport University Cologne","ror":"https://ror.org/0189raq88","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Marc Garnica-Caparr\u00f3s","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Am SportPark M\u00fcngersdorf 6, 50933, Cologne, Germany"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7776-6755","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Am SportPark M\u00fcngersdorf 6, 50933, Cologne, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057357328","display_name":"Daniel Memmert","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3406-9175"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I137533716","display_name":"German Sport University Cologne","ror":"https://ror.org/0189raq88","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Daniel Memmert","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Am SportPark M\u00fcngersdorf 6, 50933, Cologne, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Am SportPark M\u00fcngersdorf 6, 50933, Cologne, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101742202","display_name":"Fabian Wunderlich","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2238-5269"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I137533716","display_name":"German Sport University Cologne","ror":"https://ror.org/0189raq88","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fabian Wunderlich","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Am SportPark M\u00fcngersdorf 6, 50933, Cologne, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Am SportPark M\u00fcngersdorf 6, 50933, Cologne, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5034426774"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137533716"],"apc_list":{"value":2790,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2790},"apc_paid":{"value":2790,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2790},"fwci":2.1401,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":12,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.89884751,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"20","issue":"3","first_page":"551","last_page":"580"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.972000002861023,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10157","display_name":"Sports Performance and Training","score":0.9368000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2732","display_name":"Orthopedics and Sports Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7102569341659546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/process","display_name":"Process (computing)","score":0.6350957751274109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.4789774417877197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quality","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","score":0.4448341727256775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/domain","display_name":"Domain (mathematical analysis)","score":0.4345906376838684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.4182977080345154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.3882761597633362},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.37436598539352417}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7102569341659546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.6350957751274109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.4789774417877197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.4448341727256775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36503486","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11235244","display_name":"Domain (mathematical analysis)","level":2,"score":0.4345906376838684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.4182977080345154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3882761597633362},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.37436598539352417},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S56271844","display_name":"Information Systems and e-Business Management","issn_l":"1617-9846","issn":["1617-9846","1617-9854"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Information Systems and e-Business Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:infsem:v:20:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s10257-022-00560-9","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:econstor.eu:10419/311254","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/10419/311254","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401696","display_name":"Econstor (Econstor)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"doc-type:article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:9199346","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/9199346","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Inf Syst E-Bus Manage","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10257-022-00560-9.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S56271844","display_name":"Information Systems and e-Business Management","issn_l":"1617-9846","issn":["1617-9846","1617-9854"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Information Systems and e-Business Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions","score":0.7400000095367432,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6498535728","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ME 2678/29.1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320879","funder_display_name":"Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320879","display_name":"Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft","ror":"https://ror.org/018mejw64"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4282931194.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4282931194.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":71,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W50633955","https://openalex.org/W89219332","https://openalex.org/W124349154","https://openalex.org/W658335909","https://openalex.org/W1488370856","https://openalex.org/W1522282804","https://openalex.org/W1527890372","https://openalex.org/W1588819017","https://openalex.org/W1751640827","https://openalex.org/W1966501651","https://openalex.org/W1968507428","https://openalex.org/W1969024250","https://openalex.org/W1982166547","https://openalex.org/W1994384451","https://openalex.org/W1994510541","https://openalex.org/W1999835727","https://openalex.org/W2000273188","https://openalex.org/W2006517744","https://openalex.org/W2009912562","https://openalex.org/W2012203705","https://openalex.org/W2013150564","https://openalex.org/W2013841070","https://openalex.org/W2042543992","https://openalex.org/W2063948020","https://openalex.org/W2066317317","https://openalex.org/W2078162400","https://openalex.org/W2079484041","https://openalex.org/W2081955453","https://openalex.org/W2083813456","https://openalex.org/W2096776776","https://openalex.org/W2104512224","https://openalex.org/W2112428422","https://openalex.org/W2124522543","https://openalex.org/W2129099765","https://openalex.org/W2135775480","https://openalex.org/W2138010283","https://openalex.org/W2138071856","https://openalex.org/W2140210607","https://openalex.org/W2167732681","https://openalex.org/W2167754239","https://openalex.org/W2172229041","https://openalex.org/W2177847834","https://openalex.org/W2296521892","https://openalex.org/W2336677943","https://openalex.org/W2368032162","https://openalex.org/W2567628451","https://openalex.org/W2754826543","https://openalex.org/W2762904883","https://openalex.org/W2769820194","https://openalex.org/W2774264647","https://openalex.org/W2807514546","https://openalex.org/W2808540253","https://openalex.org/W2891174717","https://openalex.org/W2904138048","https://openalex.org/W2914021772","https://openalex.org/W2916828210","https://openalex.org/W2996002300","https://openalex.org/W3007052498","https://openalex.org/W3010407797","https://openalex.org/W3012342855","https://openalex.org/W3038227888","https://openalex.org/W3038683745","https://openalex.org/W3042176470","https://openalex.org/W3122464106","https://openalex.org/W3147165070","https://openalex.org/W3151685851","https://openalex.org/W3181843888","https://openalex.org/W4238579597","https://openalex.org/W4239919431","https://openalex.org/W4240899876","https://openalex.org/W4241635694"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2961085424","https://openalex.org/W4224009465","https://openalex.org/W4306674287","https://openalex.org/W4286629047","https://openalex.org/W4205958290","https://openalex.org/W4384212932","https://openalex.org/W4390590544","https://openalex.org/W2096195258","https://openalex.org/W2990460313","https://openalex.org/W2973458857"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Far-reaching":[1],"decisions":[2],"in":[3,20,47],"organizations":[4],"often":[5],"rely":[6],"on":[7,45,53],"sophisticated":[8],"methods":[9,84,122],"of":[10,62,67,80,92,98,117,139,154,162,173,183,195,218,223,237],"data":[11,14,27,40,185,227],"analysis.":[12],"However,":[13],"availability":[15],"is":[16,167,177,229],"not":[17,29],"always":[18],"given":[19],"complex":[21],"real-world":[22,184],"systems,":[23],"and":[24,50,78,176,198,206],"even":[25],"available":[26],"may":[28,85],"fully":[30],"reflect":[31],"all":[32,155],"the":[33,60,65,75,82,89,95,99,115,133,137,146,156,163,170,174,180,215,233],"underlying":[34,157],"processes.":[35,128],"In":[36],"these":[37],"cases,":[38],"artificial":[39,239],"can":[41],"help":[42],"shed":[43],"light":[44],"pitfalls":[46],"decision":[48],"making,":[49],"gain":[51],"insights":[52],"optimized":[54],"methods.":[55],"The":[56,187],"present":[57,134],"paper":[58,135],"uses":[59],"example":[61],"forecasts":[63,111],"targeting":[64],"outcomes":[66],"sports":[68,147,164],"events,":[69],"representing":[70],"a":[71,102,140,192,209,221,225],"domain":[72],"where":[73],"despite":[74],"increasing":[76],"complexity":[77],"coverage":[79],"models,":[81],"proposed":[83],"fail":[86],"to":[87,190],"identify":[88],"main":[90,181,234],"sources":[91],"inaccuracy.":[93],"While":[94],"actual":[96],"outcome":[97],"events":[100],"provides":[101],"basis":[103,172],"for":[104,214],"validation,":[105],"it":[106],"remains":[107],"unknown":[108],"whether":[109],"inaccurate":[110,120],"source":[112],"from":[113,125],"misestimating":[114],"strength":[116],"each":[118],"competitor,":[119],"forecasting":[121,148,165,199],"or":[123],"just":[124],"inherently":[126],"random":[127],"To":[129],"untangle":[130],"this":[131],"paradigm,":[132],"proposes":[136],"design":[138],"comprehensive":[141],"simulation":[142],"framework":[143,188],"that":[144,201],"models":[145],"process":[149,166],"while":[150],"having":[151],"full":[152,226],"control":[153],"unknowns.":[158],"A":[159],"generalized":[160],"model":[161],"presented":[168],"as":[169,208],"conceptual":[171],"system":[175,212],"supported":[178],"by":[179],"challenges":[182],"applications.":[186],"aims":[189],"provide":[191],"better":[193],"understanding":[194],"rating":[196],"procedures":[197],"techniques":[200],"will":[202],"boost":[203],"new":[204],"developments":[205],"serve":[207],"robust":[210],"validation":[211],"accounting":[213],"predictive":[216],"quality":[217],"forecasts.":[219],"As":[220],"proof":[222],"concept,":[224],"generation":[228],"showcased":[230],"together":[231],"with":[232],"analytical":[235],"advantages":[236],"using":[238],"data.":[240]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-31T08:31:51.225901","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}