{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2042230053","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","title":"Comparing epidemic forecasts for European countries obtained from AIDS incidence and HIV prevalence data","display_name":"Comparing epidemic forecasts for European countries obtained from AIDS incidence and HIV prevalence data","publication_year":2005,"publication_date":"2005-10-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2042230053","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","mag":"2042230053"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S144150890","display_name":"Journal of Geographical Systems","issn_l":"1435-5930","issn":["1435-5930","1435-5949"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Geographical Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111741694","display_name":"Phillip Smith","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I28407311","display_name":"University of Manchester","ror":"https://ror.org/027m9bs27","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Phillip W Smith","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Environment and Development, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK","University of Manchester\u00a0"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Environment and Development, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Manchester\u00a0","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019499758","display_name":"Richard Thomas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3511-5628"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I28407311","display_name":"University of Manchester","ror":"https://ror.org/027m9bs27","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Richard Thomas","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Environment and Development, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK","University of Manchester\u00a0"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Environment and Development, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Manchester\u00a0","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5111741694"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28407311"],"apc_list":{"value":2490,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":3090},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.10018051,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"7","issue":"3-4","first_page":"337","last_page":"359"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9897000193595886,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9897000193595886,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.9660999774932861,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13546","display_name":"Census and Population Estimation","score":0.9605000019073486,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demography","display_name":"Demography","score":0.6141232848167419},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/incidence","display_name":"Incidence (geometry)","score":0.5213300585746765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-immunodeficiency-virus","display_name":"Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)","score":0.5022718906402588},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transmission","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","score":0.47746017575263977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cumulative-incidence","display_name":"Cumulative incidence","score":0.43313270807266235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.42713138461112976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.36792320013046265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.36181825399398804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.3338235914707184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.26677438616752625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.18674245476722717},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.12717410922050476},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cohort","display_name":"Cohort","score":0.09404104948043823}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.6141232848167419},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61511704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1671857","display_name":"Incidence (geometry)","level":2,"score":0.5213300585746765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3013748606","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q15787","display_name":"Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)","level":2,"score":0.5022718906402588},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C761482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118093","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","level":2,"score":0.47746017575263977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C88879693","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q217690","display_name":"Cumulative incidence","level":3,"score":0.43313270807266235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.42713138461112976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.36792320013046265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.36181825399398804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3338235914707184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.26677438616752625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.18674245476722717},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.12717410922050476},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C72563966","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1303415","display_name":"Cohort","level":2,"score":0.09404104948043823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S144150890","display_name":"Journal of Geographical Systems","issn_l":"1435-5930","issn":["1435-5930","1435-5949"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Geographical Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:kap:jgeosy:v:7:y:2005:i:3:p:337-359","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10109-005-0006-5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.800000011920929,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":22,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1578331504","https://openalex.org/W1606697907","https://openalex.org/W1977727185","https://openalex.org/W1980943816","https://openalex.org/W1981941631","https://openalex.org/W1991332860","https://openalex.org/W2012774747","https://openalex.org/W2048499136","https://openalex.org/W2082447026","https://openalex.org/W2091217726","https://openalex.org/W2126983724","https://openalex.org/W2144513088","https://openalex.org/W2162569845","https://openalex.org/W2323342969","https://openalex.org/W2330707337","https://openalex.org/W2404464573","https://openalex.org/W2502620767","https://openalex.org/W2796476346","https://openalex.org/W2797886686","https://openalex.org/W4243025399","https://openalex.org/W4245388321","https://openalex.org/W4388299012"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2363171232","https://openalex.org/W2100632149","https://openalex.org/W3164894357","https://openalex.org/W2057334354","https://openalex.org/W1501205893","https://openalex.org/W2125345233","https://openalex.org/W2089115437","https://openalex.org/W1998957566","https://openalex.org/W2365507823","https://openalex.org/W4307571190"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
