{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2005564906","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","title":"A systematic comparison of professional exchange rate forecasts with the judgemental forecasts of novices","display_name":"A systematic comparison of professional exchange rate forecasts with the judgemental forecasts of novices","publication_year":2006,"publication_date":"2006-02-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2005564906","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","mag":"2005564906"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S161053114","display_name":"Central European Journal of Operations Research","issn_l":"1435-246X","issn":["1435-246X","1613-9178"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Central European Journal of Operations Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001937388","display_name":"Johannes Leitner","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I15766117","display_name":"University of Graz","ror":"https://ror.org/01faaaf77","country_code":"AT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I15766117"]}],"countries":["AT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Johannes Leitner","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Graz, Universit\u00e4tsstrasse 15/E3, 8010, Graz, Austria","Dept. of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Graz, Graz, Austria"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Graz, Universit\u00e4tsstrasse 15/E3, 8010, Graz, Austria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I15766117"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Dept. of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Graz, Graz, Austria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I15766117"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103228523","display_name":"Robert Schmidt","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4371-5412"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I25974101","display_name":"University of W\u00fcrzburg","ror":"https://ror.org/00fbnyb24","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I25974101"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert Schmidt","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics, University of W\u00fcrzbrug, Sanderring 2, D-97070, W\u00fcrzburg, Germany","Department of Economics, University of W\u00fcrzbrug, W\u00fcrzburg, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, University of W\u00fcrzbrug, Sanderring 2, D-97070, W\u00fcrzburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I25974101"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, University of W\u00fcrzbrug, W\u00fcrzburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I25974101"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":2890,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2890},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4274,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":18,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.73689416,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"14","issue":"1","first_page":"87","last_page":"102"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9973000288009644,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9973000288009644,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9921000003814697,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10282","display_name":"Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling","score":0.9829000234603882,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exchange-rate","display_name":"Exchange rate","score":0.6096591949462891},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/foreign-exchange","display_name":"Foreign exchange","score":0.6043444275856018},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order","display_name":"Order (exchange)","score":0.5336962938308716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.5231486558914185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","score":0.49163180589675903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/foreign-exchange-market","display_name":"Foreign exchange market","score":0.4530952572822571},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-economics","display_name":"Financial economics","score":0.4199253022670746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/empirical-evidence","display_name":"Empirical evidence","score":0.41195639967918396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.3957335650920868},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.38008999824523926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/actuarial-science","display_name":"Actuarial science","score":0.3712256848812103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monetary-economics","display_name":"Monetary economics","score":0.274247944355011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.13913890719413757}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776988154","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q66100","display_name":"Exchange rate","level":2,"score":0.6096591949462891},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2983132609","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q66076","display_name":"Foreign exchange","level":2,"score":0.6043444275856018},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.5336962938308716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5231486558914185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.49163180589675903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C536366893","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q66076","display_name":"Foreign exchange market","level":3,"score":0.4530952572822571},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.4199253022670746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166052673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83021","display_name":"Empirical evidence","level":2,"score":0.41195639967918396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3957335650920868},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.38008999824523926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.3712256848812103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.274247944355011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.13913890719413757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S161053114","display_name":"Central European Journal of Operations Research","issn_l":"1435-246X","issn":["1435-246X","1613-9178"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Central European Journal of Operations Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:cejnor:v:14:y:2006:i:1:p:87-102","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10100-006-0161-x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.49000000953674316,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":46,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W50237241","https://openalex.org/W158727920","https://openalex.org/W585934970","https://openalex.org/W1487901402","https://openalex.org/W1539447455","https://openalex.org/W1549417947","https://openalex.org/W1572930125","https://openalex.org/W1590532198","https://openalex.org/W1737802827","https://openalex.org/W1986457042","https://openalex.org/W1992611431","https://openalex.org/W2018845485","https://openalex.org/W2020428763","https://openalex.org/W2033116783","https://openalex.org/W2041462006","https://openalex.org/W2047189978","https://openalex.org/W2050567478","https://openalex.org/W2062090301","https://openalex.org/W2077894872","https://openalex.org/W2093503007","https://openalex.org/W2107570947","https://openalex.org/W2108957050","https://openalex.org/W2111179177","https://openalex.org/W2116912141","https://openalex.org/W2117178635","https://openalex.org/W2131371868","https://openalex.org/W2133756464","https://openalex.org/W2145080968","https://openalex.org/W2165742022","https://openalex.org/W2165970714","https://openalex.org/W2328418989","https://openalex.org/W2489503670","https://openalex.org/W2489977932","https://openalex.org/W2724224207","https://openalex.org/W2891985843","https://openalex.org/W3023906401","https://openalex.org/W3121743397","https://openalex.org/W3122064940","https://openalex.org/W3122280428","https://openalex.org/W3124110242","https://openalex.org/W3124972276","https://openalex.org/W3125011999","https://openalex.org/W3125553829","https://openalex.org/W3125696988","https://openalex.org/W3125769289","https://openalex.org/W4291327732"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1571781785","https://openalex.org/W1502838439","https://openalex.org/W404327971","https://openalex.org/W2562141402","https://openalex.org/W4318433428","https://openalex.org/W2916737790","https://openalex.org/W4320902972","https://openalex.org/W4380144940","https://openalex.org/W393398260","https://openalex.org/W2389270825"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-23T08:03:31.855105","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}