{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4394844411","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","title":"Various optimized machine learning techniques to predict agricultural commodity prices","display_name":"Various optimized machine learning techniques to predict agricultural commodity prices","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-04-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4394844411","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S147897268","display_name":"Neural Computing and Applications","issn_l":"0941-0643","issn":["0941-0643","1433-3058"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Neural Computing and Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5022904317","display_name":"Murat Sar\u0131","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0508-2917"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48912391","display_name":"Istanbul Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/059636586","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Murat Sari","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematical Engineering, Faculty of Science and Letters, Istanbul Technical University, 34469, Istanbul, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematical Engineering, Faculty of Science and Letters, Istanbul Technical University, 34469, Istanbul, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113179135","display_name":"Serbay Duran","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I198587356","display_name":"Ad\u0131yaman University","ror":"https://ror.org/02s4gkg68","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I198587356"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Serbay Duran","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Science Education, Faculty of Education, Adiyaman University, Adiyaman, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Science Education, Faculty of Education, Adiyaman University, Adiyaman, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I198587356"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002423094","display_name":"H\u00fcseyin Kutlu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0091-9984"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I198587356","display_name":"Ad\u0131yaman University","ror":"https://ror.org/02s4gkg68","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I198587356"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Huseyin Kutlu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Technologies, Besni Vocational School, Adiyaman University, Adiyaman, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Technologies, Besni Vocational School, Adiyaman University, Adiyaman, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I198587356"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036363921","display_name":"B\u00fclent G\u00fclo\u011flu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5889-9616"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48912391","display_name":"Istanbul Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/059636586","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bulent Guloglu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Economics Department, Faculty of Management, Istanbul Technical University, 34367, Istanbul, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Economics Department, Faculty of Management, Istanbul Technical University, 34367, Istanbul, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5092600064","display_name":"Zehra Atik","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48912391","display_name":"Istanbul Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/059636586","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zehra Atik","raw_affiliation_strings":["Economics Department, Faculty of Management, Istanbul Technical University, 34367, Istanbul, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Economics Department, Faculty of Management, Istanbul Technical University, 34367, Istanbul, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5022904317"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"],"apc_list":{"value":2390,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2990},"apc_paid":{"value":2390,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2990},"fwci":10.306,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":35,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98559122,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":97,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"36","issue":"19","first_page":"11439","last_page":"11459"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12676","display_name":"Machine Learning and ELM","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12676","display_name":"Machine Learning and ELM","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9934999942779541,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.974399983882904,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/commodity","display_name":"Commodity","score":0.7877346277236938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agriculture","display_name":"Agriculture","score":0.5839380025863647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5644342303276062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.5565775036811829},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/genetic-algorithm","display_name":"Genetic algorithm","score":0.5498526096343994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/restructuring","display_name":"Restructuring","score":0.5495967268943787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extreme-learning-machine","display_name":"Extreme learning machine","score":0.5367231369018555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.530709445476532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.46653062105178833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/food-prices","display_name":"Food prices","score":0.4631350338459015},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3462558686733246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.341691255569458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.32103246450424194},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/food-security","display_name":"Food security","score":0.1707850992679596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.14562124013900757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-neural-network","display_name":"Artificial neural network","score":0.11748054623603821}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779439359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q317088","display_name":"Commodity","level":2,"score":0.7877346277236938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.5839380025863647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5644342303276062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.5565775036811829},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C8880873","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q187787","display_name":"Genetic algorithm","level":2,"score":0.5498526096343994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45237549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1376796","display_name":"Restructuring","level":2,"score":0.5495967268943787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780150128","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21948731","display_name":"Extreme learning machine","level":3,"score":0.5367231369018555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.530709445476532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.46653062105178833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779957034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q24886253","display_name":"Food prices","level":4,"score":0.4631350338459015},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3462558686733246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.341691255569458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.32103246450424194},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C549605437","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1229911","display_name":"Food security","level":3,"score":0.1707850992679596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.14562124013900757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.11748054623603821},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S147897268","display_name":"Neural Computing and Applications","issn_l":"0941-0643","issn":["0941-0643","1433-3058"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Neural Computing and Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:polen.itu.edu.tr:11527/25362","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/11527/25362","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400460","display_name":"Istanbul Technical University Academic Open Archive (Istanbul Technical University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I48912391","host_organization_name":"Istanbul Technical University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00521-024-09679-x.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S147897268","display_name":"Neural Computing and Applications","issn_l":"0941-0643","issn":["0941-0643","1433-3058"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Neural Computing and Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","score":0.800000011920929,"display_name":"Zero hunger"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324489","display_name":"Istanbul Teknik \u00dcniversitesi","ror":"https://ror.org/059636586"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4394844411.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":58,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W134797964","https://openalex.org/W2026131661","https://openalex.org/W2026471620","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2076322800","https://openalex.org/W2086146067","https://openalex.org/W2094244602","https://openalex.org/W2100595623","https://openalex.org/W2111072639","https://openalex.org/W2124776405","https://openalex.org/W2130378394","https://openalex.org/W2134603844","https://openalex.org/W2134761066","https://openalex.org/W2141695047","https://openalex.org/W2146552111","https://openalex.org/W2151536734","https://openalex.org/W2336044214","https://openalex.org/W2573587735","https://openalex.org/W2755418557","https://openalex.org/W2774610454","https://openalex.org/W2799750397","https://openalex.org/W2805107728","https://openalex.org/W2938759465","https://openalex.org/W2947558939","https://openalex.org/W2981027960","https://openalex.org/W2991122145","https://openalex.org/W2999967345","https://openalex.org/W3008700686","https://openalex.org/W3012150937","https://openalex.org/W3013733115","https://openalex.org/W3019918961","https://openalex.org/W3041540505","https://openalex.org/W3081905268","https://openalex.org/W3092001951","https://openalex.org/W3120647342","https://openalex.org/W3123529725","https://openalex.org/W3187307018","https://openalex.org/W3187425334","https://openalex.org/W3200664202","https://openalex.org/W4205603218","https://openalex.org/W4210538425","https://openalex.org/W4213443738","https://openalex.org/W4220767341","https://openalex.org/W4224226435","https://openalex.org/W4224240557","https://openalex.org/W4226074583","https://openalex.org/W4250315764","https://openalex.org/W4280536164","https://openalex.org/W4281688028","https://openalex.org/W4285097702","https://openalex.org/W4298289240","https://openalex.org/W4308874767","https://openalex.org/W4322763808","https://openalex.org/W4362521355","https://openalex.org/W4367322169","https://openalex.org/W4376868840","https://openalex.org/W4382877467","https://openalex.org/W4385696738"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3175321409","https://openalex.org/W4312561791","https://openalex.org/W2389894046","https://openalex.org/W2215717369","https://openalex.org/W4391216528","https://openalex.org/W4312309719","https://openalex.org/W2980748541","https://openalex.org/W4313123484","https://openalex.org/W2146461990","https://openalex.org/W4200142652"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Recent":[1],"increases":[2],"in":[3,38,137,141,153,163],"global":[4,42],"food":[5,205],"demand":[6],"have":[7,58,65],"made":[8],"this":[9,24,72,154],"research":[10],"and,":[11,196],"therefore,":[12],"the":[13,49,63,84,91,96,99,102,107,111,115,122,126,133,143,148,179,192,210,214],"prediction":[14],"of":[15,23,40,52,117,168,176,200,213],"agricultural":[16,55,80,138,201],"commodity":[17,36,50,81,139],"prices,":[18],"almost":[19],"imperative.":[20],"The":[21],"aim":[22],"paper":[25,73],"is":[26,183],"to":[27,33,209],"build":[28],"efficient":[29],"artificial":[30],"intelligence":[31],"methods":[32],"effectively":[34],"forecast":[35],"prices":[37,51,82,140],"light":[39],"these":[41,186],"events.":[43],"Using":[44],"three":[45],"separate,":[46],"well-structured":[47],"models,":[48],"eleven":[53,97],"major":[54],"commodities":[56,169],"that":[57,185,207],"recently":[59],"caused":[60],"crises":[61],"around":[62],"world":[64],"been":[66],"predicted.":[67],"In":[68,94],"achieving":[69],"its":[70],"objective,":[71],"proposes":[74],"a":[75,165,173],"novel":[76],"forecasting":[77],"model":[78,112,151],"for":[79,178,191],"using":[83],"extreme":[85,103,144],"learning":[86,104,145],"machine":[87,105,146],"technique":[88],"optimized":[89],"with":[90,106,121,147],"genetic":[92,108,123,149],"algorithm.":[93],"predicting":[95],"commodities,":[98],"proposed":[100],"model,":[101],"algorithm,":[109],"outperforms":[110],"formed":[113],"by":[114,203],"combination":[116],"long":[118,174],"short-term":[119],"memory":[120],"algorithm":[124,150],"and":[125,135,160,170],"autoregressive":[127],"integrated":[128],"moving":[129],"average":[130],"model.":[131],"Despite":[132],"fluctuations":[134],"changes":[136],"2022,":[142],"described":[152],"study":[155],"successfully":[156],"predicts":[157],"both":[158],"qualitative":[159],"quantitative":[161],"behavior":[162],"such":[164,172],"large":[166],"number":[167],"over":[171],"period":[175],"time":[177],"first":[180],"time.":[181],"It":[182],"expected":[184],"predictions":[187],"will":[188],"provide":[189],"benefits":[190],"effective":[193],"management,":[194],"direction":[195],"if":[197],"necessary,":[198],"restructuring":[199],"policies":[202],"providing":[204],"requirements":[206],"adapt":[208],"dynamic":[211],"structure":[212],"countries.":[215]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-06-30T13:55:48.251075","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}