{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2064119387","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/bf03042322","title":"Chance discovery and scenario analysis","display_name":"Chance discovery and scenario analysis","publication_year":2003,"publication_date":"2003-03-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2064119387","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/bf03042322","mag":"2064119387"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/bf03042322","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/bf03042322","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165364243","display_name":"New Generation Computing","issn_l":"0288-3635","issn":["0288-3635","1882-7055"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"New Generation Computing","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075562557","display_name":"Peter McBurney","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5547-5239"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I146655781","display_name":"University of Liverpool","ror":"https://ror.org/04xs57h96","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I146655781"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Peter McBurney","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, University of Liverpool, L69 7ZF, Liverpool, UK","Department of Computer Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7ZF, UK.#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, University of Liverpool, L69 7ZF, Liverpool, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146655781"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7ZF, UK.#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146655781"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042580769","display_name":"Simon Parsons","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8425-9065"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63966007","display_name":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/042nb2s44","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Simon Parsons","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Co-ordination Science, Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 02142, Cambridge, MA, USA","Center for Co-ordination Science, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Co-ordination Science, Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 02142, Cambridge, MA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Co-ordination Science, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5075562557"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146655781"],"apc_list":{"value":2490,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":3090},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.3398,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":11,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.89733518,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"21","issue":"1","first_page":"13","last_page":"22"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13083","display_name":"Advanced Text Analysis Techniques","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13083","display_name":"Advanced Text Analysis Techniques","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11106","display_name":"Data Management and Algorithms","score":0.9006999731063843,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.8663332462310791},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/context","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","score":0.609293520450592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/argumentation-theory","display_name":"Argumentation theory","score":0.5616546273231506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scenario-analysis","display_name":"Scenario analysis","score":0.4994974136352539},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.48058009147644043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epistemology","display_name":"Epistemology","score":0.12881773710250854}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.8663332462310791},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.609293520450592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C65059942","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q270105","display_name":"Argumentation theory","level":2,"score":0.5616546273231506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18785705","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1931373","display_name":"Scenario analysis","level":2,"score":0.4994974136352539},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.48058009147644043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.12881773710250854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/bf03042322","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/bf03042322","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165364243","display_name":"New Generation Computing","issn_l":"0288-3635","issn":["0288-3635","1882-7055"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"New Generation Computing","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.12.7318","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.12.7318","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.csc.liv.ac.uk/~peter/downloads/ngcens02.ps","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.15.9821","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.15.9821","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.csc.liv.ac.uk/research/techreports/tr2002/ulcs-02-007.ps","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","score":0.4699999988079071,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":22,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W8456792","https://openalex.org/W10874032","https://openalex.org/W1489773237","https://openalex.org/W1518224821","https://openalex.org/W1546325558","https://openalex.org/W1564139012","https://openalex.org/W1583469057","https://openalex.org/W1817022499","https://openalex.org/W1958390615","https://openalex.org/W1979040571","https://openalex.org/W1999853760","https://openalex.org/W2020858979","https://openalex.org/W2054236990","https://openalex.org/W2099437269","https://openalex.org/W2105953471","https://openalex.org/W2126813007","https://openalex.org/W2135596188","https://openalex.org/W2497099222","https://openalex.org/W4235294679","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W6638214459","https://openalex.org/W6638647628"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2967363253","https://openalex.org/W2407949943","https://openalex.org/W2115085054","https://openalex.org/W5969539","https://openalex.org/W4281480223","https://openalex.org/W2376345092","https://openalex.org/W2026445430","https://openalex.org/W1980791845","https://openalex.org/W2577361510","https://openalex.org/W1996408511"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-04-04T16:13:02.066488","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}