{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2619180872","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59144-5_33","title":"Designing a Crowd Forecasting Tool to Combine Prediction Markets and Real-Time Delphi","display_name":"Designing a Crowd Forecasting Tool to Combine Prediction Markets and Real-Time Delphi","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2619180872","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59144-5_33","mag":"2619180872"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-319-59144-5_33","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59144-5_33","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029168148","display_name":"Simon Kloker","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3653-9836"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I102335020","display_name":"Karlsruhe Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04t3en479","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I102335020","https://openalex.org/I1305996414"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Simon Kloker","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Information Management and Marketing, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Information Management and Marketing, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102335020"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102325784","display_name":"Tim Straub","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I102335020","display_name":"Karlsruhe Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04t3en479","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I102335020","https://openalex.org/I1305996414"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tim Straub","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Information Management and Marketing, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Information Management and Marketing, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102335020"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021007726","display_name":"Christof Weinhardt","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7945-4077"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I102335020","display_name":"Karlsruhe Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04t3en479","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I102335020","https://openalex.org/I1305996414"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Christof Weinhardt","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Information Management and Marketing, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Information Management and Marketing, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102335020"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5029168148"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102335020"],"apc_list":{"value":5000,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":5392},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":15.1256,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":14,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98554563,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"468","last_page":"473"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7265322804450989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/delphi","display_name":"Delphi","score":0.6938756108283997},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/delphi-method","display_name":"Delphi method","score":0.6661721467971802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/german","display_name":"German","score":0.6203390955924988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prediction-market","display_name":"Prediction market","score":0.47221261262893677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/real-time-data","display_name":"Real-time data","score":0.46112436056137085},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-forecasting","display_name":"Technology forecasting","score":0.4243416488170624},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.41595935821533203},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.3905634880065918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3500986695289612},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.3360675573348999},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.3300333023071289},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.23457324504852295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.12860074639320374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.08001083135604858}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7265322804450989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779495148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q487378","display_name":"Delphi","level":2,"score":0.6938756108283997},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C60641444","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q841602","display_name":"Delphi method","level":2,"score":0.6661721467971802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154775046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188","display_name":"German","level":2,"score":0.6203390955924988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780021719","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q282283","display_name":"Prediction market","level":2,"score":0.47221261262893677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110593043","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7300787","display_name":"Real-time data","level":2,"score":0.46112436056137085},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161657586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1203326","display_name":"Technology forecasting","level":2,"score":0.4243416488170624},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.41595935821533203},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3905634880065918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3500986695289612},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3360675573348999},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3300333023071289},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.23457324504852295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.12860074639320374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.08001083135604858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95457728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q309","display_name":"History","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-319-59144-5_33","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59144-5_33","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":19,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W174706139","https://openalex.org/W193865123","https://openalex.org/W1828635716","https://openalex.org/W1905520918","https://openalex.org/W2007180942","https://openalex.org/W2033560568","https://openalex.org/W2037378944","https://openalex.org/W2063451734","https://openalex.org/W2098239681","https://openalex.org/W2136451344","https://openalex.org/W2308190535","https://openalex.org/W2564938748","https://openalex.org/W2583495542","https://openalex.org/W2742914389","https://openalex.org/W3005115464","https://openalex.org/W3123031510","https://openalex.org/W3124602076","https://openalex.org/W3151685851","https://openalex.org/W4249991783"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2062050714","https://openalex.org/W2030487194","https://openalex.org/W2971523465","https://openalex.org/W2031546510","https://openalex.org/W1965155071","https://openalex.org/W1969884608","https://openalex.org/W2224226767","https://openalex.org/W2001765788","https://openalex.org/W1573061253","https://openalex.org/W2041058937"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-08-04T08:18:43.703281","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
