{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2166400110","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33","title":"Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Expert Opinion","display_name":"Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Expert Opinion","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2166400110","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33","mag":"2166400110"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210201744","display_name":"Synthese Library/Synthese library","issn_l":"0166-6991","issn":["0166-6991","2542-8292"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319972","host_organization_name":"Springer International Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319972","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer International Publishing","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Synthese Library","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026465320","display_name":"Vincent C. M\u00fcller","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4144-4957"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Vincent C. M\u00fcller","raw_affiliation_strings":["Future of Humanity Institute, Department of Philosophy & Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Future of Humanity Institute, Department of Philosophy & Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027943191","display_name":"Nick Bostrom","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nick Bostrom","raw_affiliation_strings":["Future of Humanity Institute, Department of Philosophy & Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Future of Humanity Institute, Department of Philosophy & Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5026465320"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":363.212,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":655,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":1.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"555","last_page":"572"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12788","display_name":"Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life","score":0.9347000122070312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3103","display_name":"Astronomy and Astrophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12788","display_name":"Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life","score":0.9347000122070312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3103","display_name":"Astronomy and Astrophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12805","display_name":"Cognitive Science and Mapping","score":0.9175999760627747,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-opinion","display_name":"Expert opinion","score":0.6626397371292114},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/opinion-survey","display_name":"Opinion survey","score":0.4372290372848511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.3427756428718567},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.34242141246795654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.33709079027175903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-science","display_name":"Political science","score":0.21080806851387024},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/opinion-leadership","display_name":"Opinion leadership","score":0.09477075934410095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-relations","display_name":"Public relations","score":0.06806337833404541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.06709927320480347}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3020580240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q663272","display_name":"Expert opinion","level":2,"score":0.6626397371292114},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2994003787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q49958","display_name":"Opinion survey","level":3,"score":0.4372290372848511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3427756428718567},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.34242141246795654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.33709079027175903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.21080806851387024},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139268390","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1850904","display_name":"Opinion leadership","level":2,"score":0.09477075934410095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39549134","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q133080","display_name":"Public relations","level":1,"score":0.06806337833404541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.06709927320480347},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177713679","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q679690","display_name":"Intensive care medicine","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26485-1_33","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210201744","display_name":"Synthese Library/Synthese library","issn_l":"0166-6991","issn":["0166-6991","2542-8292"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319972","host_organization_name":"Springer International Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319972","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer International Publishing","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Synthese Library","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.588.6744","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.588.6744","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.sophia.de/pdf/2014_PT-AI_polls.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:philarchive.org/rec/MLLFPI","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://philarchive.org/rec/MLLFPI","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402130","display_name":"PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:philpapers.org/rec/MLLFPI","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://philpapers.org/rec/MLLFPI","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402130","display_name":"PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":24,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W648152870","https://openalex.org/W1795020324","https://openalex.org/W1977775944","https://openalex.org/W1985970360","https://openalex.org/W1986123387","https://openalex.org/W2009210150","https://openalex.org/W2014151618","https://openalex.org/W2035581958","https://openalex.org/W2038234775","https://openalex.org/W2069421814","https://openalex.org/W2073735597","https://openalex.org/W2096190722","https://openalex.org/W2111704492","https://openalex.org/W2119049565","https://openalex.org/W2123285937","https://openalex.org/W2142984058","https://openalex.org/W2169558102","https://openalex.org/W2576183678","https://openalex.org/W2735575534","https://openalex.org/W3127903863","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4402820551","https://openalex.org/W6621199667","https://openalex.org/W6996563279"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2390279801","https://openalex.org/W4391913857","https://openalex.org/W4404221487","https://openalex.org/W4299587190","https://openalex.org/W3189005037","https://openalex.org/W569524506","https://openalex.org/W1974569886"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":62},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":78},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":80},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":103},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":65},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":93},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":73},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":42},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":21},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-08-15T07:11:24.734988","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}