{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4285214262","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25","title":"Probabilistic Quantile Multi-step Forecasting of\u00a0Energy Market Prices: A UK Case Study","display_name":"Probabilistic Quantile Multi-step Forecasting of\u00a0Energy Market Prices: A UK Case Study","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4285214262","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210185096","display_name":"IFIP advances in information and communication technology","issn_l":"1868-422X","issn":["1868-422X","1868-4238"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://inria.hal.science/hal-05335636","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017067707","display_name":"Petros Tzallas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4436-176X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210093649","display_name":"Information Technologies Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/0069akp70","country_code":"GR","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}],"countries":["GR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Petros Tzallas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4436-176X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076283672","display_name":"Napoleon Bezas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6684-2014"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210093649","display_name":"Information Technologies Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/0069akp70","country_code":"GR","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}],"countries":["GR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Napoleon Bezas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6684-2014","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067324530","display_name":"Ioannis Moschos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0651-282X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210093649","display_name":"Information Technologies Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/0069akp70","country_code":"GR","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}],"countries":["GR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ioannis Moschos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0651-282X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5000323469","display_name":"Dimosthenis Ioannidis","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5747-2186"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210093649","display_name":"Information Technologies Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/0069akp70","country_code":"GR","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}],"countries":["GR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dimosthenis Ioannidis","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5747-2186","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087452615","display_name":"Dimitrios Tzovaras","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6915-6722"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210093649","display_name":"Information Technologies Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/0069akp70","country_code":"GR","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}],"countries":["GR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dimitrios Tzovaras","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6915-6722","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technologies Institute, Centre for Research and Technology, 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5017067707"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210093649"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.5615,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.89316414,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"301","last_page":"313"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9986000061035156,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9986000061035156,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11059","display_name":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","score":0.9926000237464905,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11954","display_name":"Energy Efficiency and Management","score":0.9842000007629395,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile","display_name":"Quantile","score":0.769685685634613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.6708909273147583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.5755143761634827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","score":0.47440052032470703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile-regression","display_name":"Quantile regression","score":0.46796661615371704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.4590086340904236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.37318646907806396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-economics","display_name":"Financial economics","score":0.3317907452583313},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.15588054060935974}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118671147","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q578714","display_name":"Quantile","level":2,"score":0.769685685634613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.6708909273147583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5755143761634827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.47440052032470703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C63817138","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3455889","display_name":"Quantile regression","level":2,"score":0.46796661615371704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4590086340904236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.37318646907806396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.3317907452583313},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.15588054060935974}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210185096","display_name":"IFIP advances in information and communication technology","issn_l":"1868-422X","issn":["1868-422X","1868-4238"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-05335636v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://inria.hal.science/hal-05335636","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL (Le Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1294671590","host_organization_name":"Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1294671590"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"18th IFIP International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations (AIAI), Jun 2022, Hersonissos, Greece. pp.301-313, &#x27E8;10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25&#x27E9;","raw_type":"Conference papers"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-05335636v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://inria.hal.science/hal-05335636","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL (Le Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1294671590","host_organization_name":"Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1294671590"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"18th IFIP International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations (AIAI), Jun 2022, Hersonissos, Greece. pp.301-313, &#x27E8;10.1007/978-3-031-08341-9_25&#x27E9;","raw_type":"Conference papers"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.6700000166893005,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":14,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1973907528","https://openalex.org/W2054458966","https://openalex.org/W2066035378","https://openalex.org/W2108647521","https://openalex.org/W2113244375","https://openalex.org/W2135968678","https://openalex.org/W2141484579","https://openalex.org/W2151310832","https://openalex.org/W2333670465","https://openalex.org/W2561312185","https://openalex.org/W2625224297","https://openalex.org/W2731050121","https://openalex.org/W2972701307","https://openalex.org/W3124349228"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4206511378","https://openalex.org/W4206618949","https://openalex.org/W2526321210","https://openalex.org/W3205863630","https://openalex.org/W3014605311","https://openalex.org/W4318833145","https://openalex.org/W2364275385","https://openalex.org/W4388704167","https://openalex.org/W2007977664","https://openalex.org/W4376874882"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-07T13:39:58.223016","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
