{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3095502844","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61380-8_27","title":"Predicting the Evolution of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths Through a Correlations-Based Temporal Network","display_name":"Predicting the Evolution of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths Through a Correlations-Based Temporal Network","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3095502844","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61380-8_27","mag":"3095502844"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-61380-8_27","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61380-8_27","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011782492","display_name":"Tiago Colliri","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9233-4662"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I17974374","display_name":"Universidade de S\u00e3o Paulo","ror":"https://ror.org/036rp1748","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tiago Colliri","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Sao Paulo, S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9233-4662","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Sao Paulo, S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084551356","display_name":"Alexandre C. B. Delbem","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1810-1742"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I17974374","display_name":"Universidade de S\u00e3o Paulo","ror":"https://ror.org/036rp1748","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alexandre C. B. Delbem","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Sao Paulo, S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1810-1742","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Sao Paulo, S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100697945","display_name":"Liang Zhao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1502-6604"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I17974374","display_name":"Universidade de S\u00e3o Paulo","ror":"https://ror.org/036rp1748","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Liang Zhao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Philosophy, Science, and Letters, University of Sao Paulo, S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1502-6604","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Philosophy, Science, and Letters, University of Sao Paulo, S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17974374"],"apc_list":{"value":5000,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":5392},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.15424165,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"397","last_page":"411"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9970999956130981,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9970999956130981,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9891999959945679,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9878000020980835,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6540590524673462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.6363233327865601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/context","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","score":0.626045823097229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/node","display_name":"Node (physics)","score":0.5667036175727844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/similarity","display_name":"Similarity (geometry)","score":0.5220953226089478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.4876076281070709},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/task","display_name":"Task (project management)","score":0.4569760262966156},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regression","display_name":"Regression","score":0.43947646021842957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.4325820505619049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-error","display_name":"Mean absolute error","score":0.4268973469734192},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.41077566146850586},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-squared-error","display_name":"Mean squared error","score":0.37319159507751465},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.35603681206703186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.32827135920524597},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demography","display_name":"Demography","score":0.29824620485305786},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.21702539920806885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.172888845205307},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.14816993474960327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.11660054326057434},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infectious-disease","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","score":0.07157689332962036}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6540590524673462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.6363233327865601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.626045823097229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62611344","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1062658","display_name":"Node (physics)","level":2,"score":0.5667036175727844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C103278499","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q254465","display_name":"Similarity (geometry)","level":3,"score":0.5220953226089478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4876076281070709},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780451532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759676","display_name":"Task (project management)","level":2,"score":0.4569760262966156},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83546350","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1139051","display_name":"Regression","level":2,"score":0.43947646021842957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.4325820505619049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188154048","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6803609","display_name":"Mean absolute error","level":3,"score":0.4268973469734192},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.41077566146850586},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139945424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1940696","display_name":"Mean squared error","level":2,"score":0.37319159507751465},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.35603681206703186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.32827135920524597},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.29824620485305786},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.21702539920806885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.172888845205307},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.14816993474960327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.11660054326057434},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.07157689332962036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C66938386","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q633538","display_name":"Structural engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115961682","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q860623","display_name":"Image (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-61380-8_27","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61380-8_27","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/17","display_name":"Partnerships for the goals","score":0.46000000834465027}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":38,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1606697907","https://openalex.org/W1621005218","https://openalex.org/W1636189349","https://openalex.org/W1968686485","https://openalex.org/W1976969221","https://openalex.org/W1994476682","https://openalex.org/W1995594277","https://openalex.org/W2013614800","https://openalex.org/W2038195874","https://openalex.org/W2042728064","https://openalex.org/W2055620707","https://openalex.org/W2071436088","https://openalex.org/W2077551920","https://openalex.org/W2089458547","https://openalex.org/W2096296558","https://openalex.org/W2098509290","https://openalex.org/W2103977882","https://openalex.org/W2124637492","https://openalex.org/W2129934604","https://openalex.org/W2139755242","https://openalex.org/W2808462996","https://openalex.org/W2897130202","https://openalex.org/W2941009262","https://openalex.org/W2941236146","https://openalex.org/W2952801982","https://openalex.org/W2984605817","https://openalex.org/W2997134027","https://openalex.org/W2999336909","https://openalex.org/W3004030642","https://openalex.org/W3004227146","https://openalex.org/W3005473077","https://openalex.org/W3008443627","https://openalex.org/W3009333463","https://openalex.org/W3013733130","https://openalex.org/W3022051241","https://openalex.org/W3036309913","https://openalex.org/W3037826211","https://openalex.org/W3102201777"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4247388746","https://openalex.org/W2314720829","https://openalex.org/W3178576217","https://openalex.org/W4221063543","https://openalex.org/W4285794683","https://openalex.org/W4385195237","https://openalex.org/W4286256617","https://openalex.org/W4362673848","https://openalex.org/W4385577504","https://openalex.org/W4318676890"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-07-29T14:22:42.915294","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}