{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3016996676","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45093-9_7","title":"Predictive Model of Births and Deaths with ARIMA","display_name":"Predictive Model of Births and Deaths with ARIMA","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3016996676","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45093-9_7","mag":"3016996676"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-45093-9_7","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45093-9_7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061127057","display_name":"Diana Lancheros-Cuesta","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6355-4305"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210152403","display_name":"Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia","ror":"https://ror.org/04td15k45","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"]}],"countries":["CO"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Diana Lancheros-Cuesta","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Bogot\u00e1 -Colombia Grupo de Investigaci\u00f3n Automatizaci\u00f3n Industrial, Bogot\u00e1, Colombia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6355-4305","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Bogot\u00e1 -Colombia Grupo de Investigaci\u00f3n Automatizaci\u00f3n Industrial, Bogot\u00e1, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073934044","display_name":"Cristian Duney Berm\u00fadez Quintero","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1071-2207"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210152403","display_name":"Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia","ror":"https://ror.org/04td15k45","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"]}],"countries":["CO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cristian Duney Bermudez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Bogot\u00e1 -Colombia Grupo de Investigaci\u00f3n Automatizaci\u00f3n Industrial, Bogot\u00e1, Colombia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1071-2207","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Bogot\u00e1 -Colombia Grupo de Investigaci\u00f3n Automatizaci\u00f3n Industrial, Bogot\u00e1, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5030182495","display_name":"Sergio Luis Berm\u00fadez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-8386"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210152403","display_name":"Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia","ror":"https://ror.org/04td15k45","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"]}],"countries":["CO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sergio Bermudez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Bogot\u00e1 -Colombia Grupo de Investigaci\u00f3n Automatizaci\u00f3n Industrial, Bogot\u00e1, Colombia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-8386","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Bogot\u00e1 -Colombia Grupo de Investigaci\u00f3n Automatizaci\u00f3n Industrial, Bogot\u00e1, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072203961","display_name":"Geovanny Marulanda","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7799-9890"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I96580804","display_name":"Universidad Pontificia Comillas","ror":"https://ror.org/017mdc710","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I96580804"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Geovanny Marulanda","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad Pontificia Comillas, Madrid, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7799-9890","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Pontificia Comillas, Madrid, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I96580804"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5061127057"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210152403"],"apc_list":{"value":5000,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":5392},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.08858268,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"52","last_page":"58"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9010999798774719,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9010999798774719,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.9652049541473389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6772547364234924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistical-model","display_name":"Statistical model","score":0.6403841972351074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-model","display_name":"Autoregressive model","score":0.5688345432281494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistical-software","display_name":"Statistical software","score":0.564795732498169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/software","display_name":"Software","score":0.4907921254634857},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.4234645366668701},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.40696120262145996},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.37610000371932983},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.34523481130599976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.29710257053375244},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.29639843106269836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.2244853377342224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.13684090971946716}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.9652049541473389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6772547364234924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114289077","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3284399","display_name":"Statistical model","level":2,"score":0.6403841972351074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159877910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2202883","display_name":"Autoregressive model","level":2,"score":0.5688345432281494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2987757206","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q494735","display_name":"Statistical software","level":2,"score":0.564795732498169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777904410","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7397","display_name":"Software","level":2,"score":0.4907921254634857},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.4234645366668701},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.40696120262145996},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.37610000371932983},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.34523481130599976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.29710257053375244},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.29639843106269836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.2244853377342224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.13684090971946716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-45093-9_7","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45093-9_7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.5,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2168838591","https://openalex.org/W2209798243","https://openalex.org/W2741328681","https://openalex.org/W2782613816","https://openalex.org/W2791894277","https://openalex.org/W2847020481"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3175321409","https://openalex.org/W4312561791","https://openalex.org/W2389894046","https://openalex.org/W2215717369","https://openalex.org/W4312309719","https://openalex.org/W2974356760","https://openalex.org/W2980748541","https://openalex.org/W3115491726","https://openalex.org/W4313123484","https://openalex.org/W4386362517"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
