{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2973840913","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_26","title":"Evaluation of Bottom-Up and Top-Down Strategies for Aggregated Forecasts: State Space Models and ARIMA Applications","display_name":"Evaluation of Bottom-Up and Top-Down Strategies for Aggregated Forecasts: State Space Models and ARIMA Applications","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2973840913","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_26","mag":"2973840913"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_26","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_26","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11323/5809","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5024742427","display_name":"Milton Soto\u2010Ferrari","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0255-968X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86420138","display_name":"Indiana State University","ror":"https://ror.org/00f8man71","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Milton Soto-Ferrari","raw_affiliation_strings":["Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090754518","display_name":"Odette Chams-Anturi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8353-7326"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210112678","display_name":"University of the Coast","ror":"https://ror.org/01v5nhr20","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210112678"]}],"countries":["CO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Odette Chams-Anturi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad de la Costa, Barranquilla, Colombia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad de la Costa, Barranquilla, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210112678"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068555864","display_name":"Juan P. Escorcia-Caballero","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-0266"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142879360","display_name":"Universidad del Norte","ror":"https://ror.org/031e6xm45","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142879360"]}],"countries":["CO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Juan P. Escorcia-Caballero","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142879360"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019599257","display_name":"Namra Hussain","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86420138","display_name":"Indiana State University","ror":"https://ror.org/00f8man71","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Namra Hussain","raw_affiliation_strings":["Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072011650","display_name":"Muhammad Khurram Khan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6636-0533"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86420138","display_name":"Indiana State University","ror":"https://ror.org/00f8man71","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Muhammad Khan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5024742427"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86420138"],"apc_list":{"value":5000,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":5392},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.9984,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.75978207,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"413","last_page":"427"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9987000226974487,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9987000226974487,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9891999959945679,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12205","display_name":"Time Series Analysis and Forecasting","score":0.9703999757766724,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.9099043607711792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6684250831604004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.6444545984268188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/state-space","display_name":"State space","score":0.59004145860672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/top-down-and-bottom-up-design","display_name":"Top-down and bottom-up design","score":0.561793863773346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.5479845404624939},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/state-space-representation","display_name":"State-space representation","score":0.49959754943847656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/automation","display_name":"Automation","score":0.43228456377983093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/state","display_name":"State (computer science)","score":0.4300982654094696},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-error","display_name":"Forecast error","score":0.4267405569553375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3386700749397278},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.32960033416748047},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.20963776111602783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.19683751463890076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.14236968755722046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.12752670049667358},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.07980582118034363}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.9099043607711792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6684250831604004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.6444545984268188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C72434380","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q230930","display_name":"State space","level":2,"score":0.59004145860672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C135798126","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2167279","display_name":"Top-down and bottom-up design","level":2,"score":0.561793863773346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5479845404624939},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C52918065","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q230945","display_name":"State-space representation","level":2,"score":0.49959754943847656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115901376","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q184199","display_name":"Automation","level":2,"score":0.43228456377983093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48103436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q599031","display_name":"State (computer science)","level":2,"score":0.4300982654094696},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C174303752","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3624438","display_name":"Forecast error","level":2,"score":0.4267405569553375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3386700749397278},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.32960033416748047},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.20963776111602783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.19683751463890076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.14236968755722046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.12752670049667358},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.07980582118034363},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115903868","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q80993","display_name":"Software engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_26","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_26","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S106296714","display_name":"Lecture notes in computer science","issn_l":"0302-9743","issn":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Lecture Notes in Computer Science","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmh:oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/5809","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11323/5809","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196388","display_name":"DSPACE System - Metalibrary (University of the Coast)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210112678","host_organization_name":"University of the Coast","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210112678"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/5809","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11323/5809","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196388","display_name":"DSPACE System - Metalibrary (University of the Coast)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210112678","host_organization_name":"University of the Coast","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210112678"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":44,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W156840384","https://openalex.org/W645408607","https://openalex.org/W1482953311","https://openalex.org/W1523966875","https://openalex.org/W1554423908","https://openalex.org/W1597178956","https://openalex.org/W1981553219","https://openalex.org/W1983971157","https://openalex.org/W2004386211","https://openalex.org/W2012715891","https://openalex.org/W2016362822","https://openalex.org/W2024353499","https://openalex.org/W2039968229","https://openalex.org/W2040395995","https://openalex.org/W2042450506","https://openalex.org/W2047627693","https://openalex.org/W2048665112","https://openalex.org/W2049112649","https://openalex.org/W2077545332","https://openalex.org/W2077832579","https://openalex.org/W2084175761","https://openalex.org/W2085794166","https://openalex.org/W2085866051","https://openalex.org/W2088000211","https://openalex.org/W2106281346","https://openalex.org/W2109826545","https://openalex.org/W2116512828","https://openalex.org/W2129797080","https://openalex.org/W2132782512","https://openalex.org/W2162174678","https://openalex.org/W2167036165","https://openalex.org/W2313953460","https://openalex.org/W2325346777","https://openalex.org/W2342999241","https://openalex.org/W2346007556","https://openalex.org/W2506665916","https://openalex.org/W2726164200","https://openalex.org/W2967817580","https://openalex.org/W3023090772","https://openalex.org/W3121247175","https://openalex.org/W4229539396","https://openalex.org/W4230471940","https://openalex.org/W4299397599","https://openalex.org/W4301655754"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2906471315","https://openalex.org/W3123992863","https://openalex.org/W3145396767","https://openalex.org/W1637550","https://openalex.org/W2424602818","https://openalex.org/W2099403453","https://openalex.org/W3113583262","https://openalex.org/W2796099799","https://openalex.org/W2554842565","https://openalex.org/W2973840913"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-29T14:22:42.915294","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
