{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2011996814","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-4571(198609)37:5<319::aid-asi7>3.0.co;2-w","title":"Evaluating an information system for policy modeling and uncertainty analysis","display_name":"Evaluating an information system for policy modeling and uncertainty analysis","publication_year":1986,"publication_date":"1986-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2011996814","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-4571(198609)37:5<319::aid-asi7>3.0.co;2-w","mag":"2011996814"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-4571(198609)37:5<319::aid-asi7>3.0.co;2-w","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-4571(198609)37:5<319::aid-asi7>3.0.co;2-w","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210220780","display_name":"Journal of the American Society for Information Science","issn_l":"0002-8231","issn":["0002-8231","1097-4571"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of the American Society for Information Science","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086011020","display_name":"Max Henrion","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8484-3758"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Max Henrion","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5030880091","display_name":"M. Granger Morgan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1384-5814"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. Granger Morgan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113801425","display_name":"Indira Nair","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Indira Nair","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051371700","display_name":"Charles Wiecha","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Charles Wiecha","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5086011020"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":9.5803,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96954902,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"37","issue":"5","first_page":"319","last_page":"330"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10953","display_name":"E-Government and Public Services","score":0.8784000277519226,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10953","display_name":"E-Government and Public Services","score":0.8784000277519226,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11810","display_name":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","score":0.8564000129699707,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11719","display_name":"Data Quality and Management","score":0.7893000245094299,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variety","display_name":"Variety (cybernetics)","score":0.7718784213066101},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7383589148521423},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.6183686256408691},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/key","display_name":"Key (lock)","score":0.592884361743927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.5543121099472046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-analysis","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","score":0.4777892529964447},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/management-science","display_name":"Management science","score":0.47498980164527893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/information-system","display_name":"Information system","score":0.4282362163066864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/systems-engineering","display_name":"Systems engineering","score":0.366036981344223},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.358889639377594},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.19691744446754456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13488203287124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-security","display_name":"Computer security","score":0.11286509037017822}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136197465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1729295","display_name":"Variety (cybernetics)","level":2,"score":0.7718784213066101},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7383589148521423},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.6183686256408691},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.592884361743927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.5543121099472046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.4777892529964447},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.47498980164527893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180198813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q121182","display_name":"Information system","level":2,"score":0.4282362163066864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.366036981344223},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.358889639377594},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.19691744446754456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13488203287124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.11286509037017822},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-4571(198609)37:5<319::aid-asi7>3.0.co;2-w","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-4571(198609)37:5<319::aid-asi7>3.0.co;2-w","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210220780","display_name":"Journal of the American Society for Information Science","issn_l":"0002-8231","issn":["0002-8231","1097-4571"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of the American Society for Information Science","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions","score":0.550000011920929}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":12,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1507690352","https://openalex.org/W1592309064","https://openalex.org/W1982188882","https://openalex.org/W2007842653","https://openalex.org/W2021497591","https://openalex.org/W2033234481","https://openalex.org/W2055591121","https://openalex.org/W2157092806","https://openalex.org/W2169438022","https://openalex.org/W2495993096","https://openalex.org/W6684644833","https://openalex.org/W6723621034"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2032233321","https://openalex.org/W3121970507","https://openalex.org/W2110028391","https://openalex.org/W54497855","https://openalex.org/W217960748","https://openalex.org/W3125814499","https://openalex.org/W2090827041","https://openalex.org/W2094012830","https://openalex.org/W187246281","https://openalex.org/W2079194830"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Some":[0],"key":[1],"issues":[2],"in":[3],"evaluating":[4],"advanced":[5],"information":[6,26],"systems":[7,152],"are":[8,160],"illustrated":[9],"by":[10,133],"the":[11,50,111,114,154],"evaluation":[12,109],"of":[13,86,89,96,104,110,113,150],"a":[14,57,83],"system,":[15],"named":[16],"Demos,":[17],"for":[18,117,144,147,156],"decision":[19,118],"modeling":[20,59,119],"and":[21,77,93,99,108,153],"uncertainty":[22],"analysis.":[23],"Evaluating":[24],"an":[25,123],"system":[27,60,116],"is":[28,33,56,73],"particularly":[29],"hard":[30],"when":[31],"it":[32],"intended":[34,74],"not":[35],"just":[36],"to":[37,48,62,66,75,106],"help":[38],"users":[39],"do":[40,53],"something":[41],"faster":[42],"or":[43],"more":[44,68,79,128],"reliably,":[45],"but":[46,136],"also":[47,139],"transform":[49],"way":[51],"they":[52],"it.":[54],"Demos":[55,115],"nonprocedural":[58],"designed":[61],"encourage":[63,78],"policy":[64],"analysts":[65],"deal":[67],"effectively":[69],"with":[70],"uncertainty.":[71],"It":[72],"facilitate":[76,127],"systematic":[80],"sensitivity":[81],"analysis,":[82],"probabilistic":[84],"treatment":[85],"uncertainty,":[87],"exploration":[88],"alternative":[90],"model":[91,97],"formulations,":[92],"clearer":[94],"communication":[95],"assumptions":[98],"implications.":[100],"A":[101],"wide":[102],"variety":[103],"approaches":[105],"experimentation":[107],"use":[112],"suggest":[120],"that":[121],"such":[122,151],"environment":[124],"can":[125],"indeed":[126],"effective":[129],"modeling,":[130],"at":[131],"least":[132],"expert":[134],"analysts,":[135],"its":[137],"power":[138],"opens":[140],"up":[141],"new":[142],"pitfalls":[143],"novices.":[145],"Implications":[146],"further":[148],"developments":[149],"need":[155],"better":[157],"tutorial":[158],"material":[159],"explored.":[161],"\u00a9":[162],"1986":[163],"John":[164],"Wiley":[165],"&":[166],"Sons,":[167],"Inc.":[168]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
