{"id":"https://openalex.org/W993347263","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","title":"Forecasting Long-term Electricity Demand in the Residential Sector","display_name":"Forecasting Long-term Electricity Demand in the Residential Sector","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W993347263","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","mag":"993347263"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S120348307","display_name":"Procedia Computer Science","issn_l":"1877-0509","issn":["1877-0509"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Procedia Computer Science","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5047993195","display_name":"Jos\u00e9 Francisco Moreira Pessanha","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7134-2388","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7134-2388"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40034438","display_name":"Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro","ror":"https://ror.org/0198v2949","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40034438"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jos\u00e9 Francisco Moreira Pessanha","raw_affiliation_strings":["[Rio de Janeiro State University, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil]"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"[Rio de Janeiro State University, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40034438"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049518945","display_name":"Nelson Le\u00f3n","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nelson Leon","raw_affiliation_strings":["Independent consultor, Rio de Janeiro \u2013 Brazil"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Independent consultor, Rio de Janeiro \u2013 Brazil","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5047993195"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40034438"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.2354,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":27,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.71838984,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"55","issue":null,"first_page":"529","last_page":"538"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9911999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9911999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10603","display_name":"Smart Grid Energy Management","score":0.0026000000070780516,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0020000000949949026,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/residential-electricity-consumption","display_name":"residential electricity consumption","score":0.9929999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electrification-rates","display_name":"electrification rates","score":0.8519999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-projections","display_name":"population projections","score":0.8500000238418579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-scenarios","display_name":"macroeconomic scenarios","score":0.9470000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/universal-electricity-access","display_name":"universal access to electricity","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/appliance-energy-efficiency","display_name":"appliance efficiency","score":0.5649999976158142}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.8645037412643433},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.8000118732452393},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.6702167391777039},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988649059","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1853339","display_name":"Electricity demand","level":4,"score":0.4779543876647949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.4582158923149109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.4229002594947815},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134560507","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q753291","display_name":"Environmental economics","level":1,"score":0.36326080560684204},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.3412700891494751},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C423512","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q383973","display_name":"Electricity generation","level":3,"score":0.24534079432487488},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.1352008581161499},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.11771166324615479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S120348307","display_name":"Procedia Computer Science","issn_l":"1877-0509","issn":["1877-0509"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Procedia Computer Science","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.032","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S120348307","display_name":"Procedia Computer Science","issn_l":"1877-0509","issn":["1877-0509"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Procedia Computer Science","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.5690000057220459,"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7"},{"score":0.5378999710083008,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"},{"score":0.4399999976158142,"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":8,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W14721011","https://openalex.org/W182629641","https://openalex.org/W187725320","https://openalex.org/W214995755","https://openalex.org/W2007191552","https://openalex.org/W2052243691","https://openalex.org/W2230241852","https://openalex.org/W3022183294"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1968252892","https://openalex.org/W2014769544","https://openalex.org/W2762770294","https://openalex.org/W7028726832","https://openalex.org/W6909285054","https://openalex.org/W3034432385","https://openalex.org/W6893819400","https://openalex.org/W1910659437","https://openalex.org/W7058416331","https://openalex.org/W4401966432"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"work":[1],"describes":[2],"a":[3,114,145,163,180],"methodology":[4,15,30,143],"for":[5,58,71,77,100,133,155,184],"long-term":[6,164],"electricity":[7,38,61],"demand":[8,165,182],"forecast":[9,57,115],"in":[10,19,41,63,162,188],"the":[11,20,36,56,59,67,78,88,92,98,102,117,130,171,174,185],"residential":[12,39,64,120,186],"sector.":[13],"The":[14,29,75,107,122,141],"has":[16],"been":[17],"used":[18],"power":[21],"market":[22],"studies":[23],"of":[24,35,53,69,80,91,109,119,159,173],"some":[25],"Brazilian":[26],"distribution":[27],"utilities.":[28],"is":[31,66,82,95],"based":[32,83],"on":[33,84,129],"decomposition":[34],"total":[37,60],"consumption":[40,45,62,124],"three":[42,73],"components:":[43],"average":[44,123,135],"per":[46,125],"consumer":[47,127],"unit,":[48],"electrification":[49,93],"rate":[50,94],"and":[51,138,153,157],"number":[52,79,118],"households.":[54],"Then,":[55],"sector":[65,187],"product":[68,108],"forecasts":[70,183],"these":[72,110],"components.":[74],"prediction":[76],"households":[81],"demographic":[85,151],"models":[86],"while":[87],"future":[89],"trajectory":[90],"defined":[96],"by":[97],"targets":[99],"achieving":[101],"universal":[103],"access":[104],"to":[105,116,147,169],"electricity.":[106],"two":[111],"components":[112],"provides":[113,144],"customers.":[121],"unit":[126],"depends":[128],"macroeconomic":[131,149],"scenarios":[132],"GDP,":[134],"household":[136],"income":[137,139],"distribution.":[140],"proposed":[142,175],"framework":[146],"integrate":[148],"scenario,":[150],"projection":[152],"assumptions":[154],"ownership":[156],"efficiency":[158],"electric":[160],"appliances":[161],"forecast.":[166],"In":[167],"order":[168],"illustrate":[170],"application":[172],"methodology,":[176],"this":[177],"paper":[178],"presents":[179],"ten-year":[181],"Brazil.":[189]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
