{"id":"https://openalex.org/W86750435","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","title":"A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking","display_name":"A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking","publication_year":1983,"publication_date":"1983-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W86750435","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","mag":"86750435"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764718365","display_name":"Advances in psychology","issn_l":"0166-4115","issn":["0166-4115","2543-1056"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Advances in Psychology","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"volume":{"id":"https://openalex.org/W592023926","display_name":"Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043525132","display_name":"Lawrence D. Phillips","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4267-4973","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4267-4973"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I909854389","display_name":"London School of Economics and Political Science","ror":"https://ror.org/0090zs177","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124357947","https://openalex.org/I909854389"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Lawrence D. Phillips","raw_affiliation_strings":["London School of Economics and Political Science, England","London School of Economics & Political Science, England"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"London School of Economics and Political Science, England","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I909854389"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"London School of Economics & Political Science, England","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I909854389"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5043525132"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I909854389"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.4175,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":33,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94444444,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"525","last_page":"543"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12574","display_name":"Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2714","display_name":"Family Practice"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12694","display_name":"Categorization, perception, and language","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/heuristics-and-biases","display_name":"heuristics and biases","score":0.9900000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-reasoning","display_name":"probabilistic reasoning","score":0.9070000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/problem-structuring","display_name":"problem structuring","score":0.9679999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/internal-representations","display_name":"internal representations","score":0.4790000021457672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-making","display_name":"decision-making","score":0.7369999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expected-utility-theory","display_name":"expected utility theory","score":0.6909999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bias-mitigation","display_name":"bias mitigation","score":0.5820000171661377}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127705205","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5748245","display_name":"Heuristics","level":2,"score":0.8584622144699097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.6828489303588867},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44725695","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q288156","display_name":"Normative","level":2,"score":0.6740530133247375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12713177","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1900281","display_name":"Perspective (graphical)","level":2,"score":0.6474758982658386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776548248","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12621536","display_name":"Judgement","level":2,"score":0.6064818501472473},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776436953","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5163215","display_name":"Consistency (knowledge bases)","level":2,"score":0.5168474316596985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.5026130676269531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.48116549849510193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39890363","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36108","display_name":"Generative grammar","level":2,"score":0.44730138778686523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776359362","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2145286","display_name":"Representation (politics)","level":3,"score":0.447216272354126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.42782971262931824},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.39209744334220886},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180747234","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23373","display_name":"Cognitive psychology","level":1,"score":0.37787824869155884},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188147891","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q147638","display_name":"Cognitive science","level":1,"score":0.32210206985473633},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.22032412886619568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.18705996870994568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0166-4115(08)62256-6","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764718365","display_name":"Advances in psychology","issn_l":"0166-4115","issn":["0166-4115","2543-1056"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Advances in Psychology","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmh:oai:eprints.lse.ac.uk:27317","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/27317/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401593","display_name":"London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I909854389","host_organization_name":"London School of Economics and Political Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I909854389"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Book Section"},{"id":"pmh:oai:researchonline.lse.ac.uk:27317","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/27317/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401593","display_name":"London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I909854389","host_organization_name":"London School of Economics and Political Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I909854389"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","score":0.7900000214576721,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":36,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W10771331","https://openalex.org/W29944862","https://openalex.org/W33068274","https://openalex.org/W41792005","https://openalex.org/W111702167","https://openalex.org/W145737432","https://openalex.org/W1030996250","https://openalex.org/W1482847666","https://openalex.org/W1509045286","https://openalex.org/W1522174440","https://openalex.org/W1543278958","https://openalex.org/W1580673008","https://openalex.org/W1706722816","https://openalex.org/W1976624377","https://openalex.org/W2009416565","https://openalex.org/W2017656651","https://openalex.org/W2037410390","https://openalex.org/W2049378597","https://openalex.org/W2051704969","https://openalex.org/W2054571746","https://openalex.org/W2058088559","https://openalex.org/W2069418697","https://openalex.org/W2082213553","https://openalex.org/W2096229388","https://openalex.org/W2096452841","https://openalex.org/W2125413127","https://openalex.org/W2133469585","https://openalex.org/W2145170747","https://openalex.org/W2285045426","https://openalex.org/W2499912650","https://openalex.org/W2752410476","https://openalex.org/W3011865677","https://openalex.org/W3162099472","https://openalex.org/W4236433272","https://openalex.org/W4253493017","https://openalex.org/W4292157289"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7161588866","https://openalex.org/W7097190729","https://openalex.org/W2145161351","https://openalex.org/W4244620488","https://openalex.org/W7095529053","https://openalex.org/W4300931159","https://openalex.org/W1629226005","https://openalex.org/W969999093","https://openalex.org/W314086708","https://openalex.org/W4253504146"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-27T15:51:10.671819","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}