{"id":"https://openalex.org/W86338657","doi":null,"title":"A decision support system for use of probability forecasts","display_name":"A decision support system for use of probability forecasts","publication_year":2013,"publication_date":"2013-05-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W86338657","mag":"86338657"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","pdf_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400906","display_name":"Research Repository (Delft University of Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","host_organization_name":"Delft University of Technology","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"conference paper"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5020119296","display_name":"Simone De Kleermaeker","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Simone De Kleermaeker","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055857499","display_name":"Jan S. Verkade","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5437-7717","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5437-7717"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I331567899","display_name":"Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management","ror":"https://ror.org/056a6x975","country_code":"NL","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I331567899","https://openalex.org/I4210140876"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jan Verkade","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ministry of Infrastructure and the Environment, The Hague, Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5437-7717","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ministry of Infrastructure and the Environment, The Hague, Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I331567899"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.6608,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82764604,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.5170999765396118,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.5170999765396118,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10969","display_name":"Water resources management and optimization","score":0.3792000114917755,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.07249999791383743,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-support-system","display_name":"decision support system","score":0.8320000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"probabilistic forecasting","score":0.984000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hydrological-forecasting","display_name":"hydrological forecasting","score":0.7680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-uncertainty","display_name":"forecast uncertainty","score":0.8450000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-based-decision-making","display_name":"risk-based decision making","score":0.949999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/water-management","display_name":"water management","score":0.8859999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flood-damage-assessment","display_name":"flood damage assessment","score":0.8199999928474426}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986080485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1331926","display_name":"Decision maker","level":2,"score":0.6762853264808655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107327155","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q330268","display_name":"Decision support system","level":2,"score":0.6724135875701904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5667904615402222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33676613","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q13415176","display_name":"Dimension (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.5399302244186401},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.5349138379096985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186116695","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5249226","display_name":"Decision analysis","level":2,"score":0.5192232728004456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74256435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q134052","display_name":"Flood myth","level":2,"score":0.4975750744342804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97944126","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5001864","display_name":"Business decision mapping","level":3,"score":0.46270158886909485},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32896092","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189447","display_name":"Risk management","level":2,"score":0.43777281045913696},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.37984803318977356},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.16452932357788086},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1546470820903778},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.1543615460395813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.11434873938560486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.08718028664588928},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C27206212","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34178","display_name":"Theology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202444582","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q837863","display_name":"Pure mathematics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","pdf_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400906","display_name":"Research Repository (Delft University of Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","host_organization_name":"Delft University of Technology","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"conference paper"},{"id":"pmh:tud:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401843","display_name":"Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1322597698","host_organization_name":"Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1322597698"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISCRAM 2013: Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, Baden-Baden, Germany, 12-15 May 2013","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferencepaper"},{"id":"mag:86338657","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://repository.tudelft.nl/islandora/object/uuid%3A3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306419566","display_name":"International Conference on Information Systems","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"International Conference on Information Systems","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","pdf_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3dc8f192-25fc-4b9c-a548-fd78eb2caca5","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400906","display_name":"Research Repository (Delft University of Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","host_organization_name":"Delft University of Technology","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"conference paper"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W86338657.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W86338657.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":1,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2012667155"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2577962795","https://openalex.org/W2401164072","https://openalex.org/W2043914021","https://openalex.org/W2010275421","https://openalex.org/W1993369765","https://openalex.org/W2047423205","https://openalex.org/W2292890368","https://openalex.org/W6195550","https://openalex.org/W4246690748","https://openalex.org/W7099852689"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Often,":[0],"water":[1],"management":[2],"decisions":[3],"are":[4,10],"based":[5],"on":[6],"hydrological":[7],"forecasts,":[8],"which":[9],"affected":[11],"by":[12],"inherent":[13],"uncertainties.":[14,27],"It":[15],"is":[16,155],"increasingly":[17,85],"common":[18],"for":[19,42,87,105,133,152],"forecasters":[20,53],"to":[21,67,78,90],"make":[22],"explicit":[23],"estimates":[24,117],"of":[25,36,50,71,118,125,140],"these":[26,135],"Associated":[28],"benefits":[29],"include":[30],"the":[31,40,68,138],"decision":[32,55,88,107,146],"makers\u2019":[33],"increased":[34],"awareness":[35],"forecasting":[37],"uncertainties":[38],"and":[39,54,121,123,137],"potential":[41],"risk-based":[43,106],"decision-making.":[44],"Also,":[45],"a":[46,76,95,102,144],"more":[47],"strict":[48],"separation":[49],"responsibilities":[51],"between":[52],"maker":[56],"can":[57],"be":[58,113],"made.":[59],"A":[60,150],"recent":[61],"study":[62],"identified":[63],"some":[64],"issues":[65,136],"related":[66],"effective":[69],"use":[70],"probability":[72,99],"forecasts.":[73],"These":[74],"add":[75],"dimension":[77],"an":[79],"already":[80],"multi-dimensional":[81],"problem,":[82],"making":[83],"it":[84],"difficult":[86],"makers":[89],"extract":[91],"relevant":[92],"information":[93],"from":[94],"forecast.":[96],"Secondly,":[97],"while":[98],"forecasts":[100],"provide":[101],"necessary":[103],"ingredient":[104],"making,":[108],"other":[109],"ingredients":[110],"may":[111],"not":[112],"fully":[114],"known,":[115],"including":[116],"flood":[119],"damage":[120,126],"costs":[122],"effect":[124],"reducing":[127],"measures.":[128],"Here,":[129],"we":[130],"present":[131],"suggestions":[132],"resolving":[134],"integration":[139],"those":[141],"solutions":[142],"in":[143],"prototype":[145],"support":[147],"system":[148],"(DSS).":[149],"pathway":[151],"further":[153],"development":[154],"outlined.":[156]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}