{"id":"https://openalex.org/W80956910","doi":null,"title":"Chaos theory in predicting surge water levels in the North Sea","display_name":"Chaos theory in predicting surge water levels in the North Sea","publication_year":2000,"publication_date":"2000-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W80956910","mag":"80956910"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.330.688","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.330.688","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.unesco-ihe.org/hi/sol/papers/HI2000-Chaos.pdf","raw_type":"text"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015835580","display_name":"DIMITRI P. SOLOMATINE","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2031-9871","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2031-9871"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"D. P. Solomatine","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Crist\u00f3bal Rojas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9037-6102","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9037-6102"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Crist\u00f3bal Rojas","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9037-6102","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036633813","display_name":"Slavco Velickov","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Slavco Velickov","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5007177223","display_name":"J. C. W\u00fcst","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J. C. W\u00fcst","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.2774,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":27,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.84082547,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10647","display_name":"Coastal and Marine Dynamics","score":0.5570999979972839,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1904","display_name":"Earth-Surface Processes"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10647","display_name":"Coastal and Marine Dynamics","score":0.5570999979972839,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1904","display_name":"Earth-Surface Processes"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10255","display_name":"Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes","score":0.09390000253915787,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1910","display_name":"Oceanography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10244","display_name":"Chaos control and synchronization","score":0.054999999701976776,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/north-sea","display_name":"North Sea","score":0.652999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/chaos-theory","display_name":"chaos theory","score":0.8349999785423279},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/chaotic-time-series-prediction","display_name":"chaotic time series prediction","score":0.6029999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ship-navigation","display_name":"ship navigation","score":0.5519999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/arima-model","display_name":"ARIMA model","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autocorrelation","display_name":"autocorrelation","score":0.8730000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wavelet-analysis","display_name":"wavelet analysis","score":0.7229999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"data mining","score":0.5759999752044678}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154108245","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q287381","display_name":"Surge","level":2,"score":0.707008957862854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.580493688583374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C92866567","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q166314","display_name":"Chaos theory","level":3,"score":0.5443108081817627},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777052490","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5072826","display_name":"Chaotic","level":2,"score":0.5371734499931335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5338486433029175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.5027642250061035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.43767234683036804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.38543635606765747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.35328614711761475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.33580079674720764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3201448917388916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.26433369517326355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.24305787682533264},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.24170920252799988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.23111987113952637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.14391615986824036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.330.688","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.330.688","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.unesco-ihe.org/hi/sol/papers/HI2000-Chaos.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"mag:80956910","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Dimitri_Solomatine/publication/254549699_Chaos_theory_in_predicting_surge_water_levels_in_the_North_Sea/links/55f059ce08ae0af8ee1d1631.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1549386224","https://openalex.org/W2019029863","https://openalex.org/W2031365860","https://openalex.org/W2040704490","https://openalex.org/W2041404167","https://openalex.org/W2041905826","https://openalex.org/W2068844879","https://openalex.org/W2071296833","https://openalex.org/W2090172491","https://openalex.org/W2114001875","https://openalex.org/W2121334118","https://openalex.org/W2141394518","https://openalex.org/W2156909104","https://openalex.org/W2313953460","https://openalex.org/W3176826459"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2098609380","https://openalex.org/W2150008219","https://openalex.org/W2489385516","https://openalex.org/W6986516815","https://openalex.org/W2145796524","https://openalex.org/W7099503766","https://openalex.org/W2261113424","https://openalex.org/W3170036809","https://openalex.org/W1997036198","https://openalex.org/W2047892943"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT:":[0],"The":[1,15,81,111],"problem":[2],"of":[3,22,26,33,97,106,134],"predicting":[4],"surge":[5,70],"water":[6],"levels":[7],"is":[8,28,52,117],"important":[9],"for":[10,120,126,132],"ship":[11],"guidance":[12],"and":[13,50,88,104,123,138],"navigation.":[14],"data":[16,44,142],"collected":[17],"in":[18,73,102],"the":[19,23,41,59,69,135],"coastal":[20],"waters":[21],"Netherlands":[24],"(Hook":[25],"Holland)":[27],"analysed":[29],"with":[30],"an":[31],"objective":[32],"making":[34],"such":[35],"prediction.":[36],"It":[37,66],"was":[38],"found":[39],"that":[40,68],"correlation":[42],"between":[43],"on":[45,58],"surge,":[46,103],"temperature,":[47],"air":[48],"pressure":[49],"wind":[51],"not":[53,92],"sufficient":[54,94],"to":[55,78],"rely":[56],"only":[57],"input-output":[60],"(connectionist)":[61],"models":[62,90],"like":[63],"neural":[64],"networks.":[65],"appeared":[67],"time":[71],"series":[72],"itself":[74],"has":[75],"enough":[76],"information":[77],"make":[79],"predictions.":[80],"applied":[82],"linear":[83],"prediction":[84,136],"methods":[85,105],"including":[86],"autocorrelation":[87],"ARIMA":[89],"could":[91],"provide":[93],"accuracy.":[95],"Features":[96],"chaotic":[98],"behaviour":[99],"were":[100,109,145],"identified":[101],"chaos":[107],"theory":[108],"applied.":[110],"predictions":[112],"are":[113],"quite":[114],"accurate":[115],"(RMSE":[116],"3.6":[118],"cm":[119,125],"1":[121],"hour,":[122],"6.1":[124],"3":[127],"hours).":[128],"Possible":[129],"techniques":[130],"allowing":[131],"increase":[133],"accuracy":[137],"horizon":[139],"(wavelet":[140],"analysis,":[141],"mining":[143],"techniques)":[144],"also":[146],"identified.":[147]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}