{"id":"https://openalex.org/W773630165","doi":null,"title":"Uncertainty in forecasts of complex rule-based systems of travel demand: Comparative analysis of the Albatross/Feathers model system","display_name":"Uncertainty in forecasts of complex rule-based systems of travel demand: Comparative analysis of the Albatross/Feathers model system","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W773630165","mag":"773630165"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:orbi.ulg.ac.be:2268/143214","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/143214","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401300","display_name":"ORBi (University of Li\u00e8ge)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I157674565","host_organization_name":"University of Li\u00e8ge","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157674565"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research (2012); 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, from 15-07-2012 to 20-07-2012","raw_type":"http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/143214","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078858834","display_name":"Soora Rasouli","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8044-8654","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8044-8654"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Soora Rasouli","raw_affiliation_strings":["[TU/e]"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8044-8654","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"[TU/e]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072206545","display_name":"Mario Cools","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3098-2693","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3098-2693"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I157674565","display_name":"University of Li\u00e8ge","ror":"https://ror.org/00afp2z80","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157674565"]}],"countries":["BE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mario Cools","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universit\u00e9 de Li\u00e8ge - ULg > D\u00e9partement Argenco : Secteur TLU+C > Transports et mobilit\u00e9 >"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3098-2693","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universit\u00e9 de Li\u00e8ge - ULg > D\u00e9partement Argenco : Secteur TLU+C > Transports et mobilit\u00e9 >","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I157674565"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5030424747","display_name":"Bruno Kochan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6456-2799","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6456-2799"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I878454856","display_name":"Hasselt University","ror":"https://ror.org/04nbhqj75","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I878454856"]}],"countries":["BE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bruno Kochan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universiteit Hasselt - UH"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6456-2799","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universiteit Hasselt - UH","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I878454856"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060311599","display_name":"Theo Arentze","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2551-8650","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2551-8650"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Theo Arentze","raw_affiliation_strings":["[TU/e]"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2551-8650","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"[TU/e]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003371264","display_name":"Tom Bellemans","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6839-3072","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6839-3072"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I878454856","display_name":"Hasselt University","ror":"https://ror.org/04nbhqj75","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I878454856"]}],"countries":["BE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tom Bellemans","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universiteit Hasselt - UH"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6839-3072","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universiteit Hasselt - UH","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I878454856"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023370333","display_name":"Davy Janssens","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4809-5363","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4809-5363"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I878454856","display_name":"Hasselt University","ror":"https://ror.org/04nbhqj75","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I878454856"]}],"countries":["BE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Davy Janssens","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universiteit Hasselt - UH"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4809-5363","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universiteit Hasselt - UH","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I878454856"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111383531","display_name":"Harry J.P. Timmermans","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8737-4632","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8737-4632"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Harry Timmermans","raw_affiliation_strings":["[TU/e]"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"[TU/e]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.2018,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82976325,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.9911999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.9911999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10298","display_name":"Urban Transport and Accessibility","score":0.0007999999797903001,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11344","display_name":"Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/travel-demand-forecasting","display_name":"travel demand forecasting","score":0.6890000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-uncertainty","display_name":"model uncertainty","score":0.7459999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rule-based-systems","display_name":"rule-based systems","score":0.7059999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coefficient-of-variation","display_name":"coefficient of variation","score":0.7889999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/classification-complexity","display_name":"classification complexity","score":0.609000027179718}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778344349","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55805","display_name":"Albatross","level":2,"score":0.9707942008972168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.5458623766899109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.5366880893707275},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.5188739895820618},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127745971","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81025","display_name":"Feather","level":2,"score":0.5117282867431641},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780084366","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demographics","level":2,"score":0.44628143310546875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4006623327732086},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.38963407278060913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.24122169613838196},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.17063629627227783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.07169851660728455},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:orbi.ulg.ac.be:2268/143214","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/143214","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401300","display_name":"ORBi (University of Li\u00e8ge)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I157674565","host_organization_name":"University of Li\u00e8ge","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157674565"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research (2012); 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, from 15-07-2012 to 20-07-2012","raw_type":"http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794"},{"id":"pmh:741279","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://library.tue.nl/csp/dare/LinkToRepository.csp?recordnumber=741279","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:library.tue.nl:741279","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://repository.tue.nl/741279","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:tue:oai:library.tue.nl:741279","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://repository.tue.nl/741279","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/other"},{"id":"mag:773630165","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://orbi.ulg.ac.be/bitstream/2268/143214/1/IATBRRasoulietal-%28submitted%29.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:orbi.ulg.ac.be:2268/143214","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/143214","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401300","display_name":"ORBi (University of Li\u00e8ge)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I157674565","host_organization_name":"University of Li\u00e8ge","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157674565"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research (2012); 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, from 15-07-2012 to 20-07-2012","raw_type":"http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":9,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W578014866","https://openalex.org/W605721975","https://openalex.org/W2002934490","https://openalex.org/W2058309190","https://openalex.org/W2064770479","https://openalex.org/W2075583239","https://openalex.org/W2078263427","https://openalex.org/W2163319347","https://openalex.org/W2218540254"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1968866213","https://openalex.org/W2810455824","https://openalex.org/W131330802","https://openalex.org/W2008467464","https://openalex.org/W605721975","https://openalex.org/W2074641447","https://openalex.org/W849459597","https://openalex.org/W2130804874","https://openalex.org/W622621711","https://openalex.org/W2803038211"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"documents":[2],"the":[3,13,19,31,34,39,55,94,99,104,107],"results":[4],"of":[5,9,12,33,36,73,98,106,112,115],"a":[6,74],"comparative":[7],"analysis":[8,76],"model":[10,15,66],"uncertainty":[11,67,83],"\\nAlbatross/Feathers":[14],"system":[16],"for":[17,38],"respectively":[18],"Rotterdam":[20],"region,":[21,26],"The":[22,28,45],"Netherlands":[23],"and":[24,54,103],"\\nAntwerp":[25],"Belgium.":[27],"assessment":[29],"concerned":[30],"calculation":[32],"coefficient":[35],"\\nvariation":[37],"daily":[40,85],"distance":[41],"travelled":[42,87],"per":[43,88],"person.":[44],"calculations":[46],"are":[47],"performed":[48],"both":[49,81],"at":[50],"\\nthe":[51,113],"aggregated":[52],"level":[53,57],"disaggregated":[56],"(e.g.":[58],"disaggregation":[59],"by":[60,69],"certain":[61],"\\nsocio-demographics).":[62],"Results":[63,72],"indicate":[64,78],"that":[65,79],"differs":[68],"socio-demographic":[70],"\\ngroups.":[71],"regression":[75],"also":[77],"in":[80,84,110],"regions":[82],"\\ndistance":[86],"person":[89],"is":[90],"strongly":[91],"correlated":[92],"with":[93],"inverse":[95],"square":[96],"root":[97],"relevant":[100],"\\nsocio-demographic":[101],"population":[102],"complexity":[105],"classification,":[108],"measured":[109],"terms":[111],"number":[114],"possible":[116],"classes.":[117]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-27T15:51:10.671819","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}