{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225790428","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","title":"Climate and urban land-use controls on potential groundwater recharge under CMIP6 futures: multi-model uncertainty in a monsoon-dominated urban region","display_name":"Climate and urban land-use controls on potential groundwater recharge under CMIP6 futures: multi-model uncertainty in a monsoon-dominated urban region","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-11","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225790428","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5147884338","display_name":"Gour Dhan Barman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8226-7645","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8226-7645"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I133190216","display_name":"Shahjalal University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05hm0vv72","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I133190216"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Gour Dhan Barman","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet 3114, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet 3114, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I133190216"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5147884338"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I133190216"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.5092999935150146,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.5092999935150146,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10398","display_name":"Groundwater and Isotope Geochemistry","score":0.3452000021934509,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1906","display_name":"Geochemistry and Petrology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11119","display_name":"Urban Stormwater Management Solutions","score":0.024399999529123306,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C174091901","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2670986","display_name":"Groundwater recharge","level":4,"score":0.9815000295639038},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.6603999733924866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76886044","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2883300","display_name":"Hydrology (agriculture)","level":2,"score":0.5339000225067139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76177295","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161598","display_name":"Groundwater","level":2,"score":0.5188000202178955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.48420000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136996986","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42967","display_name":"Monsoon","level":2,"score":0.4422000050544739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187606762","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2670986","display_name":"Depression-focused recharge","level":5,"score":0.4077000021934509},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107054158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25257","display_name":"Precipitation","level":2,"score":0.3425999879837036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153400128","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3150731","display_name":"Infiltration (HVAC)","level":2,"score":0.30959999561309814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176783924","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q828158","display_name":"Evapotranspiration","level":2,"score":0.3093999922275543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.2971999943256378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C167063184","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1400839","display_name":"Vulnerability assessment","level":3,"score":0.2897000014781952},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524765639","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1501619","display_name":"Water resource management","level":1,"score":0.288100004196167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95713431","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q631425","display_name":"Vulnerability (computing)","level":2,"score":0.2685999870300293},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115343472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Global warming","level":3,"score":0.2653999924659729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75622301","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q208791","display_name":"Aquifer","level":3,"score":0.2619999945163727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197115733","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1003136","display_name":"Forcing (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.2574000060558319},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4792198","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1165944","display_name":"Land use","level":2,"score":0.2547999918460846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176650113","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q370689","display_name":"Groundwater model","level":5,"score":0.25209999084472656}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011975/v1","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Urban":[0],"groundwater":[1,63,66,165,173],"sustainability":[2],"depends":[3],"on":[4,159],"how":[5],"climate":[6,51,57],"change":[7],"and":[8,20,61,74,149,200,203],"land-use":[9],"transformation":[10],"alter":[11],"recharge,":[12],"yet":[13],"these":[14],"controls":[15,158],"are":[16],"often":[17],"assessed":[18],"separately":[19],"with":[21,172,183],"limited":[22],"representation":[23],"of":[24,104,126,156],"climate-model":[25],"uncertainty.":[26],"This":[27],"study":[28],"developed":[29],"a":[30,77,176],"30-m":[31],"Soil-Water-Balance":[32],"(SWB2)":[33],"framework":[34],"for":[35],"Sylhet":[36],"City":[37],"Corporation,":[38],"Bangladesh,":[39],"integrating":[40],"annual":[41],"historical":[42],"land":[43,47],"use,":[44,48],"FLUS-derived":[45],"future":[46,96,118,191],"bias-corrected":[49],"daily":[50],"forcing":[52],"from":[53,195],"14":[54],"CMIP6":[55],"global":[56],"models,":[58],"parameter-sensitivity":[59],"experiments,":[60],"independent":[62],"observations.":[64],"Potential":[65],"recharge":[67,82,90,128,142,167,193,213],"was":[68,83,143],"represented":[69],"by":[70,92],"SWB2":[71],"net":[72,151],"infiltration":[73],"evaluated":[75],"against":[76],"2000\u20132020":[78],"baseline.":[79],"Historical":[80],"mean":[81],"517.75":[84],"mm":[85],"yr\u22121.":[86],"Under":[87],"SSP2-4.5,":[88],"ensemble-mean":[89],"declined":[91],"16.3\u201330.9%":[93],"across":[94],"four":[95],"periods":[97],"through":[98],"2100,":[99],"while":[100,130],"SSP5-8.5":[101],"produced":[102],"reductions":[103],"14.7\u201322.9%.":[105],"Recharge":[106],"remained":[107],"strongly":[108],"concentrated":[109],"in":[110,135,215],"the":[111,154,163],"monsoon":[112,218],"season,":[113],"although":[114],"all":[115],"seasons":[116],"showed":[117,140],"declines.":[119],"Spatial":[120],"model-sign":[121],"analysis":[122],"identified":[123],"extensive":[124],"areas":[125],"robust":[127],"decrease,":[129],"substantial":[131],"inter-model":[132],"spread":[133],"persisted":[134],"projected":[136],"magnitudes.":[137],"Sensitivity":[138],"experiments":[139],"that":[141,190,204],"most":[144],"responsive":[145],"to":[146],"curve":[147],"number":[148],"maximum":[150],"infiltration,":[152],"highlighting":[153],"importance":[155],"land-surface":[157],"runoff\u2013infiltration":[160],"partitioning.":[161],"At":[162],"near-boundary":[164],"station,":[166],"anomalies":[168],"were":[169],"positively":[170],"associated":[171],"response":[174],"at":[175],"one-month":[177],"lag":[178],"(Spearman":[179],"\u03c1":[180],"=":[181],"0.466),":[182],"stable":[184],"leave-one-year-out":[185],"behaviour.":[186],"These":[187],"results":[188],"demonstrate":[189],"urban":[192],"emerges":[194],"interacting":[196],"climatic,":[197],"land-surface,":[198],"seasonal,":[199],"model-structural":[201],"controls,":[202],"multi-model":[205],"uncertainty":[206],"should":[207],"be":[208],"explicitly":[209],"considered":[210],"when":[211],"assessing":[212],"vulnerability":[214],"rapidly":[216],"urbanizing":[217],"environments.":[219]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-12T12:28:57.059296","created_date":"2026-11-12T00:00:00"}