{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225758705","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","title":"Prison suicide in Italy, 1992\u20132025: a time-series analysis of long-term trends and changepoints","display_name":"Prison suicide in Italy, 1992\u20132025: a time-series analysis of long-term trends and changepoints","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225758705","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/43006677"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4390296992","display_name":"International Journal of Prison Health","issn_l":"2977-0254","issn":["2977-0254","2977-0262"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["medline"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Prison Health","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052286827","display_name":"Gabriele Prati","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0749-183X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0749-183X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I9360294","display_name":"University of Bologna","ror":"https://ror.org/01111rn36","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9360294"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Gabriele Prati","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bologna Department of Psychology \u201cRenzo Canestrari\u201d, , Bologna,"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0749-183X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bologna Department of Psychology \u201cRenzo Canestrari\u201d, , Bologna,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9360294"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021321620","display_name":"Francesca Esposito","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1698-5046","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1698-5046"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I9360294","display_name":"University of Bologna","ror":"https://ror.org/01111rn36","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9360294"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Francesca Esposito","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bologna Department of Psychology \u201cRenzo Canestrari\u201d, , Bologna,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bologna Department of Psychology \u201cRenzo Canestrari\u201d, , Bologna,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9360294"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5052286827"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9360294"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"11"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10376","display_name":"Suicide and Self-Harm Studies","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3203","display_name":"Clinical Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10376","display_name":"Suicide and Self-Harm Studies","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3203","display_name":"Clinical Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10318","display_name":"Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis","score":0.0034000000450760126,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13605","display_name":"Homicide, Infanticide, and Child Abuse","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780656516","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q40357","display_name":"Prison","level":2,"score":0.8452000021934509},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3020705882","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q210297","display_name":"Suicide rates","level":4,"score":0.6287999749183655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.5055000185966492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C526869908","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3298118","display_name":"Suicide prevention","level":3,"score":0.4578999876976013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127142870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7838279","display_name":"Trend analysis","level":2,"score":0.4575999975204468},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C521751864","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1729207","display_name":"Christian ministry","level":2,"score":0.4357999861240387},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3017944768","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1450463","display_name":"Poison control","level":2,"score":0.42410001158714294},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.3824000060558319},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C190385971","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q373494","display_name":"Injury prevention","level":3,"score":0.36239999532699585},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73484699","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161733","display_name":"Criminology","level":1,"score":0.3553999960422516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018688061","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7245786","display_name":"Prison population","level":3,"score":0.3547999858856201},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.3537999987602234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166735990","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1750812","display_name":"Human factors and ergonomics","level":3,"score":0.3440000116825104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3181999921798706},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C16741180","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2485083","display_name":"Suicide methods","level":5,"score":0.30649998784065247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C179755657","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q58702","display_name":"Mortality rate","level":2,"score":0.29510000348091125},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187155963","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q629029","display_name":"Occupational safety and health","level":2,"score":0.28299999237060547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.2703999876976013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.26010000705718994}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoph-06-2026-0086","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4390296992","display_name":"International Journal of Prison Health","issn_l":"2977-0254","issn":["2977-0254","2977-0262"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["medline"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Prison Health","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:43006677","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/43006677","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International journal of prison health","raw_type":"Journal Article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2026054539","https://openalex.org/W2042911354","https://openalex.org/W2081200567","https://openalex.org/W2097420075","https://openalex.org/W2150470136","https://openalex.org/W2761867084","https://openalex.org/W2768480045","https://openalex.org/W2965689387","https://openalex.org/W3092629113","https://openalex.org/W3127287969","https://openalex.org/W4221030828","https://openalex.org/W4399143521","https://openalex.org/W4399803003","https://openalex.org/W4408452358","https://openalex.org/W4408452620"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"PURPOSE:":[0],"Suicide":[1,53],"is":[2,185],"one":[3],"of":[4,8,50,171,180,195,210],"the":[5,47,93,99,132,151,160,165,168,178,181,186,208,215,236],"leading":[6],"causes":[7],"death":[9],"among":[10],"people":[11,59],"in":[12,17,21,36,61,129,146,199,226],"prison,":[13],"yet":[14],"long-term":[15,161],"trends":[16,77,198],"prison":[18,62,223],"suicide":[19,34,83,224],"rates":[20,35,54,84,113,225],"Italy":[22,200,227],"have":[23,228],"received":[24],"limited":[25],"empirical":[26],"attention.":[27],"This":[28],"study":[29,188],"aimed":[30],"to":[31,41,74,120,189],"examine":[32],"annual":[33],"Italian":[37,48],"prisons":[38],"from":[39,46,90],"1992":[40,91],"2025":[42],"using":[43,201],"official":[44],"data":[45],"Ministry":[49],"Justice.":[51],"DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH:":[52],"were":[55,85,114],"expressed":[56],"per":[57],"10,000":[58],"present":[60],"(annual":[63],"average).":[64],"A":[65,122],"Bayesian":[66],"ensemble":[67],"time-series":[68],"decomposition":[69],"algorithm,":[70],"BEAST,":[71],"was":[72],"used":[73],"identify":[75,137],"temporal":[76,212],"and":[78,214,232],"potential":[79],"changepoints.":[80],"FINDINGS:":[81],"Prison":[82],"broadly":[86],"stable":[87,116],"or":[88],"declining":[89],"through":[92],"early":[94],"2010s,":[95,166],"then":[96],"increased":[97],"during":[98,131,164],"mid-to-late":[100],"2010s.":[101],"The":[102,143],"main":[103],"analysis":[104,124],"suggested":[105],"a":[106,127,138,230],"further":[107],"change":[108,128,140],"around":[109,141],"2022,":[110],"after":[111],"which":[112],"approximately":[115],"rather":[117],"than":[118,150,192],"continuing":[119],"rise.":[121],"complementary":[123,202],"also":[125],"identified":[126],"trend":[130],"mid-2010s,":[133],"but":[134],"did":[135],"not":[136],"separate":[139],"2022.":[142],"average":[144,152],"rate":[145],"2023-2025":[147],"remained":[148],"higher":[149],"before":[153],"2014.":[154],"Overall,":[155],"both":[156,207],"analyses":[157],"indicate":[158,221],"that":[159,172,222],"pattern":[162],"shifted":[163],"although":[167],"exact":[169],"timing":[170,209],"shift":[173],"remains":[174],"uncertain.":[175],"ORIGINALITY/VALUE:":[176],"To":[177],"best":[179],"authors'":[182],"knowledge,":[183],"this":[184],"first":[187],"characterize":[190],"more":[191],"three":[193],"decades":[194],"national":[196],"prison-suicide":[197],"changepoint":[203],"methods,":[204],"thereby":[205],"quantifying":[206],"major":[211],"shifts":[213],"uncertainty":[216],"surrounding":[217],"them.":[218],"These":[219],"findings":[220],"entered":[229],"distinct":[231],"concerning":[233],"phase":[234],"over":[235],"past":[237],"decade.":[238]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-11T12:16:26.678958","created_date":"2026-11-11T00:00:00"}