{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225747768","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","title":"Do Global Oil Prices Explain Inflation in Bangladesh? Evidence from Annual Data, 1990\u20132025","display_name":"Do Global Oil Prices Explain Inflation in Bangladesh? Evidence from Annual Data, 1990\u20132025","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225747768","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-11661223/latest.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525896","display_name":"Research Square","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Research Square","raw_type":"posted-content"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-11661223/latest.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5160017230","display_name":"Zihad Alam Talha","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8823-4029","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8823-4029"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I150263970","display_name":"Jagannath University","ror":"https://ror.org/0582p8j71","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I150263970"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210125938","display_name":"Jagannath University","ror":"https://ror.org/02c4z7527","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210125938"]}],"countries":["BD","IN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Zihad Alam Talha","raw_affiliation_strings":["Jagannath University"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8823-4029","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Jagannath University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I150263970","https://openalex.org/I4210125938"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5160017230"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I150263970","https://openalex.org/I4210125938"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11059","display_name":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","score":0.9922000169754028,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11059","display_name":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","score":0.9922000169754028,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.007300000172108412,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11898","display_name":"Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets","score":0.0005000000237487257,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.8285999894142151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200941418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273508","display_name":"Inflation (cosmology)","level":2,"score":0.727400004863739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C84976871","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2015673","display_name":"Openness to experience","level":2,"score":0.6491000056266785},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95383336","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4198710","display_name":"Depreciation (economics)","level":5,"score":0.6488000154495239},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984556133","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q297279","display_name":"Oil price","level":2,"score":0.5914000272750854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776988154","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q66100","display_name":"Exchange rate","level":2,"score":0.5702999830245972},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5202000141143799},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89128539","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1949963","display_name":"Statistic","level":2,"score":0.4569999873638153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C181683161","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7301159","display_name":"Real gross domestic product","level":2,"score":0.4564000070095062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.450300008058548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44648626","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1049848","display_name":"Percentage point","level":2,"score":0.40950000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C34881761","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1936341","display_name":"Price level","level":2,"score":0.3450999855995178},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779685004","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1570293","display_name":"Terms of trade","level":2,"score":0.33390000462532043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.32100000977516174},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6422946","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q857354","display_name":"Panel data","level":2,"score":0.30869999527931213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18762648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42213","display_name":"Work (physics)","level":2,"score":0.3061000108718872},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154815372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1140421","display_name":"Real interest rate","level":3,"score":0.29820001125335693},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778908629","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4391528","display_name":"Effective exchange rate","level":3,"score":0.2808000147342682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993702802","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q35865","display_name":"Inflation rate","level":3,"score":0.2793000042438507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133029050","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q385593","display_name":"Vector autoregression","level":2,"score":0.2750999927520752},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185782297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2142538","display_name":"Relative price","level":2,"score":0.2728999853134155},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145162277","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1751675","display_name":"Cointegration","level":2,"score":0.26589998602867126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.26249998807907104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778210481","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4972003","display_name":"Broad money","level":3,"score":0.26170000433921814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204208750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1519415","display_name":"Short run","level":2,"score":0.25760000944137573}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-11661223/latest.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525896","display_name":"Research Square","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Research Square","raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11661223/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-11661223/latest.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525896","display_name":"Research Square","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Research Square","raw_type":"posted-content"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7225747768.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7225747768.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":7,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1975994995","https://openalex.org/W2045564168","https://openalex.org/W2060806362","https://openalex.org/W2098052145","https://openalex.org/W2117178635","https://openalex.org/W3121421445","https://openalex.org/W4206430709"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"This":[1],"study":[2,177],"examines":[3],"whether":[4],"changes":[5],"in":[6,16,59,72,159],"global":[7],"oil":[8,154],"prices":[9,155],"are":[10,29,39,57,68,138,173],"associated":[11],"with":[12,41,135,184],"consumer":[13],"price":[14],"inflation":[15,158],"Bangladesh":[17,160],"once":[18],"exchange-rate":[19],"depreciation,":[20],"money":[21],"growth,":[22,49],"real":[23,54],"GDP":[24,55],"growth":[25,56,63,105],"and":[26,44,53,64,70,97,115,141,169,187],"import":[27],"openness":[28],"taken":[30],"into":[31],"account.":[32],"Annual":[33],"data":[34,168,186],"for":[35,181],"1990\u20132025":[36],"(36":[37],"observations)":[38],"analyzed":[40],"Dickey\u2013Fuller":[42],"tests":[43],"OLS":[45],"regression.":[46],"Inflation,":[47],"oil-price":[48],"exchange":[50],"rate":[51],"depreciation":[52],"stationary":[58],"levels,":[60],"while":[61],"M2":[62],"the":[65,98,144],"import-to-GDP":[66],"ratio":[67],"not":[69,87,150],"enter":[71],"first":[73],"differences,":[74],"which":[75],"leaves":[76],"35":[77],"observations.":[78],"The":[79,147,176],"model":[80],"has":[81,106],"little":[82],"explanatory":[83],"power:":[84],"it":[85],"is":[86,101,119],"jointly":[88],"significant":[89],"(F(5,":[90],"29)":[91],"=":[92,95,113],"0.74,":[93],"p":[94,112],"0.603)":[96],"adjusted":[99],"R-squared":[100],"negative":[102,109],"(\u22120.040).":[103],"Oil-price":[104],"a":[107,179,188],"small":[108],"coefficient":[110],"(\u22120.009,":[111],"0.635),":[114],"no":[116],"other":[117],"regressor":[118],"significant.":[120],"A":[121],"Durbin\u2013Watson":[122],"statistic":[123],"of":[124],"0.98":[125],"points":[126],"to":[127],"positive":[128],"serial":[129],"correlation,":[130],"so":[131],"Newey\u2013West":[132],"standard":[133],"errors":[134],"two":[136],"lags":[137],"also":[139],"reported,":[140],"they":[142],"leave":[143],"conclusions":[145],"unchanged.":[146],"results":[148],"do":[149],"show":[151],"that":[152],"world":[153],"explain":[156],"year-to-year":[157],"over":[161],"this":[162],"period.":[163],"Administered":[164],"fuel":[165],"prices,":[166],"annual":[167],"omitted":[170],"domestic":[171],"factors":[172],"possible":[174],"reasons.":[175],"offers":[178],"baseline":[180],"later":[182],"work":[183],"monthly":[185],"richer":[189],"model.":[190]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-11T12:16:26.678958","created_date":"2026-11-11T00:00:00"}