{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225635565","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","title":"Foresight and governance of complexity in the era of AI","display_name":"Foresight and governance of complexity in the era of AI","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225635565","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737130822","display_name":"European Journal of Futures Research","issn_l":"2195-2248","issn":["2195-2248","2195-4194"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"European Journal of Futures Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076807611","display_name":"P. F. Moretti","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4244-6847","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4244-6847"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210155236","display_name":"National Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/04zaypm56","country_code":"IT","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210155236"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Pier Francesco Moretti","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Research Council of Italy, Rome, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Research Council of Italy, Rome, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210155236"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075516878","display_name":"Luigi Mazari Villanova","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9069-1535","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9069-1535"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210155236","display_name":"National Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/04zaypm56","country_code":"IT","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210155236"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Luigi Mazari Villanova","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Research Council of Italy , P.Le Aldo Moro 7 , 00185 Rome , Italy"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9069-1535","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Research Council of Italy , P.Le Aldo Moro 7 , 00185 Rome , Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210155236"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210155236"],"apc_list":{"value":1790,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1790},"apc_paid":{"value":1790,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1790},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"14","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14345","display_name":"Scientific Research and Philosophical Inquiry","score":0.6934000253677368,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14345","display_name":"Scientific Research and Philosophical Inquiry","score":0.6934000253677368,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13459","display_name":"Public Administration and Political Analysis","score":0.1981000006198883,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11810","display_name":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","score":0.050999999046325684,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/foresight","display_name":"foresight","score":0.9509999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"artificial intelligence","score":0.7409999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/complex-systems","display_name":"complex systems","score":0.7360000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scenario-analysis","display_name":"scenario analysis","score":0.6990000009536743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-support","display_name":"decision support","score":0.4740000069141388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty","display_name":"uncertainty","score":0.43700000643730164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socio-economic-systems","display_name":"socio-economic systems","score":0.7139999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lobbying","display_name":"lobbying","score":0.5759999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/emerging-technologies","display_name":"emerging technologies","score":0.5979999899864197}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64848388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188867","display_name":"Futures studies","level":2,"score":0.9207000136375427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39389867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q380767","display_name":"Corporate governance","level":2,"score":0.7287999987602234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158154518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310970","display_name":"Relevance (law)","level":2,"score":0.72079998254776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780565519","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1208937","display_name":"Multitude","level":2,"score":0.696399986743927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116834253","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2039217","display_name":"Identification (biology)","level":2,"score":0.5856000185012817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.5842000246047974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.5034999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2910001868","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q458","display_name":"European union","level":2,"score":0.4474000036716461},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.3882000148296356},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780598303","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q65921492","display_name":"Flexibility (engineering)","level":2,"score":0.37139999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195094911","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14167904","display_name":"Process management","level":1,"score":0.3402000069618225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48243021","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932522","display_name":"Strategic planning","level":2,"score":0.33340001106262207},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56739046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192060","display_name":"Knowledge management","level":1,"score":0.3287999927997589},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.2888000011444092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C552854447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131201","display_name":"Sustainable development","level":2,"score":0.2703000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107327155","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q330268","display_name":"Decision support system","level":2,"score":0.26409998536109924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2603999972343445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4438859","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186117","display_name":"Timeline","level":2,"score":0.2535000145435333}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737130822","display_name":"European Journal of Futures Research","issn_l":"2195-2248","issn":["2195-2248","2195-4194"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"European Journal of Futures Research","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40309-026-00313-8.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737130822","display_name":"European Journal of Futures Research","issn_l":"2195-2248","issn":["2195-2248","2195-4194"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"European Journal of Futures Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7225635565.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7225635565.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1591497913","https://openalex.org/W1916697435","https://openalex.org/W1975318518","https://openalex.org/W1989688181","https://openalex.org/W2018259456","https://openalex.org/W2019250616","https://openalex.org/W2041782669","https://openalex.org/W2075703668","https://openalex.org/W2086587650","https://openalex.org/W2103227323","https://openalex.org/W2124637492","https://openalex.org/W2134241075","https://openalex.org/W2137735407","https://openalex.org/W2152993703","https://openalex.org/W2159205749","https://openalex.org/W2161714261","https://openalex.org/W2167038453","https://openalex.org/W2169571534","https://openalex.org/W2315167287","https://openalex.org/W2531595198","https://openalex.org/W2786446085","https://openalex.org/W2797016420","https://openalex.org/W2911899992","https://openalex.org/W3183914951","https://openalex.org/W4234953780","https://openalex.org/W4237206333","https://openalex.org/W4284686009","https://openalex.org/W4300432631","https://openalex.org/W4300581318","https://openalex.org/W4321266765","https://openalex.org/W4382060850","https://openalex.org/W4399055651","https://openalex.org/W4405097498","https://openalex.org/W4405550436","https://openalex.org/W4405981545","https://openalex.org/W4408670415","https://openalex.org/W4409017992","https://openalex.org/W4410294045","https://openalex.org/W4412788130","https://openalex.org/W4415376425","https://openalex.org/W4416201608","https://openalex.org/W7167603384","https://openalex.org/W7213502171"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7166338493","https://openalex.org/W7169813954","https://openalex.org/W4300960889","https://openalex.org/W4412826853","https://openalex.org/W2102738607","https://openalex.org/W6980231862","https://openalex.org/W4405097498","https://openalex.org/W4406665768","https://openalex.org/W4416718761","https://openalex.org/W4407576798"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Today\u2019s":[1],"challenges":[2],"address":[3],"a":[4,39,119],"multitude":[5],"of":[6,67,70,97,102,129,144,156],"interconnected":[7],"agents,":[8],"resulting":[9],"in":[10,37,78],"complex":[11],"systems":[12],"whose":[13],"evolution":[14,69,128],"is":[15,116],"difficult":[16],"to":[17,24,42,60,90,109],"predict.":[18],"Policy":[19],"makers":[20],"are":[21,52],"asking":[22],"scientists":[23],"identify":[25],"future":[26,136],"scenarios":[27,111],"and":[28,50,54,80,95,112,135],"provide":[29],"different":[30],"solutions.":[31],"The":[32],"European":[33],"Union":[34],"has":[35],"recognised":[36],"foresight":[38,61],"strategic":[40],"process":[41],"support":[43],"decisions.":[44],"We":[45,138],"show":[46],"that":[47],"foresight,":[48],"governance":[49,79],"lobby":[51],"intertwined,":[53],"we":[55,83],"assign":[56],"an":[57,85,147,152],"increased":[58],"relevance":[59],"when":[62],"dealing":[63],"with":[64],"the":[65,68,71,76,92,98,126,132,142,157],"uncertainty":[66],"socio-economic":[72],"systems.":[73],"To":[74],"tackle":[75],"complexity":[77],"decision":[81],"processes,":[82],"describe":[84],"operational":[86],"methodology":[87],"named":[88],"CLEVER":[89,115],"facilitate":[91],"problem":[93],"setting":[94],"identification":[96],"most":[99],"appropriate":[100],"mode":[101],"governance.":[103],"It":[104],"can":[105],"be":[106],"also":[107,139],"adopted":[108],"analyse":[110],"their":[113],"dynamics.":[114],"based":[117],"on":[118,125,141,154],"logical":[120],"scheme,":[121],"thus":[122],"not":[123],"dependent":[124],"rapid":[127],"tools":[130],"empowering":[131],"information":[133],"retrieval":[134],"orienteering.":[137],"reflect":[140],"role":[143],"AI":[145],"as":[146],"emergent":[148],"technology,":[149],"already":[150],"having":[151],"impact":[153],"many":[155],"involved":[158],"processes.":[159]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-11T12:16:26.678958","created_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00"}