{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225608972","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","title":"Risco Lula: Pricing a Fourth Term, One Poll at a Time","display_name":"Risco Lula: Pricing a Fourth Term, One Poll at a Time","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225608972","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24092668","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048890861","display_name":"Irineu de Carvalho Filho","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5118-1433","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5118-1433"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"de Carvalho Filho, Irineu","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5118-1433","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5048890861"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.4733999967575073,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.4733999967575073,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13684","display_name":"Political Dynamics in Latin America","score":0.21250000596046448,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.02810000069439411,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva","display_name":"Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva","score":0.8610000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/election-polls","display_name":"election polls","score":0.6209999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/polling-data","display_name":"polling data","score":0.36500000953674316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/r-package","display_name":"R package","score":0.3889999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-forecasting","display_name":"political forecasting","score":0.36000001430511475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/brazilian-presidential-election","display_name":"Brazilian presidential election","score":0.4259999990463257}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43169469","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580922","display_name":"Preprint","level":2,"score":0.4740999937057495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.45980000495910645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.45750001072883606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3582000136375427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.30379998683929443},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.2791999876499176},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.2603999972343445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.25220000743865967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12590798","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3933199","display_name":"Replication (statistics)","level":2,"score":0.2378000020980835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.22589999437332153}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24092668","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24092669","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092669","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092669","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24092951","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092951","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092951","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24092668","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24092668","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7033820018","https://openalex.org/W7217045185","https://openalex.org/W7135565401","https://openalex.org/W7005160751","https://openalex.org/W6922366837","https://openalex.org/W1031952274","https://openalex.org/W3025226211","https://openalex.org/W7010539002","https://openalex.org/W2287020031","https://openalex.org/W6998599515"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"That":[0],"is":[1],"the":[2,7],"R":[3],"replication":[4],"package":[5],"for":[6],"SSRN":[8],"preprint":[9],"Risco":[10],"Lula:":[11],"Pricing":[12],"a":[13,18],"Fourth":[14],"Term,":[15],"One":[16],"Pollat":[17],"Time":[19],"by":[20],"Irineu":[21],"de":[22],"Carvalho":[23],"Filho":[24]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-11T12:16:26.678958","created_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00"}
