{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225426249","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","title":"The Ceiling's Second Messenger: Counting Saturation Predicts a Steepening in the Diffuse Neutrino Spectrum at 3.02e18 eV","display_name":"The Ceiling's Second Messenger: Counting Saturation Predicts a Steepening in the Diffuse Neutrino Spectrum at 3.02e18 eV","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-06","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225426249","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24013775","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5159396451","display_name":"William Alexander Aldred","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Aldred, William Alexander","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0000-1215-577X","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5159396451"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10818","display_name":"Astrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena","score":0.9932000041007996,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3106","display_name":"Nuclear and High Energy Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10818","display_name":"Astrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena","score":0.9932000041007996,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3106","display_name":"Nuclear and High Energy Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10921","display_name":"Neutrino Physics Research","score":0.004999999888241291,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3106","display_name":"Nuclear and High Energy Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11090","display_name":"Dark Matter and Cosmic Phenomena","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3106","display_name":"Nuclear and High Energy Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cosmic-ray-energy-spectrum","display_name":"cosmic ray energy spectrum","score":0.5550000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/glashow-resonance","display_name":"Glashow resonance","score":0.7730000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pev-neutrinos","display_name":"PeV neutrinos","score":0.7379999756813049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/eev-neutrinos","display_name":"EeV neutrinos","score":0.8050000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pre-registered-predictions","display_name":"pre-registered predictions","score":0.5529999732971191}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.7609000205993652},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186453547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2126","display_name":"Neutrino","level":2,"score":0.7178999781608582},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C68709404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1134475","display_name":"Flux (metallurgy)","level":2,"score":0.524399995803833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185544564","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81197","display_name":"Nuclear physics","level":1,"score":0.5023000240325928},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4839761","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q212111","display_name":"Spectral line","level":2,"score":0.4214000105857849},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100906024","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205692","display_name":"Poisson distribution","level":2,"score":0.4043000042438507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9930424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7426587","display_name":"Saturation (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.3935999870300293},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777286243","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5591926","display_name":"Grading (engineering)","level":2,"score":0.36230000853538513},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2983197053","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q654182","display_name":"Energy spectrum","level":2,"score":0.30889999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139210041","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2145840","display_name":"Resonance (particle physics)","level":2,"score":0.2833999991416931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C156778621","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1365748","display_name":"Spectrum (functional analysis)","level":2,"score":0.27219998836517334},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204530211","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q752823","display_name":"Thermal","level":2,"score":0.25529998540878296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776401178","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12050496","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","level":2,"score":0.25200000405311584}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24013775","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24013776","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013776","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013776","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.24013775","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24013775","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7225380815","https://openalex.org/W1564462389","https://openalex.org/W3015307967","https://openalex.org/W2106664550","https://openalex.org/W4385307879","https://openalex.org/W7214999927","https://openalex.org/W3080122242","https://openalex.org/W4408219458","https://openalex.org/W2952624187","https://openalex.org/W4408204014"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Counting":[0],"saturation's":[1],"cap":[2,29],"E_ind":[3],"=":[4],"3.02e18":[5,76],"eV,":[6,77],"pre-registered":[7],"as":[8,98],"a":[9,65],"break":[10],"in":[11,15,99,113,129],"the":[12,24,34,45,60,68,100,114,130,143,148],"cosmic-ray":[13,101],"spectrum":[14],"batch":[16],"1,":[17],"is":[18,52,57,103,145],"applied":[19],"to":[20],"its":[21],"second":[22],"messenger:":[23],"diffuse":[25,69,81],"neutrino":[26,70,83],"spectrum.":[27],"The":[28,63,88,133],"sits":[30],"0.480":[31],"dex":[32,43,74],"above":[33,44,110],"cosmogenic":[35],"flux":[36,84],"peak":[37],"landmark":[38],"(~1e18":[39],"eV)":[40],"and":[41,54,141],"2.681":[42],"Glashow":[46],"resonance":[47],"\u2014":[48],"no":[49],"PeV-band":[50],"feature":[51],"predicted,":[53],"that":[55],"fence":[56],"printed":[58],"on":[59,147],"paper's":[61,149],"face.":[62,150],"prediction:":[64],"steepening":[66],"of":[67,75],"tail":[71],"within":[72],"+-0.1":[73],"registered":[78],"before":[79],"any":[80],"EeV":[82,112],"has":[85],"been":[86],"detected.":[87],"detection":[89],"budget":[90],"(SIMULATED,":[91],"NOT":[92],"MEASURED,":[93],"fixed-address":[94],"Poisson":[95],"likelihood":[96],"test":[97],"instrument)":[102],"honestly":[104],"weak:":[105],"marginal":[106],"at":[107,124,139],"100":[108],"events":[109,126],"1":[111],"most":[115],"generous":[116],"spectral":[117],"world":[118],"(median":[119],"2DeltaLL":[120],"8.5),":[121],"grading":[122,138],"only":[123],"~300":[125],"(25.5),":[127],"blind":[128],"pessimistic":[131],"world.":[132],"simulation's":[134],"first":[135],"self-check":[136],"demanded":[137],"N=100":[140],"failed;":[142],"correction":[144],"disclosed":[146]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2026-11-07T00:00:00"}
