{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7225244263","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","title":"Reliability-Weighted Bayesian Evidence Fusion for Calibrated Pre-Exploitation Risk Forecasting","display_name":"Reliability-Weighted Bayesian Evidence Fusion for Calibrated Pre-Exploitation Risk Forecasting","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7225244263","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165473669","display_name":"Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics","issn_l":"0377-0427","issn":["0377-0427","1879-1778"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5126150522","display_name":"Saad Arif","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8905-7294","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8905-7294"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4626487","display_name":"King Faisal University","ror":"https://ror.org/00dn43547","country_code":"SA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4626487"]}],"countries":["SA"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Saad Arif","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, 31982, Saudi Arabia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, 31982, Saudi Arabia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4626487"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5160641140","display_name":"Osama Khan","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4626487","display_name":"King Faisal University","ror":"https://ror.org/00dn43547","country_code":"SA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4626487"]}],"countries":["SA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Osama Khan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, 31982, Saudi Arabia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, 31982, Saudi Arabia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4626487"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5006328842","display_name":"Afnan Almegren","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9032-2748","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9032-2748"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I106778892","display_name":"Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University","ror":"https://ror.org/05b0cyh02","country_code":"SA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I106778892"]}],"countries":["SA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Afnan Almegren","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Applied Linguistics, College of Languages, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh, 11671, Saudi Arabia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Applied Linguistics, College of Languages, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh, 11671, Saudi Arabia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I106778892"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5160598623","display_name":"Areej Fatima","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27570832","display_name":"Jadara University","ror":"https://ror.org/001drnv35","country_code":"JO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27570832"]}],"countries":["JO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Areej Fatima","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Engineering, Alasala Colleges, Dammam, 31483, Saudi Arabia","Jadara Research Center, Jadara University, Irbid, Jordan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Engineering, Alasala Colleges, Dammam, 31483, Saudi Arabia","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Jadara Research Center, Jadara University, Irbid, Jordan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27570832"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5126150522"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4626487"],"apc_list":{"value":3250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3250},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"118302","last_page":"118302"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10400","display_name":"Network Security and Intrusion Detection","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10400","display_name":"Network Security and Intrusion Detection","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11598","display_name":"Internet Traffic Analysis and Secure E-voting","score":0.0003000000142492354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11689","display_name":"Adversarial Robustness in Machine Learning","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-intrusion-detection","display_name":"network intrusion detection","score":0.7049999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/netflow","display_name":"NetFlow","score":0.6669999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reliability-weighting","display_name":"reliability weighting","score":0.9610000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-calibration","display_name":"probability calibration","score":0.8769999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-traffic-analysis","display_name":"network traffic analysis","score":0.4830000102519989}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.6678000092506409},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.5631999969482422},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158525013","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2593739","display_name":"Fusion","level":2,"score":0.40790000557899475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33954974","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q486494","display_name":"Sensor fusion","level":2,"score":0.38769999146461487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3303999900817871},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.32850000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3206000030040741},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.31790000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.31119999289512634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.2964000105857849},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165838908","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q736777","display_name":"Calibration","level":2,"score":0.2928999960422516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.27309998869895935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.2678999900817871},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2982962833","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17092450","display_name":"Information fusion","level":2,"score":0.2614000141620636},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C68022304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q842217","display_name":"Bayes estimator","level":3,"score":0.25850000977516174},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C207201462","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q182505","display_name":"Bayes' theorem","level":3,"score":0.2574000060558319},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.25589999556541443}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2026.118302","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165473669","display_name":"Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics","issn_l":"0377-0427","issn":["0377-0427","1879-1778"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322484","display_name":"Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University","ror":"https://ror.org/05b0cyh02"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320331156","display_name":"King Faisal University","ror":null}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":28,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1995875735","https://openalex.org/W2099419573","https://openalex.org/W2141007997","https://openalex.org/W2141910941","https://openalex.org/W2142889610","https://openalex.org/W2171331105","https://openalex.org/W2342408547","https://openalex.org/W2736287575","https://openalex.org/W2914502888","https://openalex.org/W2924689635","https://openalex.org/W2958285686","https://openalex.org/W2987520597","https://openalex.org/W2991507433","https://openalex.org/W3047132966","https://openalex.org/W3093410479","https://openalex.org/W3138598418","https://openalex.org/W3161677312","https://openalex.org/W4221154189","https://openalex.org/W4287447855","https://openalex.org/W4393513864","https://openalex.org/W4398205886","https://openalex.org/W4398250616","https://openalex.org/W4402632648","https://openalex.org/W4408102561","https://openalex.org/W4413014149","https://openalex.org/W4413358968","https://openalex.org/W7083489649","https://openalex.org/W7161779484"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7074251919","https://openalex.org/W6996172426","https://openalex.org/W2407997684","https://openalex.org/W1640234699","https://openalex.org/W7026795370","https://openalex.org/W7097665821","https://openalex.org/W2493948803","https://openalex.org/W2574296148","https://openalex.org/W7213992716","https://openalex.org/W7026712835"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2026-11-05T00:00:00"}
