{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7224174997","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","title":"Violence prediction 16 years later: An updated and extended network meta-analytic comparison of nine risk assessment instruments.","display_name":"Violence prediction 16 years later: An updated and extended network meta-analytic comparison of nine risk assessment instruments.","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-10-29","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7224174997","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42956241"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1037/lhb0000678","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117927158","display_name":"Law and Human Behavior","issn_l":"0147-7307","issn":["0147-7307","1573-661X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320262","host_organization_name":"American Psychological Association","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320262"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Psychological Association"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Law and Human Behavior","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5082357571","display_name":"Lisa Holper","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2599-3649","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2599-3649"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405262024","display_name":"Psychiatrische Universit\u00e4tsklinik Z\u00fcrich","ror":"https://ror.org/00yt5p853","country_code":"CH","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lisa Holper","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2599-3649","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5160123127","display_name":"Linus Kamber","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7936-1831","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7936-1831"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405262024","display_name":"Psychiatrische Universit\u00e4tsklinik Z\u00fcrich","ror":"https://ror.org/00yt5p853","country_code":"CH","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Linus Kamber","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7936-1831","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067025103","display_name":"Nicole Hauser","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-6345","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-6345"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405262024","display_name":"Psychiatrische Universit\u00e4tsklinik Z\u00fcrich","ror":"https://ror.org/00yt5p853","country_code":"CH","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nicole Claire Hauser","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-6345","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049030217","display_name":"Elmar Habermeyer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2136-878X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2136-878X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405262024","display_name":"Psychiatrische Universit\u00e4tsklinik Z\u00fcrich","ror":"https://ror.org/00yt5p853","country_code":"CH","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Elmar Habermeyer","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2136-878X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric University Hospital Zurich","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405262024"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069628734","display_name":"Andreas Mokros","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9706-0928","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9706-0928"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I202697423","display_name":"University of Zurich","ror":"https://ror.org/02crff812","country_code":"CH","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I202697423"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andreas Mokros","raw_affiliation_strings":["CrimeLab UZH, University of Zurich"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9706-0928","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CrimeLab UZH, University of Zurich","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I202697423"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.90210544,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10565","display_name":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","score":0.9932000041007996,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3203","display_name":"Clinical Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10565","display_name":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","score":0.9932000041007996,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3203","display_name":"Clinical Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10574","display_name":"Crime Patterns and Interventions","score":0.003800000064074993,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10380","display_name":"Intimate Partner and Family Violence","score":0.0003000000142492354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3306","display_name":"Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/violence-prediction","display_name":"violence prediction","score":0.9800000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-assessment-tools","display_name":"risk assessment tools","score":0.9480000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/recidivism","display_name":"recidivism","score":0.7210000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-meta-analysis","display_name":"network meta-analysis","score":0.6200000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-assessment-validity","display_name":"risk assessment validity","score":0.3919999897480011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/criminal-justice-decision-making","display_name":"criminal justice decision-making","score":0.3100000023841858}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.7225000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12174686","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438","display_name":"Risk assessment","level":2,"score":0.6269000172615051},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143515210","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2479662","display_name":"Legal psychology","level":2,"score":0.5784000158309937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75630572","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q538904","display_name":"Applied psychology","level":1,"score":0.42739999294281006},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.3817000091075897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3017944768","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1450463","display_name":"Poison control","level":2,"score":0.36890000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166735990","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1750812","display_name":"Human factors and ergonomics","level":3,"score":0.359499990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187155963","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q629029","display_name":"Occupational safety and health","level":2,"score":0.33230000734329224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C70410870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199906","display_name":"Clinical psychology","level":1,"score":0.3264999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C190385971","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q373494","display_name":"Injury prevention","level":3,"score":0.32359999418258667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C526869908","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3298118","display_name":"Suicide prevention","level":3,"score":0.31779998540878296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150241267","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7336285","display_name":"Risk management tools","level":3,"score":0.30090001225471497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138496976","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175002","display_name":"Developmental psychology","level":1,"score":0.28360000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018595361","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7551354","display_name":"Social risk","level":2,"score":0.25949999690055847},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138816342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189603","display_name":"Public health","level":2,"score":0.25440001487731934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C171606756","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q506132","display_name":"Psychometrics","level":2,"score":0.2526000142097473}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1037/lhb0000678","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117927158","display_name":"Law and Human Behavior","issn_l":"0147-7307","issn":["0147-7307","1573-661X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320262","host_organization_name":"American Psychological Association","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320262"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Psychological Association"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Law and Human Behavior","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:42956241","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42956241","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Law and human behavior","raw_type":"Journal Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1037/lhb0000678","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1037/lhb0000678","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117927158","display_name":"Law and Human Behavior","issn_l":"0147-7307","issn":["0147-7307","1573-661X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320262","host_organization_name":"American Psychological Association","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320262"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Psychological Association"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Law and Human Behavior","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.8371999859809875},{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.6601999998092651}],"study_designs":[{"display_name":"Systematic Review","id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/systematic-review"},{"display_name":"Meta-Analysis","id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/meta-analysis"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W6962526970","https://openalex.org/W4299595340","https://openalex.org/W3017285824","https://openalex.org/W3091003090","https://openalex.org/W3082856376","https://openalex.org/W3124250884","https://openalex.org/W3123957291","https://openalex.org/W2891514870","https://openalex.org/W2150445502","https://openalex.org/W2596676772"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"OBJECTIVE:":[0],"=":[1,57],"0.66)":[2],"and":[3,37,46,111],"concluding":[4],"that":[5,34,120],"all":[6,121,168],"nine":[7,52,122],"tools":[8],"demonstrated":[9],"similar":[10],"predictive":[11,43,64,81,97,128],"validity":[12,44,65,98,129],"for":[13,72,130,152],"future":[14,131],"violence.":[15,132],"HYPOTHESIS:":[16],"Sixteen":[17],"years":[18,141],"later,":[19],"we":[20],"asked":[21],"whether":[22],"the":[23,51,69,150,160],"accumulating":[24],"body":[25],"of":[26,135],"research":[27],"had":[28],"altered":[29],"these":[30],"conclusions.":[31],"We":[32],"hypothesized":[33],"extended":[35],"evidence":[36],"more":[38],"refined":[39],"methodology":[40],"might":[41],"increase":[42],"estimates":[45],"uncover":[47],"meaningful":[48],"differences":[49,62],"among":[50,68],"instruments.":[53,86],"METHOD:":[54],"\u00b2.":[55],"RESULTS:":[56],"0.76).":[58],"No":[59],"statistically":[60,125],"significant":[61,93],"in":[63,100,146],"were":[66],"found":[67],"tools,":[70],"except":[71],"Psychopathy":[73],"Checklist-Revised":[74],"Factor":[75],"1,":[76],"which":[77],"exhibited":[78],"significantly":[79],"lower":[80],"value":[82],"than":[83],"most":[84],"other":[85],"Moderator":[87],"analysis":[88],"identified":[89],"age":[90],"as":[91],"a":[92],"predictor,":[94],"with":[95],"higher":[96],"observed":[99],"younger":[101],"compared":[102],"to":[103,158],"older":[104],"samples.":[105],"CONCLUSIONS:":[106],"The":[107,133],"present":[108],"findings":[109],"corroborate":[110],"extend":[112],"Yang":[113],"et":[114],"al.'s":[115],"(2010)":[116],"seminal":[117],"conclusions,":[118],"confirming":[119],"instruments":[123],"demonstrate":[124],"equivalent":[126],"moderate":[127,136],"persistence":[134],"effect":[137],"sizes":[138],"over":[139],"16":[140],"suggests":[142],"limited":[143],"transformative":[144],"progress":[145],"risk-assessment":[147],"development,":[148],"underscoring":[149],"need":[151],"novel,":[153],"qualitatively":[154],"different":[155],"methodological":[156],"approaches":[157],"advance":[159],"field.":[161],"(PsycInfo":[162],"Database":[163],"Record":[164],"(c)":[165],"2026":[166],"APA,":[167],"rights":[169],"reserved).":[170]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-01T11:40:01.658920","created_date":"2026-10-30T00:00:00"}
