{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7224090106","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","title":"Accuracy versus realism: static and dynamic species distribution models reveal complementary dimensions of biodiversity under climate change","display_name":"Accuracy versus realism: static and dynamic species distribution models reveal complementary dimensions of biodiversity under climate change","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-10-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7224090106","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","source":null,"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","any_repository_has_fulltext":null},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5007006689","display_name":"Sajad Noori","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9933-6713","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9933-6713"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799483237","display_name":"Staatliches Museum f\u00fcr Naturkunde Stuttgart","ror":"https://ror.org/05k35b119","country_code":"DE","type":"archive","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sajad Noori","raw_affiliation_strings":["Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9933-6713","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5160043446","display_name":"L. K. Steib","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799483237","display_name":"Staatliches Museum f\u00fcr Naturkunde Stuttgart","ror":"https://ror.org/05k35b119","country_code":"DE","type":"archive","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"L. K. Steib","raw_affiliation_strings":["Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078420017","display_name":"Tibor S\u00f3s","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7297-0407","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7297-0407"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799483237","display_name":"Staatliches Museum f\u00fcr Naturkunde Stuttgart","ror":"https://ror.org/05k35b119","country_code":"DE","type":"archive","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tibor Sos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7297-0407","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5160051604","display_name":"Dennis R\u00f6dder","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799483237","display_name":"Staatliches Museum f\u00fcr Naturkunde Stuttgart","ror":"https://ror.org/05k35b119","country_code":"DE","type":"archive","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dennis R\u00f6dder","raw_affiliation_strings":["Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Stuttgart State Museum of Natural History","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799483237"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10332","display_name":"Amphibian and Reptile Biology","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10005","display_name":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/species-distribution-modeling","display_name":"species distribution modeling","score":0.9300000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/static-vs-dynamic-models","display_name":"static vs dynamic models","score":0.7839999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"climate change","score":0.722000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/herpetofauna","display_name":"herpetofauna","score":0.9290000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/amphibians","display_name":"amphibians","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reptiles","display_name":"reptiles","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/niche-breadth","display_name":"niche breadth","score":0.6050000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/niche-overlap","display_name":"niche overlap","score":0.9070000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/protected-area-effectiveness","display_name":"protected area effectiveness","score":0.47600001096725464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gap-analysis","display_name":"gap analysis","score":0.7350000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/maxent","display_name":"MaxEnt","score":0.5830000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biodiversity-conservation","display_name":"biodiversity conservation","score":0.5799999833106995}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153991713","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17142856","display_name":"Niche","level":2,"score":0.7494999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C102715595","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172861","display_name":"Ecological niche","level":3,"score":0.70660001039505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.6193000078201294},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C103215972","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5381340","display_name":"Environmental niche modelling","level":4,"score":0.6090999841690063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.5153999924659729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112972136","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7595718","display_name":"Stability (learning theory)","level":2,"score":0.4862000048160553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C27438332","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2873","display_name":"Principal component analysis","level":2,"score":0.4812000095844269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132124917","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4257161","display_name":"Species distribution","level":3,"score":0.47049999237060547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.4677000045776367},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C130217890","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q47041","display_name":"Biodiversity","level":2,"score":0.44909998774528503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24518262","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16197023","display_name":"Threatened species","level":3,"score":0.4275999963283539},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47559259","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q778143","display_name":"Biological dispersal","level":3,"score":0.42500001192092896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110121322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q865811","display_name":"Distribution (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.36899998784065247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168754636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620920","display_name":"Climate model","level":3,"score":0.3668999969959259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776359362","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2145286","display_name":"Representation (politics)","level":3,"score":0.34689998626708984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.33959999680519104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78991832","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3027700","display_name":"Niche differentiation","level":3,"score":0.3328999876976013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187604713","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5570810","display_name":"Global biodiversity","level":3,"score":0.31439998745918274},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.3012999892234802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.2937999963760376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C194648359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3318054","display_name":"Generalized additive model","level":2,"score":0.2849999964237213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115343472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Global warming","level":3,"score":0.26660001277923584},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.26600000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C40141808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7024804","display_name":"Niche segregation","level":4,"score":0.2612999975681305},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.2605000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.2529999911785126}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","source":null,"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/authorea.15011196/v1","source":null,"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Life on land","score":1.0,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7224090106.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7224090106.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":37,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1751153847","https://openalex.org/W1966522221","https://openalex.org/W1966811787","https://openalex.org/W2043311911","https://openalex.org/W2048854815","https://openalex.org/W2098827790","https://openalex.org/W2100533358","https://openalex.org/W2105635509","https://openalex.org/W2107695795","https://openalex.org/W2111796869","https://openalex.org/W2119202692","https://openalex.org/W2124286013","https://openalex.org/W2127367934","https://openalex.org/W2128506197","https://openalex.org/W2129228555","https://openalex.org/W2139416101","https://openalex.org/W2141014056","https://openalex.org/W2147243041","https://openalex.org/W2153043633","https://openalex.org/W2158177329","https://openalex.org/W2161739406","https://openalex.org/W2165620430","https://openalex.org/W2510388658","https://openalex.org/W2605921937","https://openalex.org/W2614464134","https://openalex.org/W2995806126","https://openalex.org/W3013949008","https://openalex.org/W3024563139","https://openalex.org/W3047353718","https://openalex.org/W3097000228","https://openalex.org/W3178432425","https://openalex.org/W4200246696","https://openalex.org/W4293107724","https://openalex.org/W4391357434","https://openalex.org/W4399637217","https://openalex.org/W4399639641","https://openalex.org/W4399916830"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1965759024","https://openalex.org/W7100487951","https://openalex.org/W7223329478","https://openalex.org/W4321787655","https://openalex.org/W4289730869","https://openalex.org/W2945610579","https://openalex.org/W7220513689","https://openalex.org/W7111679423","https://openalex.org/W3198392134","https://openalex.org/W2286748342"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Aim:":[0],"Biodiversity":[1],"is":[2],"inherently":[3],"dynamic,":[4],"yet":[5],"classical":[6],"Species":[7],"Distribution":[8],"Models":[9],"(SDMs)":[10],"assume":[11],"climate":[12,23,66,117,248],"stability":[13],"(static":[14],"approach)":[15],"and":[16,46,72,80,110,126,153,171,180,201,214,232,238,254,267,279,285],"frequently":[17],"overlook":[18],"temporal":[19],"variability,":[20,196],"especially":[21],"under":[22,247],"change.":[24],"Species,":[25],"however,":[26],"respond":[27],"in":[28,101,123,176,290],"diverse":[29],"ways,":[30],"often":[31],"constrained":[32],"by":[33],"their":[34],"dispersal":[35],"capabilities.":[36],"In":[37,164],"this":[38],"study,":[39],"we":[40],"compared":[41],"the":[42,51,54,85,115,161,275],"performance":[43,92,203],"of":[44,53,88,183,198,229,257,277],"static":[45,79,222],"dynamic":[47,81,162,166,187,239,261],"SDMs,":[48],"to":[49,83,194,226],"assess":[50],"efficiency":[52],"protected":[55,144],"areas":[56,141,231],"for":[57],"conserving":[58],"Romanian":[59,89],"herpetofauna.":[60,90],"Location:":[61],"Romania.":[62],"Time":[63],"Period:":[64],"Contemporary":[65],"conditions.":[67,269],"Major":[68],"Taxa":[69],"Studied:":[70],"Amphibians":[71],"reptiles.":[73],"Methods:":[74],"We":[75,119],"developed":[76],"optimized":[77],"Maxent-based":[78],"SDMs":[82,148,167,240],"predict":[84],"potential":[86],"distributions":[87,246],"Model":[91],"was":[93,133],"evaluated":[94],"using":[95,106,128],"standard":[96],"accuracy":[97,152,213],"metrics,":[98],"while":[99],"differences":[100,122],"niche":[102,111,124,178],"structure":[103],"were":[104],"assessed":[105,134],"Principal":[107],"Component":[108],"Analysis":[109],"equivalency":[112],"tests":[113],"across":[114],"available":[116],"space.":[118],"further":[120],"quantified":[121],"breadth":[125],"overlap":[127],"hypervolume":[129],"approaches.":[130],"Conservation":[131],"relevance":[132],"through":[135],"gap":[136,218],"analysis":[137,219],"comparing":[138],"predicted":[139],"suitable":[140,199],"with":[142],"existing":[143],"areas.":[145],"Results:":[146],"Static":[147,237,250],"achieved":[149],"higher":[150],"predictive":[151,212],"produced":[154],"smaller,":[155],"more":[156,190,283],"compact":[157],"niches":[158],"nested":[159],"within":[160],"niches.":[163],"contrast,":[165],"captured":[168],"spatio-temporal":[169],"variability":[170],"extreme":[172],"climatic":[173],"conditions,":[174],"resulting":[175],"expanded":[177],"estimates":[179,256],"greater":[181],"representation":[182],"range-edge":[184,280],"environments.":[185],"However,":[186],"models":[188,223,251,262],"relied":[189],"on":[191,221,244],"extrapolation,":[192],"leading":[193],"increased":[195],"overprediction":[197],"habitats,":[200,259,281],"reduced":[202],"scores.":[204],"These":[205],"results":[206],"reveal":[207],"a":[208,291],"clear":[209],"trade-off":[210],"between":[211],"ecological":[215],"realism.":[216],"Furthermore,":[217],"based":[220],"indicated":[224],"moderate":[225],"high":[227],"coverage":[228],"species-rich":[230],"threatened":[233],"reptile.":[234],"Main":[235],"Conclusion:":[236],"provide":[241],"complementary":[242],"perspectives":[243],"species":[245],"variability.":[249],"offer":[252],"conservative":[253],"precise":[255],"core":[258,278],"whereas":[260],"better":[263],"capture":[264],"environmentally":[265],"variable":[266],"marginal":[268],"Integrating":[270],"both":[271],"approaches":[272],"can":[273],"improve":[274],"identification":[276],"supporting":[282],"robust":[284],"ecologically":[286],"realistic":[287],"conservation":[288],"strategies":[289],"changing":[292],"climate.":[293]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2026-10-29T00:00:00"}
