{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7222823949","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","title":"When safety feels like enough: structural protection, institutional planning, and the limits of cyclone preparedness in southern Africa","display_name":"When safety feels like enough: structural protection, institutional planning, and the limits of cyclone preparedness in southern Africa","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-10-17","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7222823949","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764943563","display_name":"Climate Risk Management","issn_l":"2212-0963","issn":["2212-0963"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Climate Risk Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040162457","display_name":"Benedito Cunguara","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3193-5728","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3193-5728"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Benedito Cunguara","raw_affiliation_strings":["Independent Researcher and Consultant, Numbers Whizzy Ltd, Base N'Tchinga Ave. 495, Maputo, Mozambique"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Independent Researcher and Consultant, Numbers Whizzy Ltd, Base N'Tchinga Ave. 495, Maputo, Mozambique","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5137914696","display_name":"Lu\u00eds Artur","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16904388","display_name":"Eduardo Mondlane University","ror":"https://ror.org/05n8n9378","country_code":"MZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16904388"]}],"countries":["MZ"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Lu\u00eds Artur","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Agronomy and Forestry Engineering, Eduardo Mondlane University, Campus Universit\u00e1rio, Building 1, Maputo, Mozambique"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Agronomy and Forestry Engineering, Eduardo Mondlane University, Campus Universit\u00e1rio, Building 1, Maputo, Mozambique","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16904388"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5115681339","display_name":"Noah Beca","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16904388","display_name":"Eduardo Mondlane University","ror":"https://ror.org/05n8n9378","country_code":"MZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16904388"]}],"countries":["MZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Noa Beca","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Agronomy and Forestry Engineering, Eduardo Mondlane University, Campus Universit\u00e1rio, Building 1, Maputo, Mozambique"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Agronomy and Forestry Engineering, Eduardo Mondlane University, Campus Universit\u00e1rio, Building 1, Maputo, Mozambique","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16904388"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5139526825","display_name":"Gilton Simango","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Gilton Simango","raw_affiliation_strings":["SEPPA Agroneg\u00f3cios e Consultoria, Bairro de Jardim, rua da Agricultura 336, Maputo, Mozambique"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"SEPPA Agroneg\u00f3cios e Consultoria, Bairro de Jardim, rua da Agricultura 336, Maputo, Mozambique","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5137914696"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16904388"],"apc_list":{"value":3130,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3130},"apc_paid":{"value":3130,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3130},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.83791275,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"54","issue":null,"first_page":"100896","last_page":"100896"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10747","display_name":"Disaster Management and Resilience","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10747","display_name":"Disaster Management and Resilience","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13800","display_name":"Earthquake and Disaster Impact Studies","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3305","display_name":"Geography, Planning and Development"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cyclone-preparedness","display_name":"cyclone preparedness","score":0.9869999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/structural-protection","display_name":"structural protection","score":0.7799999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/institutional-preparedness","display_name":"institutional readiness","score":0.9769999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disaster-risk-reduction","display_name":"disaster risk reduction","score":0.8320000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/severe-weather-warnings","display_name":"severe weather warnings","score":0.7269999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/housing-quality","display_name":"housing quality","score":0.9330000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-compensation","display_name":"risk compensation","score":0.7620000243186951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/southern-africa","display_name":"Southern Africa","score":0.6430000066757202}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777042776","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4583103","display_name":"Preparedness","level":2,"score":0.754800021648407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.5076000094413757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151956035","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132755","display_name":"Logistic regression","level":2,"score":0.4505999982357025},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780210234","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q422638","display_name":"Action plan","level":2,"score":0.4162999987602234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100001284","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2248246","display_name":"Public economics","level":1,"score":0.3806000053882599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777932401","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1471594","display_name":"Collective action","level":3,"score":0.3763999938964844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12174686","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438","display_name":"Risk assessment","level":2,"score":0.34380000829696655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780791683","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q846785","display_name":"Action (physics)","level":2,"score":0.33869999647140503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780750338","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5281359","display_name":"Disaster risk reduction","level":2,"score":0.3165999948978424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.30630001425743103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C529740132","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10427676","display_name":"Civil defense","level":2,"score":0.3012000024318695},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.2962000072002411},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3017944768","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1450463","display_name":"Poison control","level":2,"score":0.2953000068664551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32896092","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189447","display_name":"Risk management","level":2,"score":0.29280000925064087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C60643870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1949683","display_name":"Deterrence theory","level":2,"score":0.29190000891685486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.28619998693466187},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.28290000557899475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202269582","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2644277","display_name":"Complementarity (molecular biology)","level":2,"score":0.27720001339912415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71750763","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q646164","display_name":"General partnership","level":2,"score":0.27149999141693115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95713431","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q631425","display_name":"Vulnerability (computing)","level":2,"score":0.27140000462532043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189326681","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10294","display_name":"Poverty","level":2,"score":0.2669999897480011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187155963","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q629029","display_name":"Occupational safety and health","level":2,"score":0.26510000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2621999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62555980","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1460420","display_name":"Emergency management","level":2,"score":0.257099986076355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205537798","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1277161","display_name":"Extreme weather","level":3,"score":0.25609999895095825}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764943563","display_name":"Climate Risk Management","issn_l":"2212-0963","issn":["2212-0963"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Climate Risk Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:1631daf0e8d94588b1aabfc7a9cd4178","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/1631daf0e8d94588b1aabfc7a9cd4178","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Climate Risk Management, Vol 54, Iss , Pp 100896- (2026)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100896","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764943563","display_name":"Climate Risk Management","issn_l":"2212-0963","issn":["2212-0963"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Climate Risk Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11","score":0.5142999887466431,"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities"},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.4399999976158142,"display_name":"Climate action"}],"study_designs":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study","display_name":"Observational Study"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320319949","display_name":"International Development Research Centre","ror":"https://ror.org/0445x0472"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":21,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W90600241","https://openalex.org/W1950669244","https://openalex.org/W1965824488","https://openalex.org/W1982089776","https://openalex.org/W2012214138","https://openalex.org/W2028499407","https://openalex.org/W2033528099","https://openalex.org/W2063041241","https://openalex.org/W2069536496","https://openalex.org/W2075142617","https://openalex.org/W2099697766","https://openalex.org/W2116878581","https://openalex.org/W2139452699","https://openalex.org/W2147268476","https://openalex.org/W2154130470","https://openalex.org/W2626492618","https://openalex.org/W2774431877","https://openalex.org/W2891445448","https://openalex.org/W3122178585","https://openalex.org/W4400765137","https://openalex.org/W4414527205"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4390512347","https://openalex.org/W2780199591","https://openalex.org/W3083424950","https://openalex.org/W7098824431","https://openalex.org/W7135238213","https://openalex.org/W7019865857","https://openalex.org/W7125674120","https://openalex.org/W2316251452","https://openalex.org/W3032747500","https://openalex.org/W2522110441"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"A":[0],"central":[1],"question":[2],"in":[3,47,50,221],"disaster":[4],"risk":[5,198],"reduction":[6],"(DRR)":[7],"is":[8,23,90,116,130,136,195],"whether":[9,20,33],"physical":[10,217],"protection":[11,22,66,191],"complements":[12],"or":[13,138],"substitutes":[14],"for":[15],"household":[16,26],"preparedness.":[17,40],"We":[18],"examine":[19],"structural":[21,176,190],"associated":[24,71,93,112],"with":[25,60,72,75,94,113,147,160,197],"protective":[27,73,95,128,193],"action":[28,129,194],"following":[29],"severe-weather":[30],"warnings":[31],"and":[32,53,103,127,177,192,218],"it":[34],"moderates":[35],"the":[36,79,213],"role":[37],"of":[38,152,180,215],"institutional":[39,88,178,219],"Using":[41],"survey":[42],"data":[43],"from":[44],"2662":[45],"households":[46],"cyclone-affected":[48],"communities":[49],"Madagascar,":[51],"Malawi,":[52],"Mozambique,":[54],"we":[55],"estimate":[56],"logistic":[57],"regression":[58],"models":[59],"wild":[61],"cluster":[62],"bootstrap":[63],"inference.":[64],"Structural":[65],"indicators":[67],"are":[68,110],"generally":[69],"negatively":[70],"action,":[74,114],"good":[76,137,157],"drainage":[77],"showing":[78],"most":[80],"consistent":[81,196],"negative":[82,187],"association":[83,123,188],"across":[84],"specifications.":[85],"In":[86],"contrast,":[87],"preparedness":[89,181,220],"consistently":[91],"positively":[92,111],"action:":[96],"disaster-planning":[97],"group":[98],"membership":[99],"(AME":[100,107,119],"=":[101,108,120,142,145],"0.209)":[102],"community":[104],"evacuation":[105,125],"plans":[106],"0.107)":[109],"as":[115],"early-warning":[117],"access":[118],"0.121).":[121],"The":[122,186,210],"between":[124,189],"planning":[126],"significantly":[131],"stronger":[132],"where":[133],"housing":[134,158],"quality":[135],"excellent":[139],"(\u03c7":[140],"2":[141],"4.06,":[143],"p":[144],"0.044),":[146],"a":[148],"predicted":[149],"plan":[150],"effect":[151],"11.6":[153],"percentage":[154,162],"points":[155,163],"under":[156,164],"compared":[159],"2.7":[161],"poor":[165],"housing,":[166],"indicating":[167],"complementarity":[168],"rather":[169],"than":[170],"substitution.":[171],"These":[172],"findings":[173,211],"suggest":[174],"that":[175],"dimensions":[179],"may":[182,201],"not":[183],"operate":[184],"independently.":[185],"compensation":[199],"but":[200],"also":[202],"reflect":[203],"rational":[204],"adaptation":[205],"to":[206],"lower":[207],"underlying":[208],"risk.":[209],"highlight":[212],"importance":[214],"integrating":[216],"DRR":[222],"planning.":[223]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-31T12:09:11.096373","created_date":"2026-10-18T00:00:00"}
