{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7220522689","doi":null,"title":"The Role of International Trade Channel in the Transmission of U.S. Recessions into African Countries: Evidence from Nigeria","display_name":"The Role of International Trade Channel in the Transmission of U.S. Recessions into African Countries: Evidence from Nigeria","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-07-24","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7220522689"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:journals.iuiu.ac.ug:article/417","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.iuiu.ac.ug/index.php/iujss/article/view/417","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407066733","display_name":"Islamic University Journal of Social Sciences","issn_l":"2709-2429","issn":["2709-2429","2709-2437"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I185474147","host_organization_name":"Islamic University in Uganda","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185474147"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2709-2429","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://journals.iuiu.ac.ug/index.php/iujss/article/view/417","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083514848","display_name":"Adesola Ibironke","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6726-3046","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6726-3046"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I28653996","display_name":"Adekunle Ajasin University","ror":"https://ror.org/04e27p903","country_code":"NG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28653996"]}],"countries":["NG"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ibironke , Adesola","raw_affiliation_strings":["Adekunle Ajasin University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Adekunle Ajasin University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28653996"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5083514848"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28653996"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10128","display_name":"Global trade and economics","score":0.6786999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10128","display_name":"Global trade and economics","score":0.6786999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.17759999632835388,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10503","display_name":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","score":0.07699999958276749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/international-trade","display_name":"international trade","score":0.781000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spillover-effects","display_name":"spillover effects","score":0.6150000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/us-recession","display_name":"US recession","score":0.8690000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-growth","display_name":"economic growth","score":0.6489999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nigeria","display_name":"Nigeria","score":0.6259999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trade-channel","display_name":"trade channel","score":0.5920000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/global-shocks","display_name":"global shocks","score":0.35499998927116394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intra-african-trade","display_name":"intra-African trade","score":0.871999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trade-diversification","display_name":"trade diversification","score":0.7950000166893005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecowas","display_name":"ECOWAS","score":0.9139999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trade-policy-coordination","display_name":"trade policy coordination","score":0.5989999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-run-and-short-run-effects","display_name":"short-run and long-run effects","score":0.6990000009536743}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195742910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176494","display_name":"Recession","level":2,"score":0.8471999764442444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.8016999959945679},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145162277","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1751675","display_name":"Cointegration","level":2,"score":0.578499972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18547055","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q47417","display_name":"International economics","level":1,"score":0.5260999798774719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.43799999356269836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2983848023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q733553","display_name":"Transmission channel","level":3,"score":0.42320001125335693},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C761482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118093","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","level":2,"score":0.40119999647140503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159009313","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5283159","display_name":"Distributed lag","level":2,"score":0.3971000015735626},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779685004","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1570293","display_name":"Terms of trade","level":2,"score":0.3944999873638153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155202549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178803","display_name":"International trade","level":1,"score":0.36970001459121704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83864248","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q177323","display_name":"Developing country","level":2,"score":0.3612000048160553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993305921","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8036315","display_name":"World trade","level":2,"score":0.325300008058548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6422946","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q857354","display_name":"Panel data","level":2,"score":0.30649998784065247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127162648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16858953","display_name":"Channel (broadcasting)","level":2,"score":0.29010000824928284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75778745","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q342626","display_name":"Lag","level":2,"score":0.27639999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182769425","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q377302","display_name":"Trade barrier","level":2,"score":0.2750999927520752}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:journals.iuiu.ac.ug:article/417","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.iuiu.ac.ug/index.php/iujss/article/view/417","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407066733","display_name":"Islamic University Journal of Social Sciences","issn_l":"2709-2429","issn":["2709-2429","2709-2437"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I185474147","host_organization_name":"Islamic University in Uganda","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185474147"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2709-2429","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:journals.iuiu.ac.ug:article/417","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.iuiu.ac.ug/index.php/iujss/article/view/417","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407066733","display_name":"Islamic University Journal of Social Sciences","issn_l":"2709-2429","issn":["2709-2429","2709-2437"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I185474147","host_organization_name":"Islamic University in Uganda","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185474147"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2709-2429","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.833299994468689,"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4361988395","https://openalex.org/W2953819018","https://openalex.org/W3157479932","https://openalex.org/W3021042883","https://openalex.org/W4322631210","https://openalex.org/W1969229129","https://openalex.org/W4386191833","https://openalex.org/W2187586690","https://openalex.org/W7221222721","https://openalex.org/W3017380713"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,240],"paper":[1],"examines":[2],"the":[3,36,76,93,105,115,121,140,143,154,169,182,187,189,194,205,214,217,221,251,262],"role":[4],"of":[5,12,38,127,133,160,171,207,223,244,253],"international":[6,51,69,100,134,172],"trade":[7,70,101,116,135,173,198,231,246,259],"as":[8,213],"a":[9,125,177],"transmission":[10],"channel":[11],"U.S.":[13,39,78,165,215],"recessions":[14,40,79,106,144,166,195],"into":[15],"African":[16,179,225],"countries,":[17],"drawing":[18],"inferences":[19],"from":[20,209,233],"Nigeria":[21,90],"and":[22,48,95,123,196,219,250,256],"using":[23],"time":[24],"series":[25],"data":[26],"spanning":[27],"1981":[28],"to":[29,193,203,228],"2019.":[30],"The":[31,62,130,156],"analysis":[32],"involves":[33],"investigating":[34],"how":[35],"effects":[37,86,111,150,206],"on":[41,54,87,112,136,151,174],"Nigeria\u2019s":[42,50,68,99],"growth":[43,88,113,137,152,175],"spread":[44],"across":[45],"time,":[46],"with":[47,124],"without":[49],"trade,":[52,224],"based":[53],"an":[55],"autoregressive":[56],"distributed":[57],"lag":[58],"(ARDL)":[59],"cointegration":[60],"model.":[61],"main":[63],"findings":[64,162],"are:":[65],"(i)":[66],"When":[67,98],"is":[71,102,163,191,199],"not":[72,81,146],"controlled":[73,103],"for":[74],"in":[75,89,92,120,139,153,176,181,184,186,216],"analysis,":[77],"do":[80,145],"have":[82,107,147],"statistically":[83,108,148],"significant":[84,109,149],"negative":[85,110],"both":[91],"short-run":[94,122,218],"long-run.":[96,155],"(ii)":[97],"for,":[104],"via":[114],"channel,":[117],"but":[118],"only":[119,167],"lapse":[126],"time.":[128],"(iii)":[129],"positive":[131],"effect":[132],"occurs":[138],"long-run,":[141],"while":[142],"key":[157],"policy":[158],"implications":[159],"these":[161],"that":[164,185],"affect":[168],"impact":[170],"typical":[178],"country":[180,190],"short-run,":[183],"long-run":[188],"resilient":[192],"its":[197],"positively":[200],"impactful.":[201],"Therefore,":[202],"limit":[204],"shocks":[208],"large":[210],"economies":[211,235],"such":[212,234],"maximize":[220],"benefits":[222],"countries":[226],"need":[227],"diversify":[229],"their":[230],"away":[232],"by":[236],"increasing":[237],"intra-Africa":[238],"trade.":[239],"requires":[241],"better":[242],"performance":[243],"Africa\u2019s":[245],"blocs":[247],"(e.g.":[248],"ECOWAS)":[249],"coordination":[252],"per":[254],"jure":[255],"de":[257],"facto":[258],"policies":[260],"within":[261],"continent":[263],"generally.":[264]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-07T09:51:55.459714","created_date":"2026-10-06T00:00:00"}
