{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7216269090","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","title":"Decadal predictions of wind, solar and compound power indicators to support the European renewable energy sector","display_name":"Decadal predictions of wind, solar and compound power indicators to support the European renewable energy sector","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-10-02","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7216269090","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","pdf_url":"https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1435/2026/esd-17-1435-2026.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S163739988","display_name":"Earth System Dynamics","issn_l":"2190-4979","issn":["2190-4979","2190-4987"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313756","host_organization_name":"Copernicus Publications","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313756"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Copernicus Publications"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Earth System Dynamics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1435/2026/esd-17-1435-2026.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":null},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100027229","display_name":"Sara Moreno-Montes","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0003-7028-4782","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0003-7028-4782"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799803557","display_name":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05sd8tv96","country_code":"ES","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557","https://openalex.org/I9617848"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sara Moreno-Montes","raw_affiliation_strings":["Barcelona Supercomputing Center (Barcelona, Spain)"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0003-7028-4782","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center (Barcelona, Spain)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072711039","display_name":"Carlos Delgado\u2010Torres","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1737-4212","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1737-4212"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799803557","display_name":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05sd8tv96","country_code":"ES","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557","https://openalex.org/I9617848"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Carlos Delgado-Torres","raw_affiliation_strings":["Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1737-4212","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031300432","display_name":"Matias Ezequiel Olmo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3324-9040","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3324-9040"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799803557","display_name":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05sd8tv96","country_code":"ES","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557","https://openalex.org/I9617848"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mat\u00edas Olmo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3324-9040","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068454004","display_name":"Sushovan Ghosh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0536-0983","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0536-0983"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799803557","display_name":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05sd8tv96","country_code":"ES","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557","https://openalex.org/I9617848"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sushovan Ghosh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0536-0983","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049599032","display_name":"Ver\u00f3nica Torralba","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8941-1548","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8941-1548"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799803557","display_name":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05sd8tv96","country_code":"ES","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557","https://openalex.org/I9617848"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ver\u00f3nica Torralba","raw_affiliation_strings":["Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8941-1548","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019970445","display_name":"Albert Soret","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1962-2972","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1962-2972"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799803557","display_name":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05sd8tv96","country_code":"ES","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557","https://openalex.org/I9617848"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Albert Soret","raw_affiliation_strings":["Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1962-2972","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799803557"],"apc_list":{"value":1470,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":1585},"apc_paid":{"value":1470,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":1585},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.64289925,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":"5","first_page":"1435","last_page":"1454"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.7573000192642212,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.7573000192642212,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.04569999873638153,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11185","display_name":"Integrated Energy Systems Optimization","score":0.03400000184774399,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decadal-climate-prediction","display_name":"decadal climate prediction","score":0.968999981880188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/renewable-energy","display_name":"renewable energy","score":0.8240000009536743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-energy","display_name":"wind energy","score":0.6079999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-energy","display_name":"solar energy","score":0.871999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaic-potential","display_name":"photovoltaic potential","score":0.9729999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-capacity-factor","display_name":"wind capacity factor","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-skill","display_name":"forecast skill","score":0.5249999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-initialization","display_name":"model initialization","score":0.8259999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-variability","display_name":"climate variability","score":0.5170000195503235}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197640229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2534066","display_name":"Predictability","level":2,"score":0.8572999835014343},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.7371000051498413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188573790","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12705","display_name":"Renewable energy","level":2,"score":0.697700023651123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.6417999863624573},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114466953","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6034165","display_name":"Initialization","level":2,"score":0.5543000102043152},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C170061395","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5468164","display_name":"Forecast skill","level":2,"score":0.4966000020503998},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168754636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620920","display_name":"Climate model","level":3,"score":0.4772000014781952},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.428600013256073},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197115733","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1003136","display_name":"Forcing (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.4187000095844269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.41830000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78600449","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43302","display_name":"Wind power","level":2,"score":0.41179999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9695528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7556707","display_name":"Solar irradiance","level":2,"score":0.3522999882698059},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83002819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q798528","display_name":"Hindcast","level":2,"score":0.3479999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91586092","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q757520","display_name":"Atmospheric sciences","level":1,"score":0.33970001339912415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C25022447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5178021","display_name":"Coupled model intercomparison project","level":4,"score":0.32820001244544983},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777618391","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1483757","display_name":"Solar power","level":3,"score":0.2913999855518341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.2815000116825104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.26409998536109924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C66882249","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q169336","display_name":"Homogeneous","level":2,"score":0.25999999046325684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99578197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1463606","display_name":"Radiative forcing","level":3,"score":0.2574999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780789856","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915732","display_name":"Variable renewable energy","level":4,"score":0.2572999894618988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C82753439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1419090","display_name":"Industrial production","level":2,"score":0.2558000087738037}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","pdf_url":"https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1435/2026/esd-17-1435-2026.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S163739988","display_name":"Earth System Dynamics","issn_l":"2190-4979","issn":["2190-4979","2190-4987"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313756","host_organization_name":"Copernicus Publications","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313756"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Copernicus Publications"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Earth System Dynamics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"doi:10.5194/egusphere-2026-1205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1205","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1205","pdf_url":"https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1205/egusphere-2026-1205.pdf","source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"EGUsphere","raw_type":"posted-content"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:66d013febd8649c4bb0629b7a121a026","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/66d013febd8649c4bb0629b7a121a026","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Earth System Dynamics, Vol 17, Pp 1435-1454 (2026)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026","pdf_url":"https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1435/2026/esd-17-1435-2026.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S163739988","display_name":"Earth System Dynamics","issn_l":"2190-4979","issn":["2190-4979","2190-4987"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313756","host_organization_name":"Copernicus Publications","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313756"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Copernicus Publications"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Earth System Dynamics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":1.0,"display_name":"Climate action"},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.8485000133514404,"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1175115578","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"AEI//10.13039/501100011033/","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1622782223","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"MCIN/AEI/10","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G210041235","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"MCIN /AEI/ 10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2262748287","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2601397997","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G300979063","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G34346518","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501 100 011 033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3480869486","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"13039","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3661339315","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"101152499","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335254","funder_display_name":"Horizon 2020"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3681454997","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4042783231","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G410571670","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G425668148","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":".13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G434337789","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"HORIZON2020","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G451917667","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4967535286","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"PN070500","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5080475149","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"10.13039","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5195188938","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"/AEI/10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G523076202","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"MICIU/ AEI /10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5539308778","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"AEI/10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5967599077","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7084143925","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"AEI/10","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","funder_display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8920723437","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"101081460","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335254","funder_display_name":"Horizon 2020"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G929308097","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"MCIN/ AEI/ 10.13039/501100011033","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","funder_display_name":"European Regional Development Fund"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","display_name":"European Commission","ror":"https://ror.org/00k4n6c32"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335254","display_name":"Horizon 2020","ror":null},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335322","display_name":"European Regional Development Fund","ror":"https://ror.org/00k4n6c32"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335598","display_name":"Agencia Estatal de Investigaci\u00f3n","ror":"https://ror.org/003x0zc53"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7216269090.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7216269090.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":96,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W586603600","https://openalex.org/W1521413372","https://openalex.org/W1609952363","https://openalex.org/W1963957605","https://openalex.org/W1970329847","https://openalex.org/W1978601068","https://openalex.org/W1996173349","https://openalex.org/W2000841912","https://openalex.org/W2005751867","https://openalex.org/W2025487872","https://openalex.org/W2031694841","https://openalex.org/W2036045187","https://openalex.org/W2041193859","https://openalex.org/W2099664128","https://openalex.org/W2102166669","https://openalex.org/W2108695406","https://openalex.org/W2110459180","https://openalex.org/W2113989510","https://openalex.org/W2121593555","https://openalex.org/W2139514072","https://openalex.org/W2141748334","https://openalex.org/W2151437478","https://openalex.org/W2157084244","https://openalex.org/W2164930083","https://openalex.org/W2175198236","https://openalex.org/W2181337827","https://openalex.org/W2193079570","https://openalex.org/W2193503481","https://openalex.org/W2317862754","https://openalex.org/W2337225114","https://openalex.org/W2461398871","https://openalex.org/W2492975200","https://openalex.org/W2538529636","https://openalex.org/W2567992421","https://openalex.org/W2591541557","https://openalex.org/W2626116453","https://openalex.org/W2735544405","https://openalex.org/W2747780508","https://openalex.org/W2766407763","https://openalex.org/W2789674734","https://openalex.org/W2800299140","https://openalex.org/W2811161607","https://openalex.org/W2906924390","https://openalex.org/W2909524579","https://openalex.org/W2913397716","https://openalex.org/W2944073929","https://openalex.org/W2946779411","https://openalex.org/W2962392377","https://openalex.org/W3000542971","https://openalex.org/W3025949386","https://openalex.org/W3045947152","https://openalex.org/W3119654245","https://openalex.org/W3159468577","https://openalex.org/W3186977440","https://openalex.org/W3194698137","https://openalex.org/W3200670348","https://openalex.org/W4205306386","https://openalex.org/W4210659817","https://openalex.org/W4212891492","https://openalex.org/W4221048200","https://openalex.org/W4224250987","https://openalex.org/W4237742967","https://openalex.org/W4280508983","https://openalex.org/W4280532746","https://openalex.org/W4280630276","https://openalex.org/W4285796515","https://openalex.org/W4286457092","https://openalex.org/W4292685294","https://openalex.org/W4292748625","https://openalex.org/W4308152766","https://openalex.org/W4320716865","https://openalex.org/W4372316669","https://openalex.org/W4378473548","https://openalex.org/W4384824000","https://openalex.org/W4386240946","https://openalex.org/W4388256078","https://openalex.org/W4388378102","https://openalex.org/W4388571233","https://openalex.org/W4389681884","https://openalex.org/W4403086972","https://openalex.org/W4403856934","https://openalex.org/W4409027825","https://openalex.org/W4410479553","https://openalex.org/W4414288260","https://openalex.org/W4416012393","https://openalex.org/W4417426507","https://openalex.org/W6888801288","https://openalex.org/W6907641055","https://openalex.org/W6926552232","https://openalex.org/W6945020821","https://openalex.org/W6963845383","https://openalex.org/W6963924400","https://openalex.org/W6964014867","https://openalex.org/W6964132489","https://openalex.org/W7105709118","https://openalex.org/W7129308067"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7135235806","https://openalex.org/W4410479553","https://openalex.org/W4392659156","https://openalex.org/W2317862754","https://openalex.org/W6892975437","https://openalex.org/W3086511432","https://openalex.org/W4292685294","https://openalex.org/W2181337827","https://openalex.org/W3162594077","https://openalex.org/W4205306386"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract.":[0],"Renewable":[1],"energy":[2,14,52,132,273,287],"production":[3,141],"is":[4,68,150,164,226,261],"strongly":[5],"influenced":[6],"by":[7,166,229,236],"climate":[8,23,29,86,282],"variability":[9,30,213],"and":[10,46,49,124,145,156,181,189,204,235,240,272],"change,":[11],"making":[12],"the":[13,32,55,72,82,99,129,153,157,161,168,172,179,194,210,268],"sector":[15],"sensitive":[16],"to":[17,27,70,284],"fluctuations":[18],"on":[19],"decadal":[20,59,85,169,277],"timescales.":[21],"Decadal":[22,107],"predictions,":[24],"which":[25,67,276],"aim":[26],"forecast":[28,77,91],"over":[31,88],"next":[33],"few":[34],"years,":[35],"therefore":[36],"offer":[37],"potential":[38,73,118],"value":[39,159,247],"for":[40,61,90,186,256,263,275],"anticipating":[41],"near-term":[42],"changes":[43],"in":[44,232,238],"wind":[45,120,144,237],"solar":[47,146,199,230],"resources":[48],"supporting":[50],"climate-informed":[51],"planning.":[53],"However,":[54],"predictive":[56],"skill":[57,83,149,185],"of":[58,75,84,131,160,197,214],"forecasts":[60],"energy-relevant":[62,115],"indicators":[63,274],"remains":[64],"poorly":[65],"quantified,":[66],"crucial":[69],"know":[71],"usability":[74],"any":[76],"product.":[78],"This":[79,265],"study":[80],"evaluates":[81],"predictions":[87,170,278],"Europe":[89],"years":[92],"1\u20133":[93],"using":[94],"a":[95,125],"multi-model":[96],"ensemble":[97],"from":[98,142],"Coupled":[100],"Model":[101,242],"Intercomparison":[102],"Project":[103,110],"Phase":[104],"6":[105],"(CMIP6)":[106],"Climate":[108],"Prediction":[109],"(DCPP).":[111],"We":[112],"assess":[113],"three":[114],"indicators:":[116],"photovoltaic":[117],"(PVpot),":[119],"capacity":[121],"factor":[122],"(WCF),":[123],"compound":[126,217],"indicator":[127,219],"describing":[128],"number":[130],"drought":[133],"days":[134,138],"(NED),":[135],"defined":[136],"as":[137],"with":[139,209],"inefficient":[140],"both":[143],"resources.":[147],"The":[148,216],"evaluated":[151],"against":[152,171],"ERA5":[154],"reanalysis,":[155],"added":[158,246],"model":[162],"initialization":[163,243],"estimated":[165],"comparing":[167],"non-initialized":[173],"historical":[174,249],"forcing":[175],"simulations.":[176],"PVpot":[177],"exhibits":[178],"highest":[180],"most":[182],"spatially":[183,205],"homogeneous":[184],"annual,":[187],"spring":[188],"summer":[190],"aggregations,":[191],"closely":[192],"reflecting":[193],"high":[195,211],"predictability":[196,225],"surface":[198],"radiation.":[200],"WCF":[201],"shows":[202,267],"low":[203],"heterogeneous":[206],"skill,":[207,254],"consistent":[208],"intrinsic":[212],"wind.":[215],"NED":[218],"displays":[220],"strong":[221],"seasonal":[222],"dependence:":[223],"its":[224,259],"largely":[227],"controlled":[228],"conditions":[231],"high-radiation":[233],"seasons":[234],"winter":[239],"autumn.":[241],"generally":[244],"provides":[245],"where":[248],"simulations":[250],"already":[251],"show":[252],"some":[253],"especially":[255],"PVpot,":[257],"while":[258],"impact":[260],"lower":[262],"WCF.":[264],"work":[266],"specific":[269],"seasons,":[270],"regions":[271],"can":[279],"provide":[280],"actionable":[281],"information":[283],"support":[285],"renewable":[286],"applications.":[288]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-28T10:33:24.094632","created_date":"2026-10-03T00:00:00"}
