{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7214914288","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","title":"A Bayesian Inference Framework for Binary Lens Events Fully Incorporating Higher-order Effects","display_name":"A Bayesian Inference Framework for Binary Lens Events Fully Incorporating Higher-order Effects","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-10-19","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7214914288","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S100695177","display_name":"The Astronomical Journal","issn_l":"0004-6256","issn":["0004-6256","1538-3881"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311669","host_organization_name":"Institute of Physics","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Astronomical Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref","datacite","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5093709184","display_name":"Kansuke Nunota","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-3414-455X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0005-3414-455X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I98285908","display_name":"The University of Osaka","ror":"https://ror.org/035t8zc32","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kansuke Nunota","raw_affiliation_strings":["Osaka University"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-3414-455X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Osaka University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5153683793","display_name":"Kento Masuda","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1298-9699","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1298-9699"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I98285908","display_name":"The University of Osaka","ror":"https://ror.org/035t8zc32","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kento Masuda","raw_affiliation_strings":["Osaka University"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1298-9699","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Osaka University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"],"apc_list":{"value":4499,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4499},"apc_paid":{"value":4499,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4499},"fwci":0.8211,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82296375,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"172","issue":"5","first_page":"274","last_page":"274"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10039","display_name":"Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies","score":0.9429000020027161,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3103","display_name":"Astronomy and Astrophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10039","display_name":"Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies","score":0.9429000020027161,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3103","display_name":"Astronomy and Astrophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10744","display_name":"Astrophysical Phenomena and Observations","score":0.03500000014901161,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3103","display_name":"Astronomy and Astrophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12917","display_name":"Astronomy and Astrophysical Research","score":0.0032999999821186066,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3105","display_name":"Instrumentation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gravitational-microlensing","display_name":"gravitational microlensing","score":0.8970000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microlensing-parallax","display_name":"microlensing parallax","score":0.9380000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/higher-order-effects","display_name":"higher-order effects","score":0.871999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/planetary-microlensing","display_name":"planetary microlensing","score":0.6050000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-selection","display_name":"model selection","score":0.49900001287460327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nancy-grace-roman-space-telescope","display_name":"Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope","score":0.8579999804496765}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C125125069","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1028022","display_name":"Gravitational microlensing","level":3,"score":0.9031999707221985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15759828","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q165074","display_name":"Parallax","level":2,"score":0.6521000266075134},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177769412","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q278090","display_name":"Prior probability","level":3,"score":0.6039000153541565},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48372109","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3913","display_name":"Binary number","level":2,"score":0.5325000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.5174000263214111},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73586568","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2600211","display_name":"Parameter space","level":2,"score":0.4812000095844269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.47600001096725464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.4564000070095062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15336307","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1766051","display_name":"Lens (geology)","level":2,"score":0.4535999894142151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.43560001254081726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.4047999978065491},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.4018000066280365},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C14036430","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3736076","display_name":"Function (biology)","level":2,"score":0.38260000944137573},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776214188","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q408386","display_name":"Inference","level":2,"score":0.38040000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48044578","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q727490","display_name":"Scalability","level":2,"score":0.364300012588501},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112972136","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7595718","display_name":"Stability (learning theory)","level":2,"score":0.3425999879837036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121864883","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q677916","display_name":"Statistical physics","level":1,"score":0.32109999656677246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.3181999921798706},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778572836","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q380933","display_name":"Space (punctuation)","level":2,"score":0.3118000030517578},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189430467","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7293293","display_name":"Ranking (information retrieval)","level":2,"score":0.29649999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C93959086","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6888345","display_name":"Model selection","level":2,"score":0.29280000925064087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C68498078","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q185243","display_name":"Gravitational lens","level":4,"score":0.28130000829696655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44870925","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37547","display_name":"Astrophysics","level":1,"score":0.2754000127315521},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48387981","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q631379","display_name":"Galactic halo","level":4,"score":0.26669999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132459708","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q744069","display_name":"Extrapolation","level":2,"score":0.26460000872612},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160633673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q355198","display_name":"Pixel","level":2,"score":0.2596000134944916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197055811","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q207522","display_name":"Probability density function","level":2,"score":0.2567000091075897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202887219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3895221","display_name":"Parametrization (atmospheric modeling)","level":3,"score":0.251800000667572}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S100695177","display_name":"The Astronomical Journal","issn_l":"0004-6256","issn":["0004-6256","1538-3881"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311669","host_organization_name":"Institute of Physics","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Astronomical Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:2609.36673","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.36673","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.36673","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":"2331-8422","issn":["2331-8422"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:941158a838ea4bbeb6070f947c26969e","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/941158a838ea4bbeb6070f947c26969e","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"The Astronomical Journal, Vol 172, Iss 5, p 274 (2026)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"doi:10.48550/arxiv.2609.36673","doi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2609.36673","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2609.36673","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":"2331-8422","issn":["2331-8422"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/aeacc7/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S100695177","display_name":"The Astronomical Journal","issn_l":"0004-6256","issn":["0004-6256","1538-3881"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311669","host_organization_name":"Institute of Physics","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Astronomical Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2735332757","display_name":"Probing the Evolution of Exoplanetary Systems Using Large-Scale Survey Data","funder_award_id":"25K07387","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334764","funder_display_name":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6813646454","display_name":"\u6b21\u4e16\u4ee3\u9ad8\u89e3\u50cf\u30ea\u30c8\u30ea\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u306b\u3088\u308b\u7cfb\u5916\u60d1\u661f\u5927\u6c17\u63a2\u67fb","funder_award_id":"26H02074","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334764","funder_display_name":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8570755300","display_name":"Mapping Habitable Planetary Environments with Exoplanet Imaging","funder_award_id":"21H04998","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334764","funder_display_name":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334764","display_name":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science","ror":"https://ror.org/00hhkn466"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7214914288.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7214914288.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":54,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W293041503","https://openalex.org/W1483769453","https://openalex.org/W1635148603","https://openalex.org/W1689540754","https://openalex.org/W1963685482","https://openalex.org/W1976053305","https://openalex.org/W1983874787","https://openalex.org/W2022595150","https://openalex.org/W2023502387","https://openalex.org/W2029990369","https://openalex.org/W2036762672","https://openalex.org/W2049884523","https://openalex.org/W2050292071","https://openalex.org/W2051577211","https://openalex.org/W2061435437","https://openalex.org/W2063397409","https://openalex.org/W2069234183","https://openalex.org/W2078210789","https://openalex.org/W2088217941","https://openalex.org/W2096764407","https://openalex.org/W2100509030","https://openalex.org/W2117366665","https://openalex.org/W2121647916","https://openalex.org/W2125811117","https://openalex.org/W2130593313","https://openalex.org/W2136195529","https://openalex.org/W2155183113","https://openalex.org/W2346571491","https://openalex.org/W2413988422","https://openalex.org/W2560154991","https://openalex.org/W2563618253","https://openalex.org/W2804435301","https://openalex.org/W2936125819","https://openalex.org/W2951568757","https://openalex.org/W2958207385","https://openalex.org/W2963090522","https://openalex.org/W3105926944","https://openalex.org/W3143788001","https://openalex.org/W4380446233","https://openalex.org/W4385874293","https://openalex.org/W4387940133","https://openalex.org/W4391175143","https://openalex.org/W4398168845","https://openalex.org/W4399889636","https://openalex.org/W4406354900","https://openalex.org/W4406711018","https://openalex.org/W4407985995","https://openalex.org/W4409833972","https://openalex.org/W4410009445","https://openalex.org/W4410499373","https://openalex.org/W4413874267","https://openalex.org/W4416451441","https://openalex.org/W6968891049","https://openalex.org/W7164558201"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2065288771","https://openalex.org/W2953008750","https://openalex.org/W4417029097","https://openalex.org/W2050485598","https://openalex.org/W7097833528","https://openalex.org/W7095730791","https://openalex.org/W3099181758","https://openalex.org/W7170175785","https://openalex.org/W2981955058","https://openalex.org/W1536811369"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Higher-order":[1],"effects,":[2],"such":[3,114,249],"as":[4,250],"microlensing":[5,19,216],"parallax":[6,217],"and":[7,25,84,87,111,131,157,187,218,232,236],"lens":[8,219],"orbital":[9,220],"motion,":[10],"are":[11,31,41,62],"essential":[12],"for":[13,215,227,240],"characterizing":[14],"the":[15,53,103,127,132,167,183,195,208,225,242,251],"physical":[16,210],"properties":[17],"of":[18,58,105,162,182],"planetary":[20],"systems,":[21],"including":[22],"their":[23,39,44],"masses":[24],"distances.":[26],"In":[27,98],"practice,":[28],"higher-order":[29,109,149],"effects":[30,74,110,150],"often":[32],"included":[33],"in":[34,46,126,154],"light-curve":[35,128,196],"modeling":[36],"only":[37],"when":[38],"signals":[40],"strong,":[42],"because":[43],"inclusion":[45],"weakly":[47],"constrained":[48],"cases":[49],"tends":[50],"to":[51,151,190],"drive":[52],"inferred":[54],"parameters":[55,211],"toward":[56],"regions":[57],"parameter":[59,129],"space":[60,130],"that":[61,80,113,147,178,203],"disfavored":[63],"by":[64,135,139],"standard":[65],"Galactic":[66,136,168,184],"models.":[67,137],"This":[68,222],"binary":[69],"choice":[70],"over":[71],"physically":[72],"continuous":[73],"introduces":[75],"an":[76],"event-dependent":[77],"selection":[78,231],"function":[79],"complicates":[81],"population-level":[82],"interpretation":[83],"prevents":[85],"strong":[86],"weak":[88],"detections":[89],"from":[90,118,246],"being":[91],"combined":[92],"within":[93],"a":[94,119,143,155,175,234],"single":[95],"uniform":[96,158],"framework.":[97],"this":[99,163],"work,":[100],"we":[101,141,165,201],"investigate":[102],"origin":[104],"instabilities":[106,115],"associated":[107],"with":[108],"show":[112],"can":[116],"arise":[117],"mismatch":[120],"between":[121],"commonly":[122],"adopted":[123],"uninformative":[124],"priors":[125],"distributions":[133],"predicted":[134],"Motivated":[138],"this,":[140],"develop":[142],"new":[144],"Bayesian":[145],"framework":[146,205,223],"enables":[148,179],"be":[152,191],"incorporated":[153,192],"stable":[156],"manner.":[159],"As":[160],"part":[161],"framework,":[164],"introduce":[166],"Prior":[169],"Modeling":[170],"Engine":[171],"(":[172],"gapmoe":[173],"),":[174],"dedicated":[176],"tool":[177],"efficient":[180],"evaluation":[181],"prior":[185],"density":[186],"allows":[188],"it":[189],"directly":[193],"into":[194],"inference.":[197],"Using":[198],"simulated":[199],"events,":[200],"demonstrate":[202],"our":[204],"robustly":[206],"recovers":[207],"true":[209],"while":[212],"fully":[213],"accounting":[214],"motion.":[221],"eliminates":[224],"need":[226],"ad":[228],"hoc":[229],"model":[230],"provides":[233],"scalable":[235],"statistically":[237],"consistent":[238],"pathway":[239],"analyzing":[241],"large":[243],"samples":[244],"expected":[245],"next-generation":[247],"surveys":[248],"Nancy":[252],"Grace":[253],"Roman":[254],"Space":[255],"Telescope.":[256]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2026-10-01T00:00:00"}