{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7213620742","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3917/reof.151.0227","title":"April 20, 2017 debate on the short-term economic outlook","display_name":"April 20, 2017 debate on the short-term economic outlook","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7213620742","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3917/reof.151.0227"},"language":"fr","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:cairn.info:E_REOF_151_0227","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3917/reof.151.0227","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-de-l-ofce-2017-2-page-227?lang=en","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406923042","display_name":"Cairn.info","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405258322","host_organization_name":"Cairn.info","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405258322"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"other"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Revue de l'OFCE | o 151 | 2 | 2017-09-04 | p. 227-238 | 1265-9576","raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034330589","display_name":"Olivier Garnier","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Garnier, Olivier","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5046578104","display_name":"Jean-Michel Six","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Six, Jean-Michel","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084903788","display_name":"Christophe Blot","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Blot, Christophe","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5106235788","display_name":"\u00c9ric Heyer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4641-4447","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4641-4447"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Heyer, \u00c9ric","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100878366","display_name":"Paul Hubert","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hubert, Paul","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083492716","display_name":"Xavier Ragot","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ragot, Xavier","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060825368","display_name":"Xavier Timbeau","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Timbeau, Xavier","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.75513341,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.8223000168800354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.8223000168800354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11742","display_name":"Economic Theory and Policy","score":0.07479999959468842,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10517","display_name":"Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis","score":0.04259999841451645,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/household-consumption","display_name":"household consumption","score":0.9900000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/determinants-of-consumption","display_name":"determinants of consumption","score":0.7059999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wealth-effects","display_name":"wealth effects","score":0.7509999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-wealth","display_name":"financial wealth","score":0.8040000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/real-estate-wealth","display_name":"real estate wealth","score":0.972000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/panel-data-estimation","display_name":"panel data estimation","score":0.6499999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/common-shocks","display_name":"common shocks","score":0.9869999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/2008-financial-crisis","display_name":"2008 financial crisis","score":0.8650000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/consumption-forecasting","display_name":"consumption forecasting","score":0.6890000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/short-term-economic-outlook","display_name":"short-term economic outlook","score":0.7409999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/developed-countries","display_name":"developed countries","score":0.6600000262260437}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.6531999707221985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6363000273704529},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C82279013","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q684740","display_name":"Real estate","level":2,"score":0.5680000185966492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780009758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6804172","display_name":"Measure (data warehouse)","level":2,"score":0.48890000581741333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778300220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q114380","display_name":"Financial crisis","level":2,"score":0.4043999910354614},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6422946","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q857354","display_name":"Panel data","level":2,"score":0.367900013923645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.35830000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160050368","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q132453","display_name":"Developed country","level":3,"score":0.3346000015735626},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.29660001397132874},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47768531","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1127188","display_name":"Development economics","level":1,"score":0.28060001134872437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.2766999900341034},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.27559998631477356},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136264566","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q159810","display_name":"Economy","level":1,"score":0.27239999175071716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780495726","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2186896","display_name":"Estate","level":2,"score":0.259799987077713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202353208","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1167393","display_name":"Economic indicator","level":2,"score":0.2563999891281128},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105639569","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q582577","display_name":"Economic policy","level":1,"score":0.2515000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83864248","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q177323","display_name":"Developing country","level":2,"score":0.2513999938964844}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:cairn.info:E_REOF_151_0227","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3917/reof.151.0227","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-de-l-ofce-2017-2-page-227?lang=en","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406923042","display_name":"Cairn.info","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405258322","host_organization_name":"Cairn.info","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405258322"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"other"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Revue de l'OFCE | o 151 | 2 | 2017-09-04 | p. 227-238 | 1265-9576","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3014716017","https://openalex.org/W7113657367","https://openalex.org/W1507352453","https://openalex.org/W2184571915","https://openalex.org/W2293864844","https://openalex.org/W1539194538","https://openalex.org/W2519111671","https://openalex.org/W2752631712","https://openalex.org/W3123325360","https://openalex.org/W1835232432"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"By":[0],"examining":[1],"the":[2,22,26,37,76,94],"determinants":[3],"of":[4,40,96],"household":[5,49],"consumption,":[6],"we":[7,83],"try":[8],"to":[9,47,70],"explain":[10],"its":[11],"broad":[12],"evolution":[13],"in":[14,102],"five":[15],"large":[16],"industrialized":[17],"countries":[18],"(Germany,":[19],"France,":[20],"Spain,":[21],"United":[23,27],"Kingdom,":[24],"and":[25,31,67],"States)":[28],"between":[29],"1990":[30],"2015.":[32],"We":[33,51],"show":[34],"that,":[35],"since":[36],"financial":[38,98],"crisis":[39],"2008,":[41],"classic":[42],"estimation":[43,56],"methods":[44],"have":[45],"failed":[46],"forecast":[48],"consumption.":[50],"therefore":[52],"provide":[53],"a":[54],"panel":[55],"method":[57],"that":[58],"takes":[59],"common":[60],"shocks":[61],"into":[62],"account,":[63],"provides":[64],"valid":[65],"equations,":[66],"allows":[68],"us":[69],"measure":[71],"wealth":[72,99],"effects":[73,88],"including":[74],"during":[75],"post-crisis":[77],"period.":[78],"In":[79],"accordance":[80],"with":[81],"theory,":[82],"did":[84],"not":[85],"observe":[86],"any":[87],"on":[89],"real":[90],"estate":[91],"wealth.":[92],"However,":[93],"effect":[95],"gross":[97],"is":[100],"significant":[101],"all":[103],"countries,":[104],"except":[105],"Germany.":[106],"Classification":[107],"JEL:":[108],"C33,":[109],"C53,":[110],"E21.":[111]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-25T09:29:13.331239","created_date":"2026-09-20T00:00:00"}
