{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7204990752","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","title":"Global Trade Conflict and Local Labor Markets: Manufacturing Effects and Service-sector Spillovers in Mexico","display_name":"Global Trade Conflict and Local Labor Markets: Manufacturing Effects and Service-sector Spillovers in Mexico","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7204990752","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.7384359","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","pdf_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/7384359.pdf?abstractid=7384359&mirid=1","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W7204990752"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/7384359.pdf?abstractid=7384359&mirid=1","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076669232","display_name":"Francisco Cabrera\u2010Hern\u00e1ndez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4247-1831","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4247-1831"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I31721044","display_name":"Centro de Investigaci\u00f3n y Docencia Econ\u00f3micas","ror":"https://ror.org/014zxe029","country_code":"MX","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I31721044"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Francisco Cabrera-Hern\u00e1ndez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centro de Investigaci\u00f3n y Docencia Econ\u00f3micas (CIDE), Caretera Mexico-Toluca 3655, Mexico City, 01210, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4247-1831","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centro de Investigaci\u00f3n y Docencia Econ\u00f3micas (CIDE), Caretera Mexico-Toluca 3655, Mexico City, 01210, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31721044"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063488782","display_name":"Mateo Hoyos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6790-2143","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6790-2143"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I125687163","display_name":"City College of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/00wmhkr98","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I125687163"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I174216632","display_name":"City University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/00453a208","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I174216632"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mateo Hoyos","raw_affiliation_strings":["City University of New York (CUNY) - Department of Economics and Business, 160 Convent Ave, New York, NY 10031, United States","The City College of New York, 160 Convent Ave, New york, NY New York 10036, United States"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6790-2143","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"City University of New York (CUNY) - Department of Economics and Business, 160 Convent Ave, New York, NY 10031, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I174216632"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The City College of New York, 160 Convent Ave, New york, NY New York 10036, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I125687163"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5041555148","display_name":"Emmanuel Ch\u00e1vez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4387-5224","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4387-5224"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I31721044","display_name":"Centro de Investigaci\u00f3n y Docencia Econ\u00f3micas","ror":"https://ror.org/014zxe029","country_code":"MX","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I31721044"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Emmanuel Chavez","raw_affiliation_strings":["CIDE Economics Department, Carretera Mexico Toluca 3655, 01210 Mexico, D.F., Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4387-5224","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CIDE Economics Department, Carretera Mexico Toluca 3655, 01210 Mexico, D.F., Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31721044"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5041555148"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31721044"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10128","display_name":"Global trade and economics","score":0.9613999724388123,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10128","display_name":"Global trade and economics","score":0.9613999724388123,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10208","display_name":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","score":0.018799999728798866,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10605","display_name":"Historical Economic and Social Studies","score":0.0026000000070780516,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/us-china-trade-war","display_name":"US-China trade war","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/local-labor-markets","display_name":"local labor markets","score":0.8659999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/manufacturing-employment","display_name":"manufacturing employment","score":0.6079999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wages","display_name":"wages","score":0.847000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regional-heterogeneity","display_name":"regional heterogeneity","score":0.7360000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-capacity","display_name":"industrial capacity","score":0.5849999785423279},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mexico","display_name":"Mexico","score":0.39500001072883606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cohort-composition","display_name":"cohort composition","score":0.4399999976158142}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6227999925613403},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777388388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6821213","display_name":"Wage","level":2,"score":0.5288000106811523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145236788","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q28161","display_name":"Labour economics","level":1,"score":0.47850000858306885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993469481","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q41171","display_name":"Job loss","level":3,"score":0.436599999666214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18547055","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q47417","display_name":"International economics","level":1,"score":0.33500000834465027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182769425","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q377302","display_name":"Trade barrier","level":2,"score":0.33500000834465027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155202549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178803","display_name":"International trade","level":1,"score":0.32850000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988460067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55639","display_name":"Manufacturing sector","level":2,"score":0.32429999113082886},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2991833021","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q361","display_name":"First world war","level":2,"score":0.32019999623298645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779190738","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7832039","display_name":"Trade diversion","level":4,"score":0.3093000054359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C35532855","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q200435","display_name":"Free trade","level":2,"score":0.3021000027656555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191935318","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q148","display_name":"China","level":2,"score":0.2939999997615814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775906566","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q692412","display_name":"Trade war","level":3,"score":0.2937999963760376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38104776","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932071","display_name":"Industrial relations","level":2,"score":0.2921000123023987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C137355542","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q362","display_name":"World War II","level":2,"score":0.28600001335144043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993530730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q65042393","display_name":"Wage growth","level":3,"score":0.27810001373291016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778126366","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q41171","display_name":"Unemployment","level":2,"score":0.27379998564720154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.25589999556541443},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204983608","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2111958","display_name":"Productivity","level":2,"score":0.2558000087738037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C140413371","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q572564","display_name":"Commercial policy","level":2,"score":0.25519999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779685004","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1570293","display_name":"Terms of trade","level":2,"score":0.251800000667572}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.7384359","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","pdf_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/7384359.pdf?abstractid=7384359&mirid=1","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.7384359","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7384359","pdf_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/7384359.pdf?abstractid=7384359&mirid=1","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":1.0},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/10","display_name":"Reduced inequalities","score":0.4074000120162964}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7204990752.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7204990752.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":7,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2904046333","https://openalex.org/W3041109582","https://openalex.org/W3113269512","https://openalex.org/W3171913071","https://openalex.org/W4399216638","https://openalex.org/W7130844906","https://openalex.org/W7165373599"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2218389754","https://openalex.org/W7166855871","https://openalex.org/W4411599928","https://openalex.org/W3025352008","https://openalex.org/W2274502056","https://openalex.org/W7100413250","https://openalex.org/W2811362278","https://openalex.org/W3175985665","https://openalex.org/W1813876871","https://openalex.org/W4394627259"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-09T13:22:03.289127","created_date":"2026-09-02T00:00:00"}