{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7204277404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","title":"Modeling the dynamics of warehouse balances in the agro-industrial complex based on quarterly data","display_name":"Modeling the dynamics of warehouse balances in the agro-industrial complex based on quarterly data","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-07-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7204277404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","pdf_url":"https://journals.ssau.ru/eco/article/download/30542/12628","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210183701","display_name":"Vestnik of Samara University Economics and Management","issn_l":"2542-0461","issn":["2542-0461","2782-3008"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310312761","host_organization_name":"Samara National Research University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310312761"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Samara National Research University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Vestnik of Samara University. Economics and Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W7204277404"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://journals.ssau.ru/eco/article/download/30542/12628","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5159100186","display_name":"Polina A. Novikova","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4820-8913","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4820-8913"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177537411","display_name":"Bauman Moscow State Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/00pb8h375","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177537411"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Polina A. Novikova","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education \u00abBauman Moscow State Technical University (National Research University)\u00bb"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4820-8913","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education \u00abBauman Moscow State Technical University (National Research University)\u00bb","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177537411"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5138860456","display_name":"Alexandra V. Chelenko","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0135-4152","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0135-4152"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177537411","display_name":"Bauman Moscow State Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/00pb8h375","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177537411"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alexandra V. Chelenko","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education \u00abBauman Moscow State Technical University (National Research University)\u00bb"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0135-4152","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education \u00abBauman Moscow State Technical University (National Research University)\u00bb","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177537411"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5159100186"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177537411"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":"2","first_page":"59","last_page":"68"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9653000235557556,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9653000235557556,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14367","display_name":"Logistics and Infrastructure Analysis","score":0.01209999993443489,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12201","display_name":"Agricultural Engineering and Mechanization","score":0.004800000227987766,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2210","display_name":"Mechanical Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-machinery","display_name":"agricultural machinery","score":0.6650000214576721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agro-industrial-complex","display_name":"agro-industrial complex","score":0.8849999904632568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-patterns","display_name":"seasonal patterns","score":0.859000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trend-and-seasonal-components","display_name":"seasonal and trend components","score":0.7879999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inventory-management","display_name":"inventory management","score":0.8009999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/logistics-optimization","display_name":"logistics optimization","score":0.7390000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/combine-harvester","display_name":"combine harvester","score":0.9559999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tractors","display_name":"tractors","score":0.843999981880188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sprayers","display_name":"sprayers","score":0.7070000171661377}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5855000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.4745999872684479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77405623","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q598451","display_name":"System dynamics","level":2,"score":0.46869999170303345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.45840001106262207},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50416739","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q181623","display_name":"Warehouse","level":2,"score":0.45570001006126404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4016999900341034},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120936955","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2155640","display_name":"Empirical research","level":2,"score":0.37860000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C135572916","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193351","display_name":"Data warehouse","level":2,"score":0.3589000105857849},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76969082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q486902","display_name":"Mathematical model","level":2,"score":0.3416999876499176},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C67186912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367664","display_name":"Data modeling","level":2,"score":0.32199999690055847},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145912823","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q113558","display_name":"Dynamics (music)","level":2,"score":0.32019999623298645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.31940001249313354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.3003999888896942},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.2935999929904938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.26260000467300415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133199616","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25386885","display_name":"Empirical modelling","level":2,"score":0.2500999867916107}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","pdf_url":"https://journals.ssau.ru/eco/article/download/30542/12628","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210183701","display_name":"Vestnik of Samara University Economics and Management","issn_l":"2542-0461","issn":["2542-0461","2782-3008"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310312761","host_organization_name":"Samara National Research University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310312761"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Samara National Research University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Vestnik of Samara University. Economics and Management","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2026-17-2-59-68","pdf_url":"https://journals.ssau.ru/eco/article/download/30542/12628","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210183701","display_name":"Vestnik of Samara University Economics and Management","issn_l":"2542-0461","issn":["2542-0461","2782-3008"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310312761","host_organization_name":"Samara National Research University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310312761"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Samara National Research University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Vestnik of Samara University. Economics and Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.9208999872207642,"display_name":"Zero hunger","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2"},{"score":0.5378999710083008,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7204277404.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7204277404.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":5,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W4383340187","https://openalex.org/W4401020630","https://openalex.org/W4409508113","https://openalex.org/W4412088680","https://openalex.org/W6888938486"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4361829642","https://openalex.org/W7033535981","https://openalex.org/W4226210176","https://openalex.org/W300101912","https://openalex.org/W2963131639","https://openalex.org/W2004610146","https://openalex.org/W4392661240","https://openalex.org/W2997040513","https://openalex.org/W2271763544","https://openalex.org/W265571103"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,101],"article":[1],"is":[2,92,122],"devoted":[3],"to":[4,58,107],"the":[5,16,23,28,60,87,99,118,131],"analysis":[6],"of":[7,10,12,15,19,44,69,85,98],"quarterly":[8,25],"dynamics":[9],"deviations":[11],"warehouse":[13],"balances":[14],"main":[17],"categories":[18],"agricultural":[20],"machinery":[21,45],"from":[22],"average":[24],"level":[26],"for":[27,41,90],"period":[29],"2022-2024.":[30],"Based":[31],"on":[32,127,133],"empirical":[33],"data,":[34],"stable":[35],"seasonal":[36,80],"patterns":[37],"have":[38],"been":[39,74],"identified":[40],"such":[42],"groups":[43],"as":[46],"combine":[47],"harvesters,":[48],"seed":[49],"complexes,":[50],"sprayers,":[51],"tractors,":[52],"and":[53,79,113,139],"road-utility":[54],"vehicles.":[55],"In":[56],"order":[57],"apply":[59],"research":[61],"results":[62],"in":[63,117],"practice,":[64],"a":[65,95],"predictive":[66],"mathematical":[67],"model":[68,103,132],"an":[70],"additive":[71],"type":[72],"has":[73],"developed":[75],"that":[76],"integrates":[77],"trend":[78],"components.":[81],"A":[82],"detailed":[83],"example":[84],"calculating":[86],"forecast":[88],"value":[89],"2025":[91],"given":[93],"with":[94],"step-by-step":[96],"description":[97],"algorithm.":[100],"proposed":[102],"makes":[104],"it":[105],"possible":[106],"optimize":[108],"logistics":[109],"processes,":[110],"manage":[111],"inventories":[112],"reduce":[114],"operating":[115],"costs":[116],"agro-industrial":[119],"complex,":[120],"which":[121],"confirmed":[123,136],"by":[124],"its":[125,137],"testing":[126],"real":[128],"data.":[129],"Checking":[130],"retrospective":[134],"data":[135],"adequacy":[138],"practical":[140],"value.":[141]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-13T13:42:25.865203","created_date":"2026-08-27T00:00:00"}