{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7204183172","doi":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","title":"Predictive Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Farm Income and Food Security in Haryana, India: An Adaptation-Scenario and Optimization Analysis.","display_name":"Predictive Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Farm Income and Food Security in Haryana, India: An Adaptation-Scenario and Optimization Analysis.","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7204183172","doi":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","doi":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","pdf_url":"https://revistadecineforum.com/index.php/cf/article/download/1262/875","source":null,"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"edited-book"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W7204183172"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"book","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://revistadecineforum.com/index.php/cf/article/download/1262/875","any_repository_has_fulltext":null},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5114045607","display_name":"Ashutosh Ashutosh","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155125381","display_name":"Galgotias University","ror":"https://ror.org/02w8ba206","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155125381"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ashutosh Ashutosh","raw_affiliation_strings":["\u00b9 Research Scholar , Department of Economics , galgotias University Greater Noida Uttar Pradesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u00b9 Research Scholar , Department of Economics , galgotias University Greater Noida Uttar Pradesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155125381"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5129554344","display_name":"Manju Dahiya","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4575-1097","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4575-1097"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155125381","display_name":"Galgotias University","ror":"https://ror.org/02w8ba206","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155125381"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Manju Dahiya","raw_affiliation_strings":["Professor, Department of Economics , galgotias University Greater Noida Uttar Pradesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Professor, Department of Economics , galgotias University Greater Noida Uttar Pradesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155125381"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155125381"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11886","display_name":"Agricultural risk and resilience","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10471","display_name":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change-impacts","display_name":"climate change impacts","score":0.8650000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/farm-income","display_name":"farm income","score":0.8980000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/food-security","display_name":"food security","score":0.9789999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crop-yield-prediction","display_name":"crop yield prediction","score":0.7139999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/xgboost-ensemble","display_name":"XGBoost ensemble","score":0.652999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ssp2-4-5-and-ssp5-8-5-scenarios","display_name":"SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios","score":0.8790000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/food-security-index","display_name":"food security index","score":0.8489999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cropping-pattern-optimization","display_name":"cropping pattern optimization","score":0.6880000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/heat-tolerant-crops","display_name":"heat-tolerant crops","score":0.8510000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/micro-irrigation","display_name":"micro-irrigation","score":0.6869999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crop-diversification","display_name":"crop diversification","score":0.9390000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-risk-assessment","display_name":"climate risk assessment","score":0.6230000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/haryana","display_name":"Haryana","score":0.7770000100135803}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C549605437","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1229911","display_name":"Food security","level":3,"score":0.73089998960495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13558536","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q785116","display_name":"Cropping","level":3,"score":0.6093000173568726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.5856000185012817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.5424000024795532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95713431","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q631425","display_name":"Vulnerability (computing)","level":2,"score":0.49300000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.45320001244544983},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C88862950","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11453","display_name":"Irrigation","level":2,"score":0.4478999972343445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175605778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3299701","display_name":"Natural resource economics","level":1,"score":0.43959999084472656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48824518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q396340","display_name":"Agricultural economics","level":1,"score":0.43459999561309814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41156917","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682831","display_name":"Downscaling","level":3,"score":0.41100001335144043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4059999883174896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777382242","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6017816","display_name":"Index (typography)","level":2,"score":0.3849000036716461},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134121241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q899301","display_name":"Yield (engineering)","level":2,"score":0.364300012588501},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126343540","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q889514","display_name":"Crop yield","level":2,"score":0.33799999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780117336","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5435555","display_name":"Farm income","level":3,"score":0.33390000462532043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138262166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q570938","display_name":"Net income","level":2,"score":0.3312000036239624},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C88463610","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194118","display_name":"Agricultural engineering","level":1,"score":0.3249000012874603},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15430695","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11157999","display_name":"Gross margin","level":3,"score":0.3190999925136566},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C88199923","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q627371","display_name":"Food processing","level":2,"score":0.301800012588501},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189326681","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10294","display_name":"Poverty","level":2,"score":0.3010999858379364},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37621935","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3606845","display_name":"Agricultural science","level":1,"score":0.29330000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136996986","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42967","display_name":"Monsoon","level":2,"score":0.29170000553131104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.29159998893737793},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779957034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q24886253","display_name":"Food prices","level":4,"score":0.2793000042438507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5333508","display_name":"Economic impact analysis","level":2,"score":0.2791999876499176},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114990195","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1430548","display_name":"Effects of global warming","level":4,"score":0.27300000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777615720","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11888847","display_name":"Prioritization","level":2,"score":0.2711000144481659},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.2694999873638153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C137580998","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q235352","display_name":"Crop","level":2,"score":0.2605000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.2597000002861023}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","doi":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","pdf_url":"https://revistadecineforum.com/index.php/cf/article/download/1262/875","source":null,"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"edited-book"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","doi":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.66669/cineforum.v66is3.1262","pdf_url":"https://revistadecineforum.com/index.php/cf/article/download/1262/875","source":null,"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"edited-book"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":1.0},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","display_name":"Zero hunger","score":0.991100013256073},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/1","display_name":"No poverty","score":0.41670000553131104}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7204183172.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7204183172.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":38,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1013153686","https://openalex.org/W1987599322","https://openalex.org/W2008076627","https://openalex.org/W2080187568","https://openalex.org/W2081757228","https://openalex.org/W2086710305","https://openalex.org/W2103736676","https://openalex.org/W2118921617","https://openalex.org/W2128186667","https://openalex.org/W2144720528","https://openalex.org/W2158883105","https://openalex.org/W2264000452","https://openalex.org/W2295598076","https://openalex.org/W2619939674","https://openalex.org/W2787056864","https://openalex.org/W2889346165","https://openalex.org/W2911964244","https://openalex.org/W2955309678","https://openalex.org/W2995238772","https://openalex.org/W3113594603","https://openalex.org/W3131716080","https://openalex.org/W3155615299","https://openalex.org/W3157033144","https://openalex.org/W4295485413","https://openalex.org/W4303983957","https://openalex.org/W4320920068","https://openalex.org/W4382362038","https://openalex.org/W4385072023","https://openalex.org/W4386222759","https://openalex.org/W4389052818","https://openalex.org/W4390602209","https://openalex.org/W4390796729","https://openalex.org/W4392296521","https://openalex.org/W4406858538","https://openalex.org/W4413941880","https://openalex.org/W4414099478","https://openalex.org/W7126390480","https://openalex.org/W7162450867"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4250892554","https://openalex.org/W4321334517","https://openalex.org/W6921546535","https://openalex.org/W2005696766","https://openalex.org/W2741177865","https://openalex.org/W2206823472","https://openalex.org/W4414396728","https://openalex.org/W6986666296","https://openalex.org/W3149914927","https://openalex.org/W4361208672"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Haryana":[0],"is":[1,20,45,154,162,227],"one":[2],"of":[3,9,14,27,32,37,52,103,158,184,219],"the":[4,10,25,87,127,155,159,165,173,181,187,197,224,230],"big":[5],"surplus":[6],"production":[7,16],"states":[8],"country":[11,160],"in":[12,29,92,101,135,144,189,229],"terms":[13,102],"grain":[15],"but":[17],"yet":[18],"it":[19],"very":[21],"much":[22],"susceptible":[23],"to":[24,122,148,200,210,223],"effects":[26],"increase":[28],"temperature,":[30],"variability":[31],"monsoon":[33],"and":[34,54,62,76,97,117,141,180,205,217],"intensive":[35],"cultivation":[36],"rice-wheat":[38],"on":[39],"groundwater.":[40],"An":[41],"integrated":[42],"predictive-modeling":[43],"chain":[44],"proposed":[46],"that":[47],"integrates":[48],"downscaled":[49],"climate":[50,214],"projections":[51],"SSP2-4.5":[53],"SSP5-8.5":[55],"scenarios,":[56],"a":[57,66,70,132,142,212],"hybrid":[58],"crop-yield":[59],"engine":[60],"(DSSAT-CERES":[61],"machine-learning":[63],"based":[64],"ensemble),":[65],"Ricardian":[67],"net-farm-income":[68],"function,":[69],"composite":[71],"Food":[72],"Security":[73],"Index":[74],"(FSI),":[75],"linear-programming":[77],"(LP)":[78],"adaptation-optimization":[79],"module.":[80],"The":[81,150],"ensemble":[82],"yield":[83],"model":[84],"(XGBoost)":[85],"was":[86],"best":[88],"among":[89],"all":[90,93],"models":[91],"five":[94],"major":[95],"crops":[96],"four":[98],"agro-climatic":[99],"zones":[100],"predictive":[104,203],"ability":[105],"(R\u00b2":[106],"=":[107,110],"0.91,":[108],"RMSE":[109],"0.22":[111],"t":[112],"ha\u207b\u00b9).":[113],"Under":[114],"SSP5-8.5,":[115],"wheat":[116],"rice":[118],"yields":[119],"are":[120],"projected":[121],"decrease":[123,134],"by":[124,126],"14-23%":[125],"2050s-2080s,":[128],"which":[129,161],"would":[130],"be":[131,208],"21%":[133],"state":[136],"average":[137],"net":[138,166],"farm":[139,167],"income":[140,168],"reduction":[143],"FSI":[145,198],"from":[146,172],"0.61":[147],"0.56.":[149],"most":[151],"fragile":[152],"area":[153],"south":[156],"west":[157],"dry.":[163],"With":[164],"(17.3%":[169],"above":[170],"BAS)":[171],"changed":[174],"cropping":[175],"reallocation":[176],"for":[177],"LP":[178],"optimisation":[179],"transformational":[182],"adaptation":[183,220],"heat-tolerant":[185],"crops,":[186],"change":[188],"sowing":[190],"dates,":[191],"micro":[192],"irrigation":[193],"or":[194],"crop":[195],"diversification,":[196],"returns":[199],"0.70.":[201],"How":[202],"modelling":[204],"optimization":[206],"can":[207],"combined":[209],"provide":[211],"quantitative":[213],"risk":[215],"assessment":[216],"prioritization":[218],"investments":[221],"down":[222],"sub-state":[225],"level":[226],"illustrated":[228],"diagram..":[231]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2026-08-26T00:00:00"}