{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7204178404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","title":"The NFL Scouting Combine Explains Within-Position Physical Performance Variance But Is a Poor Predictor of Draft Outcomes","display_name":"The NFL Scouting Combine Explains Within-Position Physical Performance Variance But Is a Poor Predictor of Draft Outcomes","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-08-25","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7204178404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42641168"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S150708336","display_name":"The Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research","issn_l":"1064-8011","issn":["1064-8011","1533-4287"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315671","host_organization_name":"Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315671","https://openalex.org/P4310318547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","Wolters Kluwer"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Strength &amp; Conditioning Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5119631398","display_name":"Benjamin Patrick Doyle","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0006-7261-0213","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0006-7261-0213"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91045830","display_name":"Texas A&M University","ror":"https://ror.org/01f5ytq51","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Benjamin P. Doyle","raw_affiliation_strings":["Performance and Fatigue Laboratory, Department of Kinesiology and Sport Management, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0006-7261-0213","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Performance and Fatigue Laboratory, Department of Kinesiology and Sport Management, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5033451293","display_name":"Sean T. Stanelle","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sean T. Stanelle","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001798388","display_name":"Steven E. Riechman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9439-7560","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9439-7560"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Steven E. Riechman","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"J. Bryan Mann","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J. Bryan Mann","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.65806389,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10157","display_name":"Sports Performance and Training","score":0.9872999787330627,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2732","display_name":"Orthopedics and Sports Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10157","display_name":"Sports Performance and Training","score":0.9872999787330627,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2732","display_name":"Orthopedics and Sports Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.009499999694526196,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10813","display_name":"Sport Psychology and Performance","score":0.0010999999940395355,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3204","display_name":"Developmental and Educational Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physical-performance-tests","display_name":"physical performance tests","score":0.5870000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/anaerobic-power","display_name":"anaerobic power","score":0.8769999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/change-of-direction-speed","display_name":"change of direction speed","score":0.7089999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/momentum","display_name":"momentum","score":0.49300000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/strength","display_name":"strength","score":0.47699999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wide-receivers","display_name":"wide receivers","score":0.8050000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/defensive-backs","display_name":"defensive backs","score":0.9580000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/running-backs","display_name":"running backs","score":0.9829999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/player-performance-analysis","display_name":"player performance evaluation","score":0.3569999933242798}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.6633999943733215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196083921","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915758","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","level":2,"score":0.609000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151956035","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132755","display_name":"Logistic regression","level":2,"score":0.5767999887466431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778444522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1081491","display_name":"Football","level":2,"score":0.5666000247001648},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5529000163078308},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C27438332","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2873","display_name":"Principal component analysis","level":2,"score":0.531000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C207456731","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q660818","display_name":"League","level":2,"score":0.4715000092983246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C60718061","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1414747","display_name":"Momentum (technical analysis)","level":2,"score":0.4643999934196472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192424360","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929408","display_name":"Multivariate analysis of variance","level":2,"score":0.4219000041484833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018076075","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1826427","display_name":"Variance components","level":2,"score":0.392300009727478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152877465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q208042","display_name":"Regression analysis","level":2,"score":0.37860000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161584116","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1952580","display_name":"Multivariate statistics","level":2,"score":0.37290000915527344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C198082294","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3399648","display_name":"Position (finance)","level":2,"score":0.3684000074863434},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37423430","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6750281","display_name":"Hull","level":2,"score":0.3538999855518341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89715816","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915763","display_name":"Variance decomposition of forecast errors","level":2,"score":0.35109999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.34940001368522644},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778217198","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q556977","display_name":"Cutoff","level":2,"score":0.34529998898506165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138528620","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2510752","display_name":"Explained variation","level":2,"score":0.33489999175071716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.32409998774528503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.32010000944137573},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19499675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q232207","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","level":2,"score":0.3100999891757965},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168167062","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1117970","display_name":"Component (thermodynamics)","level":2,"score":0.30149999260902405},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153396756","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1785966","display_name":"Physical strength","level":2,"score":0.2985999882221222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779190172","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4913888","display_name":"Binary data","level":3,"score":0.288100004196167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777267654","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3519023","display_name":"Test (biology)","level":2,"score":0.2802000045776367},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111030470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1430460","display_name":"Curse of dimensionality","level":2,"score":0.27720001339912415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778136018","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10350689","display_name":"Predictive power","level":2,"score":0.27630001306533813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33676613","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q13415176","display_name":"Dimension (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.27459999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C69738355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1228929","display_name":"Linear discriminant analysis","level":2,"score":0.27320000529289246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83546350","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1139051","display_name":"Regression","level":2,"score":0.27140000462532043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C171687745","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q309252","display_name":"Physical fitness","level":2,"score":0.2709999978542328},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152587130","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7092351","display_name":"One-way analysis of variance","level":3,"score":0.257999986410141},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.2572999894618988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48921125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10861030","display_name":"Linear regression","level":2,"score":0.25589999556541443},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96608239","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1199823","display_name":"Statistical power","level":2,"score":0.2524000108242035}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0000000000005654","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S150708336","display_name":"The Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research","issn_l":"1064-8011","issn":["1064-8011","1533-4287"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315671","host_organization_name":"Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315671","https://openalex.org/P4310318547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","Wolters Kluwer"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Strength &amp; Conditioning Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:42641168","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42641168","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of strength and conditioning research","raw_type":"Journal Article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"score":0.5612803101539612,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/1","display_name":"No poverty"}],"study_designs":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study","display_name":"Observational Study"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":37,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1831050183","https://openalex.org/W1978172304","https://openalex.org/W1980276147","https://openalex.org/W1984864995","https://openalex.org/W1995300959","https://openalex.org/W1997436154","https://openalex.org/W2005684402","https://openalex.org/W2010599180","https://openalex.org/W2011177021","https://openalex.org/W2019365613","https://openalex.org/W2055250376","https://openalex.org/W2058513103","https://openalex.org/W2059104572","https://openalex.org/W2063814766","https://openalex.org/W2081534069","https://openalex.org/W2082137964","https://openalex.org/W2088273952","https://openalex.org/W2088477804","https://openalex.org/W2161529357","https://openalex.org/W2281566679","https://openalex.org/W2438621791","https://openalex.org/W2502226236","https://openalex.org/W2887404100","https://openalex.org/W2898281653","https://openalex.org/W2926003763","https://openalex.org/W2959243407","https://openalex.org/W2976158583","https://openalex.org/W3029664187","https://openalex.org/W3157161382","https://openalex.org/W3165355909","https://openalex.org/W4206202004","https://openalex.org/W4206749051","https://openalex.org/W4306407818","https://openalex.org/W4319460653","https://openalex.org/W4387472828","https://openalex.org/W4405250073","https://openalex.org/W4406021650"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT:":[0],"Doyle,":[1],"BP,":[2],"Stanelle,":[3],"ST,":[4],"Riechman,":[5],"SE,":[6],"and":[7,56,81,96,100,110,178,183,219,235],"Mann,":[8],"JB.":[9],"The":[10],"NFL":[11,87],"scouting":[12],"combine":[13,65],"explains":[14],"within-position":[15],"physical":[16,42,136,161,264,301],"performance":[17,43,49,137,162,204,245,253,265,278,302],"variance":[18,50,149,166,272],"but":[19,291],"is":[20],"a":[21],"poor":[22,206],"predictor":[23],"of":[24,53,134,148],"draft":[25,59,140,194,274,289],"outcomes.":[26],"J":[27],"Strength":[28],"Cond":[29],"Res":[30],"XX(X):":[31],"000-000,":[32],"2026-This":[33],"study":[34],"evaluates":[35],"the":[36,85,132,212],"National":[37,282],"Football":[38,283],"League":[39,284],"(NFL)":[40],"Combine's":[41],"tests":[44,286],"ability":[45],"to":[46,304,308],"(a)":[47],"explain":[48],"between":[51,217],"players":[52,221,241,250],"similar":[54],"positions":[55],"(b)":[57],"predict":[58],"status.":[60],"Players":[61],"who":[62],"completed":[63],"all":[64],"assessments":[66],"(n":[67,128],"=":[68,129],"3,681)":[69],"were":[70,167,222],"grouped":[71],"by":[72],"position":[73,118,144],"group":[74],"as":[75,299],"quarterbacks,":[76],"skill":[77],"(SK),":[78],"linemen":[79],"(BIG),":[80],"mid-size.":[82],"Variables":[83],"included":[84],"6":[86],"Combine":[88,285],"tests,":[89],"height,":[90],"body":[91],"mass,":[92],"maximal":[93],"anaerobic":[94],"power,":[95],"momentum":[97,169],"for":[98,116,142,270,313],"speed":[99],"change-of-direction":[101],"(COD)":[102],"tests.":[103],"Principal":[104],"component":[105,158,246],"analysis":[106,112,147],"with":[107,123,150,239],"promax":[108],"rotation":[109],"parallel":[111],"reduced":[113],"data":[114],"dimensionality":[115],"each":[117,143],"group.":[119,145],"Binary":[120],"logistic":[121],"regression":[122,187],"Monte":[124],"Carlo":[125],"simulated":[126],"cross-validation":[127],"1,000)":[130],"examined":[131],"impact":[133],"identified":[135],"components":[138,163,191],"on":[139],"likelihood":[141],"Multivariate":[146],"post-hoc":[151],"testing":[152],"compared":[153],"drafted":[154,218,249],"vs.":[155],"undrafted":[156,220,240],"players'":[157],"scores.":[159],"Four":[160],"explaining":[164],"meaningful":[165],"identified:":[168],"(26.5-36.1%":[170],"explained),":[171,174,177],"power":[172],"(22.1-29.5%":[173],"COD":[175],"(15.5-19.7%":[176],"strength":[179],"(10.0-11.5%":[180],"explained;":[181],"BIG":[182],"SK":[184,199],"only).":[185,200],"Logistic":[186],"indicated":[188],"that":[189,263],"few":[190],"significantly":[192],"influenced":[193],"probability":[195],"(p":[196],"<":[197,214,258],"0.05;":[198],"Overall":[201],"model":[202],"predictive":[203],"was":[205],"(receiver":[207],"operator":[208],"characteristic":[209],"area":[210],"under":[211],"curve":[213],"0.75).":[215],"Differences":[216],"found":[223],"in":[224,273],"wide":[225],"receivers":[226],"(WR)":[227],"(power,":[228],"COD,":[229],"strength),":[230,234],"defensive":[231],"backs":[232,237],"(momentum,":[233],"running":[236],"(strength),":[238],"having":[242],"unexpectedly":[243],"superior":[244],"scores":[247],"than":[248],"across":[251],"several":[252],"qualities":[254],"(small-to-moderate":[255],"effect,":[256],"p":[257],"0.05).":[259],"These":[260],"results":[261],"suggest":[262],"alone":[266],"does":[267],"not":[268],"account":[269],"most":[271],"status":[275],"once":[276],"underlying":[277,300],"thresholds":[279],"are":[280],"met.":[281],"inconsistently":[287],"predicted":[288],"outcomes":[290],"may":[292],"still":[293],"guide":[294],"roster":[295],"decisions":[296],"when":[297],"contextualized":[298],"attributes":[303],"highlight":[305],"individual":[306],"deficits":[307],"evaluate":[309],"an":[310],"athlete's":[311],"fit":[312],"team-specific":[314],"demands.":[315]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-13T10:08:12.033832","created_date":"2026-08-26T00:00:00"}