{"title":"Decadal doubling of Siberian methane emissions due to warming-induced fires and methanogenesis","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aea5828","publication_date":"2026-08-06","abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"northern":[1],"permafrost":[2,23],"region,":[3],"which":[4],"stores":[5],"double":[6],"the":[7,12,59,130,142],"amount":[8],"of":[9,33,50,129],"carbon":[10],"in":[11,27],"atmosphere,":[13],"is":[14],"vulnerable":[15],"to":[16,69],"accelerated":[17],"warming.":[18],"Methane":[19],"emissions":[20,42,84,101,117,124],"from":[21],"thawing":[22],"may":[24],"eventually":[25],"result":[26],"a":[28],"climate-carbon":[29],"feedback.":[30],"Our":[31],"analysis":[32],"atmospheric":[34],"methane":[35,41,51,132],"data":[36],"shows":[37],"that":[38,119],"Siberian":[39,65,123],"growing-season":[40],"have":[43],"increased":[44],"by":[45,120],"12.0":[46],"\u00b1":[47,86,103],"1.9":[48],"teragrams":[49],"(TgCH":[52],"4":[53,89,106],")":[54],"(5%":[55],"per":[56],"year)":[57],"over":[58,79,96],"period":[60],"2010\u20132023.":[61],"We":[62],"reveal":[63],"contrasting":[64],"hydrological":[66],"trends":[67],"linked":[68],"high-pressure":[70],"systems":[71],"and":[72,93,116],"distinct":[73],"air-sea-land":[74],"interactions.":[75],"Warmer,":[76],"drier":[77],"conditions":[78,95],"eastern":[80,139],"Siberia":[81,98,140],"enhance":[82],"fire-related":[83],"(0.7":[85],"0.1":[87,104],"TgCH":[88,105],"year":[90,107],"\u22122":[91,108],"),":[92],"wetter":[94],"western":[97],"promote":[99],"wetland-related":[100],"(0.4":[102],").":[109],"Weakly":[110],"nonlinear":[111],"relationships":[112],"between":[113],"temperature":[114],"maxima":[115],"suggest":[118],"2050,":[121],"higher":[122],"could":[125],"offset":[126],"about":[127],"20%":[128],"global":[131],"reduction":[133],"required":[134],"for":[135],"climate":[136],"targets,":[137],"with":[138],"dominating":[141],"projected":[143],"increase.":[144]},"primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1126/science.aea5828","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aea5828","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S3880285","display_name":"Science","issn_l":"0036-8075","issn":["0036-8075","0193-4511","1095-9203"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315823","host_organization_name":"American Association for the Advancement of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315823"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Association for the Advancement of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Science","raw_type":"journal-article"}}
