{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7166303609","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","title":"Goal-oriented modelling reveals possible paths to future successful conservation and exploitation in the Norwegian and Barents Seas","display_name":"Goal-oriented modelling reveals possible paths to future successful conservation and exploitation in the Norwegian and Barents Seas","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-11","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7166303609","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S88315673","display_name":"Ecological Modelling","issn_l":"0304-3800","issn":["0304-3800","1872-7026"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Modelling","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5119203341","display_name":"Etienne Rieu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0583-501X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0583-501X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I32021983","display_name":"Christian-Albrechts-Universit\u00e4t zu Kiel","ror":"https://ror.org/04v76ef78","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I32021983"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Etienne Rieu","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0583-501X","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027008604","display_name":"Benjamin Planque","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0557-7410","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0557-7410"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802153510","display_name":"Norwegian Institute of Marine Research","ror":"https://ror.org/05vg74d16","country_code":"NO","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802153510","https://openalex.org/I4210116418","https://openalex.org/I4210149801"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Benjamin Planque","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0557-7410","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057926990","display_name":"Ulf Lindstr\u00f8m","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1824-6749","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1824-6749"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I32021983","display_name":"Christian-Albrechts-Universit\u00e4t zu Kiel","ror":"https://ror.org/04v76ef78","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I32021983"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ulf Lindstr\u00f8m","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1824-6749","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":2810,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2810},"apc_paid":{"value":2810,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2810},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"524","issue":null,"first_page":"111897","last_page":"111897"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10230","display_name":"Marine and fisheries research","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1104","display_name":"Aquatic Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10230","display_name":"Marine and fisheries research","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1104","display_name":"Aquatic Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2604","display_name":"Applied Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10302","display_name":"Fish Ecology and Management Studies","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/goal-modeling","display_name":"goal modeling","score":0.8240000009536743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/food-web-modeling","display_name":"food web modeling","score":0.8220000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fisheries-management","display_name":"fisheries management","score":0.7369999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/marine-mammal-conservation","display_name":"marine mammal conservation","score":0.9559999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mackerel","display_name":"mackerel","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/harvest-control-rules","display_name":"harvest control rules","score":0.7039999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecosystem-based-fisheries-management","display_name":"ecosystem-based fisheries management","score":0.871999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/catch-projections","display_name":"catch projections","score":0.5809999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/norwegian-sea","display_name":"Norwegian Sea","score":0.5600000023841858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/barents-sea","display_name":"Barents Sea","score":0.984000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecosystem-productivity","display_name":"ecosystem productivity","score":0.41600000858306885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change-impacts","display_name":"climate change impacts","score":0.42399999499320984}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C505870484","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180538","display_name":"Fishery","level":1,"score":0.5509999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C514101110","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14373","display_name":"Fishing","level":2,"score":0.5113999843597412},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202041845","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5454893","display_name":"Fisheries management","level":3,"score":0.5016999840736389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C109931610","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1775153","display_name":"Food web","level":3,"score":0.4968000054359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.4867999851703644},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779042980","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5333878","display_name":"Ecosystem-based management","level":3,"score":0.4740000069141388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.42579999566078186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.39160001277923584},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149340888","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q814689","display_name":"Bycatch","level":3,"score":0.38580000400543213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204983608","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2111958","display_name":"Productivity","level":2,"score":0.37599998712539673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C113416529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1916831","display_name":"Marine conservation","level":2,"score":0.37119999527931213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58479451","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16782389","display_name":"Fish stock","level":3,"score":0.3643999993801117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C66204764","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q219416","display_name":"Sustainability","level":2,"score":0.36160001158714294},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776384079","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q382441","display_name":"Marine mammal","level":2,"score":0.35580000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.3402999937534332},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64107356","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q295046","display_name":"Ecosystem model","level":3,"score":0.3345000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775917145","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4680750","display_name":"Adaptive management","level":2,"score":0.33410000801086426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.33239999413490295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151152651","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3304561","display_name":"Marine ecosystem","level":3,"score":0.3206999897956848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.2985999882221222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204323151","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q905424","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","level":2,"score":0.28870001435279846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C63428231","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9043","display_name":"Norwegian","level":2,"score":0.2856000065803528},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118251893","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1045631","display_name":"Management by objectives","level":2,"score":0.27390000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C130094819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5333882","display_name":"Ecosystem management","level":3,"score":0.2680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24061886","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q331828","display_name":"Overfishing","level":3,"score":0.2651999890804291},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780748813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7649683","display_name":"Sustainable management","level":3,"score":0.2639999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C135895429","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1420050","display_name":"Fisheries science","level":4,"score":0.2612999975681305}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S88315673","display_name":"Ecological Modelling","issn_l":"0304-3800","issn":["0304-3800","1872-7026"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Modelling","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.7009845","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7009845","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7009845","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111897","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S88315673","display_name":"Ecological Modelling","issn_l":"0304-3800","issn":["0304-3800","1872-7026"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Modelling","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/14","score":1.0,"display_name":"Life below water"},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15","score":0.4390000104904175,"display_name":"Life on land"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":62,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W204940627","https://openalex.org/W791392570","https://openalex.org/W1861736088","https://openalex.org/W1967920557","https://openalex.org/W1974712730","https://openalex.org/W1985342263","https://openalex.org/W1990540601","https://openalex.org/W2026269078","https://openalex.org/W2032280738","https://openalex.org/W2039765761","https://openalex.org/W2051208206","https://openalex.org/W2066420743","https://openalex.org/W2090794402","https://openalex.org/W2096137096","https://openalex.org/W2116422701","https://openalex.org/W2121520066","https://openalex.org/W2134310196","https://openalex.org/W2140862057","https://openalex.org/W2147807123","https://openalex.org/W2151244793","https://openalex.org/W2156373704","https://openalex.org/W2156695268","https://openalex.org/W2156702212","https://openalex.org/W2171984413","https://openalex.org/W2174461436","https://openalex.org/W2286380963","https://openalex.org/W2514138774","https://openalex.org/W2736108845","https://openalex.org/W2777955696","https://openalex.org/W2787462104","https://openalex.org/W2787627929","https://openalex.org/W2884366927","https://openalex.org/W2947988227","https://openalex.org/W2979468270","https://openalex.org/W2982463305","https://openalex.org/W3014128467","https://openalex.org/W3199651561","https://openalex.org/W4200020436","https://openalex.org/W4252115095","https://openalex.org/W4285494809","https://openalex.org/W4285588029","https://openalex.org/W4285588824","https://openalex.org/W4295706248","https://openalex.org/W4317789893","https://openalex.org/W4319158051","https://openalex.org/W4322488383","https://openalex.org/W4323665190","https://openalex.org/W4361027530","https://openalex.org/W4387295418","https://openalex.org/W4387779972","https://openalex.org/W4393009312","https://openalex.org/W4396796700","https://openalex.org/W4403405789","https://openalex.org/W4407515647","https://openalex.org/W4408342408","https://openalex.org/W4409775658","https://openalex.org/W4412221144","https://openalex.org/W6906605455","https://openalex.org/W6906642980","https://openalex.org/W6925478326","https://openalex.org/W6944182445","https://openalex.org/W6962738421"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7154146142","https://openalex.org/W4403405789","https://openalex.org/W2122974269","https://openalex.org/W7009781065","https://openalex.org/W3196499177","https://openalex.org/W2914416894","https://openalex.org/W2090712114","https://openalex.org/W2090129408","https://openalex.org/W101816091","https://openalex.org/W3195301920"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,17,45,103],"Norwegian":[1],"and":[2,13,26,41,60,89,112,139,168,194,223,226,245],"Barents":[3],"Seas":[4],"are":[5,101,144,177,211],"home":[6],"to":[7,37,51,79,115,137,146,179,191],"large":[8,217],"populations":[9,21,63,176],"of":[10,19,47,151,241],"marine":[11,61,195],"mammals":[12,196],"commercially":[14],"harvested":[15],"fishes.":[16],"abundance":[18],"these":[20],"can":[22,64,127],"be":[23,65],"highly":[24],"variable":[25],"they":[27],"interact":[28],"with":[29,158],"each":[30],"other":[31],"through":[32],"feeding":[33],"interactions,":[34,108],"introducing":[35],"challenges":[36],"meeting":[38],"multiple":[39,54,130,242],"conservation":[40,113,140],"fisheries":[42,248],"objectives":[43,131,244],"simultaneously.":[44,67],"aim":[46],"this":[48,69],"study":[49],"is":[50,189],"assess":[52],"whether":[53],"management":[55,99,125,138,209,243],"targets":[56],"for":[57,237],"fish":[58],"stocks":[59],"mammal":[62,175],"achieved":[66],"For":[68],"purpose,":[70],"we":[71],"use":[72],"a":[73,234],"goaloriented":[74],"food":[75,82,106],"web":[76,83,107],"modelling":[77,232],"framework":[78,236],"sample":[80],"possible":[81],"trajectories":[84],"in":[85,90],"the":[86,91,149,239],"past":[87],"(1988-2022)":[88],"future":[92,118,134],"(2023\u20132045).":[93],"Future":[94],"projections":[95],"assume":[96],"that":[97,123,186,207],"current":[98,198,208],"rules":[100],"maintained.":[102],"model":[104,221],"integrates":[105],"harvest":[109],"control":[110],"rules,":[111],"measures":[114],"explore":[116],"plausible":[117],"system":[119],"trajectories.":[120],"Results":[121],"show":[122,206],"existing":[124],"regimes":[126],"deliver":[128],"on":[129],"concurrently.":[132],"Under":[133],"strict":[135],"adherence":[136],"objectives,":[141],"total":[142],"catches":[143],"projected":[145,228],"remain":[147,180,216],"within":[148],"range":[150],"recent":[152],"decades":[153],"(4\u20136":[154],"Mt":[155],"yr\u207b\u00b9),":[156],"but":[157,200,214],"shifted":[159],"species":[160],"composition,":[161],"such":[162],"as":[163],"increased":[164],"cod":[165],"(Gadus":[166],"morhua),":[167],"reduced":[169],"mackerel":[170],"(Scomber":[171],"scombrus)":[172],"catches.":[173],"Marine":[174],"expected":[178],"stable":[181],"or":[182],"slightly":[183],"increase,":[184],"indicating":[185],"ecosystem":[187,224],"productivity":[188],"sufficient":[190],"support":[192],"fishing":[193],"at":[197],"levels,":[199],"maybe":[201],"not":[202],"higher.":[203],"These":[204],"findings":[205],"approaches":[210],"internally":[212],"consistent,":[213],"there":[215],"uncertainties":[218],"arising":[219],"from":[220],"structure":[222],"variability,":[225],"about":[227],"climate":[229],"impacts.":[230],"Goaloriented":[231],"provides":[233],"practical":[235],"evaluating":[238],"compatibility":[240],"advancing":[246],"ecosystembased":[247],"management.":[249]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-12T12:28:57.059296","created_date":"2026-06-28T00:00:00"}
