{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7159995751","doi":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","title":"Horizon scanning to identify range-shifting forest pests","display_name":"Horizon scanning to identify range-shifting forest pests","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7159995751","doi":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:doi:10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://osf.io/gnsu8","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031060644","display_name":"Deah M. Lieurance","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8176-3146","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8176-3146"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Deah Lieurance","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016658613","display_name":"Annette E. Evans","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6439-4908","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6439-4908"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Evans, Annette E.","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5159944021","display_name":"Julie Lockwood","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lockwood, Julie","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5135066734","display_name":"Cesilia Aguilar","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cesilia Aguilar","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5135091716","display_name":"Sofia M. A. Al-Shayeb","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7138-344X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7138-344X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Al-Shayeb, Sofia M. A.","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5135068886","display_name":"Coleman R. Earnest","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Earnest, Coleman R.","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085843555","display_name":"Laura A. Meyerson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1283-3865","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1283-3865"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Meyerson, Laura A.","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044125591","display_name":"Alanna Richman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2862-8727","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2862-8727"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Richman, Alanna D.","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004553067","display_name":"Amanda Suzzi-Simmons","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7640-0842","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7640-0842"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Suzzi-Simmons, Amanda","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009131350","display_name":"Gabriela C. Nunez-Mir","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nunez-Mir, Gabriela C.","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11691","display_name":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","score":0.6704000234603882,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11691","display_name":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","score":0.6704000234603882,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.2621999979019165,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14378","display_name":"Entomological Studies and Ecology","score":0.038100000470876694,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1105","display_name":"Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/range-shifts","display_name":"range shifts","score":0.671999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"climate change","score":0.7409999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/northward-range-expansion","display_name":"northward range expansion","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/northeastern-united-states","display_name":"northeastern United States","score":0.8489999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rapid-risk-assessment","display_name":"rapid risk assessment","score":0.8510000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-matching","display_name":"climate matching","score":0.7480000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/koppen-geiger-climate-zones","display_name":"K\u00f6ppen-Geiger climate zones","score":0.7919999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pest-spread","display_name":"pest spread","score":0.39800000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forest-pest-management","display_name":"forest pest management","score":0.30300000309944153}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159176650","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43261","display_name":"Horizon","level":2,"score":0.6624000072479248},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204323151","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q905424","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","level":2,"score":0.5109999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4505999982357025},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3765999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165064840","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1321061","display_name":"Matching (statistics)","level":2,"score":0.3749000132083893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.37290000915527344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C28761237","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7805321","display_name":"Time horizon","level":2,"score":0.36070001125335693},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62649853","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199687","display_name":"Remote sensing","level":1,"score":0.33149999380111694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71640776","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16521","display_name":"Taxon","level":2,"score":0.32670000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.30869999527931213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.30720001459121704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C54286561","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q397350","display_name":"Agroforestry","level":1,"score":0.30160000920295715},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776134702","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1360","display_name":"Arthropod","level":2,"score":0.29030001163482666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100970517","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52107","display_name":"Physical geography","level":1,"score":0.26179999113082886},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97137747","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q38112","display_name":"Forestry","level":1,"score":0.2542000114917755}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:doi:10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://osf.io/gnsu8","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:share.osf.io:54610d1d-9b41-4afa-a019-8d29fcdcef80","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://osf.io/gnsu8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401127","display_name":"OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2799848540","host_organization_name":"Center for Open Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799848540"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Project"},{"id":"doi:10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407050956","display_name":"Open Science Framework","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2799848540","host_organization_name":"Center for Open Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799848540"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article-journal"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/gnsu8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407050956","display_name":"Open Science Framework","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2799848540","host_organization_name":"Center for Open Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799848540"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article-journal"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15","display_name":"Life on land","score":0.8518999814987183},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":0.5351999998092651}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7202254884","https://openalex.org/W2178094290","https://openalex.org/W7221530937","https://openalex.org/W4396977777","https://openalex.org/W7125528121","https://openalex.org/W2747007516","https://openalex.org/W2995375896","https://openalex.org/W7119135726","https://openalex.org/W4405839969","https://openalex.org/W4403788695"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Description":[0],"This":[1],"repository":[2],"contains":[3],"the":[4,25,36,66],"underlying":[5],"data,":[6],"climate-matching":[7],"results,":[8],"and":[9,69],"full":[10],"assessments":[11],"for":[12,83],"a":[13,80],"horizon":[14],"scan":[15,34],"of":[16,42,50,54,59,63],"forest":[17],"arthropod":[18],"pests":[19],"projected":[20],"to":[21,77],"expand":[22],"northward":[23],"into":[24],"Northeastern":[26],"United":[27],"States":[28],"under":[29,73],"mid-century":[30],"climate":[31,71],"change.":[32],"The":[33],"adapts":[35],"standard":[37],"rapid":[38],"risk":[39],"assessment":[40],"framework":[41],"Roy":[43],"et":[44],"al.":[45],"(2014)":[46],"by":[47],"replacing":[48,57],"'likelihood":[49,53,58,62],"arrival'":[51],"with":[52,61,79,85],"range":[55],"expansion,'":[56],"establishment'":[60],"spread":[64],"within":[65],"expanded":[67],"range,'":[68],"integrating":[70],"matching":[72],"CMIP6":[74],"SSP585":[75],"projections":[76],"2050,":[78],"K\u00f6ppen-Geiger":[81],"fallback":[82],"taxa":[84],"sparse":[86],"occurrence":[87],"records.":[88]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-01T11:40:01.658920","created_date":"2026-05-04T00:00:00"}
