{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7145734014","doi":null,"title":"A Scenario Analysis on the Energy Demand and Supply Aiming for the 1.5\u2103Climate Target","display_name":"A Scenario Analysis on the Energy Demand and Supply Aiming for the 1.5\u2103Climate Target","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-03-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7145734014"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:irdb.nii.ac.jp:07465:0006137314","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/en/pub/1p5scenario-gjetc/en","pdf_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/system/files/publication_documents/pub/presentation/13458/20240314_GJETC_IGES_upload.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407056385","display_name":"Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I184597095","host_organization_name":"National Institute of Informatics","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I184597095"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"conference output"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/system/files/publication_documents/pub/presentation/13458/20240314_GJETC_IGES_upload.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011630788","display_name":"Yugo Tanaka","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4970-0361","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4970-0361"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210111818","display_name":"Institute for Global Environmental Strategies","ror":"https://ror.org/01sdhz737","country_code":"JP","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210111818"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210121810","display_name":"Institute for Global Environmental Strategies","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgraj16","country_code":"US","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210121810"]}],"countries":["JP","US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Tanaka, Yugo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Research Manager , Kansai Research Center Institute for Global Environmental Strategies"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Manager , Kansai Research Center Institute for Global Environmental Strategies","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210111818","https://openalex.org/I4210121810"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5011630788"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210111818","https://openalex.org/I4210121810"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.49857695,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"not provided","last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11185","display_name":"Integrated Energy Systems Optimization","score":0.57669997215271,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11185","display_name":"Integrated Energy Systems Optimization","score":0.57669997215271,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10471","display_name":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","score":0.3345000147819519,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10435","display_name":"Environmental Impact and Sustainability","score":0.014600000344216824,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy-supply-and-demand","display_name":"energy supply and demand","score":0.765999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scenario-analysis","display_name":"scenario analysis","score":0.7229999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socio-economic-change","display_name":"socio-economic change","score":0.734000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decarbonization-technologies","display_name":"decarbonization technologies","score":0.8130000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/renewable-energy","display_name":"renewable energy","score":0.7850000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/negative-emissions-technologies","display_name":"negative emissions technologies","score":0.8579999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/final-energy-consumption","display_name":"final energy consumption","score":0.7350000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/primary-energy-supply","display_name":"primary energy supply","score":0.906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/input-output-tables","display_name":"input-output tables","score":0.7459999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy-transition-pathways","display_name":"energy transition pathways","score":0.5130000114440918}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18785705","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1931373","display_name":"Scenario analysis","level":2,"score":0.8120999932289124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47737302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q167336","display_name":"Greenhouse gas","level":2,"score":0.6736999750137329},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185798385","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1161707","display_name":"Benchmark (surveying)","level":2,"score":0.6674000024795532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204241405","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q461499","display_name":"Transformation (genetics)","level":3,"score":0.5705000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188573790","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12705","display_name":"Renewable energy","level":2,"score":0.5684000253677368},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134560507","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q753291","display_name":"Environmental economics","level":1,"score":0.5151000022888184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202033279","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1931373","display_name":"Scenario planning","level":2,"score":0.5012999773025513},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186370098","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q442787","display_name":"Energy (signal processing)","level":2,"score":0.49729999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177264268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1514741","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","level":2,"score":0.4756999909877777},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4553000032901764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.45100000500679016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776190866","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1341477","display_name":"Energy supply","level":3,"score":0.4090999960899353},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781341389","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4531977","display_name":"Energy system","level":3,"score":0.40880000591278076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777890234","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q795757","display_name":"Energy transition","level":4,"score":0.37790000438690186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115343472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Global warming","level":3,"score":0.3504999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3319000005722046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.33090001344680786},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.32989999651908875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C131046424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1805337","display_name":"Energy policy","level":3,"score":0.31949999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.311599999666214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2742236","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q924713","display_name":"Efficient energy use","level":2,"score":0.3091000020503998},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780165032","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16869822","display_name":"Energy consumption","level":2,"score":0.3070000112056732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780388633","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7834093","display_name":"Transformation processes","level":2,"score":0.29840001463890076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2983177510","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1853339","display_name":"Energy demand","level":2,"score":0.29739999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.29600000381469727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120441037","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1059714","display_name":"Primary energy","level":3,"score":0.29499998688697815},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C509746633","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q898653","display_name":"Climate change mitigation","level":3,"score":0.29330000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.2930000126361847},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78600449","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43302","display_name":"Wind power","level":2,"score":0.2793000042438507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144822601","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11271324","display_name":"Energy transformation","level":2,"score":0.27090001106262207},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.26829999685287476},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2597000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.25380000472068787}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:irdb.nii.ac.jp:07465:0006137314","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/en/pub/1p5scenario-gjetc/en","pdf_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/system/files/publication_documents/pub/presentation/13458/20240314_GJETC_IGES_upload.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407056385","display_name":"Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I184597095","host_organization_name":"National Institute of Informatics","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I184597095"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"conference output"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:irdb.nii.ac.jp:07465:0006137314","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/en/pub/1p5scenario-gjetc/en","pdf_url":"https://www.iges.or.jp/system/files/publication_documents/pub/presentation/13458/20240314_GJETC_IGES_upload.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407056385","display_name":"Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I184597095","host_organization_name":"National Institute of Informatics","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I184597095"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"conference output"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":1.0},{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.878000020980835},{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","score":0.7207000255584717}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7145734014.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7145734014.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2800190939","https://openalex.org/W7019691793","https://openalex.org/W4200335502","https://openalex.org/W2825477241","https://openalex.org/W3136891889","https://openalex.org/W2071756666","https://openalex.org/W4390604554","https://openalex.org/W3090563508","https://openalex.org/W2915579213","https://openalex.org/W3009348340"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,19],"research":[1],"aims":[2],"to":[3,7,173,179,192,196,203],"develop":[4],"a":[5,136,142,201],"framework":[6,189],"explore":[8],"scenarios":[9],"which":[10,33,91,162],"are":[11,92],"compatible":[12],"with":[13,141],"the":[14,40,60,65,84,104,160,164,181,188,205],"global":[15,206],"1.5\u00b0C":[16,207],"climate":[17],"target.":[18],"entails":[20],"explorations":[21],"of":[22,68,70,87,112,166],"socio-economic":[23,62,88,113,167],"scenarios,":[24],"as":[25,27,74,115,117],"well":[26,116],"technological":[28],"assumptions":[29],"on":[30,59,175],"energy":[31,76,124,127],"systems,":[32],"can":[34],"be":[35],"supported":[36],"by":[37,138,183],"stakeholders":[38],"at":[39],"same":[41],"time":[42],"satisfying":[43],"an":[44],"emission":[45,146,177],"benchmark.":[46],"First,":[47],"we":[48,121,151],"set":[49],"up":[50],"three":[51],"scenarios.":[52],"Tech-driven":[53,154],"Transformation":[54,81,155],"Scenario":[55,82,108,156],"assumes":[56,83,109],"no":[57],"transformation":[58],"current":[61],"structure,":[63],"but":[64],"maximum":[66,85],"level":[67,86,111],"implementation":[69],"decarbonization":[71],"technologies,":[72],"such":[73],"renewable":[75],"or":[77],"imported":[78],"hydrogen.":[79],"Socio-economic":[80],"structure":[89],"changes,":[90],"quantified":[93,122],"through":[94],"developing":[95],"future":[96,100],"input-output":[97],"tables":[98],"and":[99,129],"person-trip":[101],"databases,":[102],"reflecting":[103],"scenario":[105,170],"narratives.":[106],"Balanced":[107],"medium":[110],"change":[114],"technology":[118],"implementation.":[119],"Then,":[120],"final":[123],"consumptions,":[125],"primary":[126],"supplies,":[128],"GHG":[130,145],"emissions":[131],"for":[132,200],"each":[133],"scenario.":[134],"As":[135],"result,":[137],"comparing":[139],"them":[140],"benchmark":[143,182],"(cumulative":[144],"should":[147],"not":[148],"exceed":[149],"14.3GtCO2eq),":[150],"found":[152],"that":[153,187],"cannot":[157],"stay":[158],"under":[159],"benchmark,":[161],"implies":[163],"importance":[165],"change.":[168],"The":[169],"needs":[171],"heavily":[172],"rely":[174],"negative":[176],"technologies":[178],"achieve":[180,204],"2050.":[184],"We":[185],"conclude":[186],"is":[190],"useful":[191],"provide":[193],"policy":[194],"implications":[195],"identify":[197],"possible":[198],"pathways":[199],"nation":[202],"goal.":[208]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-08-25T07:29:55.448023","created_date":"2026-04-01T00:00:00"}