{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7127054196","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","title":"An Interpretable Belief Rule Base with Dynamic Reference Value for Stock Price Trend Forecasting","display_name":"An Interpretable Belief Rule Base with Dynamic Reference Value for Stock Price Trend Forecasting","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-01-31","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7127054196","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","pdf_url":"https://itiis.org/digital-library/manuscript/file/105651/TIIS Vol 20, No 1-6.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S204131793","display_name":"KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems","issn_l":"1976-7277","issn":["1976-7277","2288-1468"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","kci-registered","norway-1","poland-20","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4323966148","host_organization_name":"Korea Society of Internet Information","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4323966148"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Korea Society of Internet Information"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://itiis.org/digital-library/manuscript/file/105651/TIIS Vol 20, No 1-6.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5125035596","display_name":"Huimin Guan","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134052481","display_name":"Harbin Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/0270y6950","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Huimin Guan","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5125002338","display_name":"Kangle Li","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134052481","display_name":"Harbin Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/0270y6950","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kangle Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5107159913","display_name":"Zeyang Si","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9830-4595","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9830-4595"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134052481","display_name":"Harbin Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/0270y6950","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zeyang Si","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100311502","display_name":"Wenxin Xu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-0813-5969","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0008-0813-5969"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134052481","display_name":"Harbin Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/0270y6950","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wenxin Xu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5144343500","display_name":"Cuiping Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-2026-0698","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0009-2026-0698"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134052481","display_name":"Harbin Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/0270y6950","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cuiping Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5125093766","display_name":"Jinsong Han","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4402554171","display_name":"Harbin Finance University","ror":"https://ror.org/04kfz4b98","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4402554171"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jinsong Han","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer and Mathematics , Harbin Finance University , Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer and Mathematics , Harbin Finance University , Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4402554171"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5124988421","display_name":"Hongyu Li","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134052481","display_name":"Harbin Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/0270y6950","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hongyu Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Information Engineering , Harbin Normal University Harbin 150000 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134052481"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"20","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10820","display_name":"Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/belief-rule-base","display_name":"belief rule base","score":0.972000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-interpretability","display_name":"model interpretability","score":0.8220000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rule-based-explanations","display_name":"rule-based explanations","score":0.597000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parameter-optimization","display_name":"parameter optimization","score":0.5170000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-time-series-forecasting","display_name":"financial time series forecasting","score":0.6840000152587891}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.781499981880188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42058472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810214","display_name":"Base (topology)","level":2,"score":0.6225000023841858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204036174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q909380","display_name":"Stock (firearms)","level":2,"score":0.5281000137329102},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988984586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1020013","display_name":"Stock price","level":3,"score":0.5138999819755554},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.5031999945640564},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.41920000314712524},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3118000030517578},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3109000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4554734","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q593744","display_name":"Knowledge base","level":2,"score":0.3068999946117401},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2648000121116638}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","pdf_url":"https://itiis.org/digital-library/manuscript/file/105651/TIIS Vol 20, No 1-6.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S204131793","display_name":"KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems","issn_l":"1976-7277","issn":["1976-7277","2288-1468"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","kci-registered","norway-1","poland-20","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4323966148","host_organization_name":"Korea Society of Internet Information","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4323966148"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Korea Society of Internet Information"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3837/tiis.2026.01.006","pdf_url":"https://itiis.org/digital-library/manuscript/file/105651/TIIS Vol 20, No 1-6.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S204131793","display_name":"KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems","issn_l":"1976-7277","issn":["1976-7277","2288-1468"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","kci-registered","norway-1","poland-20","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4323966148","host_organization_name":"Korea Society of Internet Information","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4323966148"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Korea Society of Internet Information"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8105410331","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"PL2024G009","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320323085","funder_display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320323085","display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7127054196.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7127054196.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4414247080","https://openalex.org/W4378188563","https://openalex.org/W7134960343","https://openalex.org/W3138333824","https://openalex.org/W4409762055","https://openalex.org/W4298148503","https://openalex.org/W2751263409","https://openalex.org/W4387035674","https://openalex.org/W4416232548","https://openalex.org/W4411584153"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Accurately":[0],"predicting":[1],"stock":[2,58,127],"price":[3,59],"trends":[4,81],"is":[5,68,123],"crucial":[6],"for":[7,56,153,170],"the":[8,12,17,85,88,101,113,119,137,171,178],"decision-making":[9],"process":[10],"in":[11,100,130],"field":[13,172],"of":[14,22,87,94,112,121,173,186],"financial":[15,23,174],"intelligence.However,":[16],"non-stationarity":[18],"and":[19,39,82,109,116,161,176],"high":[20],"volatility":[21],"data":[24,129],"make":[25],"its":[26,154],"prediction":[27,37,189],"a":[28,62,92,131,167,183],"key":[29],"challenge.The":[30],"existing":[31],"models":[32],"generally":[33],"struggle":[34],"to":[35,70,73,105,180,182],"balance":[36],"accuracy":[38],"model":[40,110,114,138],"interpretability.Therefore,":[41],"this":[42],"study":[43,156],"proposes":[44,157],"an":[45,158],"interpretable":[46],"belief":[47,89],"rule":[48,90],"base":[49],"with":[50],"dynamic":[51,65],"reference":[52,63],"value":[53,64],"(I-BRB-DR)":[54],"framework":[55],"intelligent":[57],"trend":[60],"forecasting.Firstly,":[61],"adjustment":[66],"mechanism":[67],"designed":[69],"ensure":[71,106],"adaptability":[72],"sudden":[74],"market":[75,80,128,145],"changes":[76],"by":[77],"analyzing":[78],"real-time":[79],"autonomously":[83],"updating":[84],"threshold":[86],"base.Secondly,":[91],"set":[93],"interpretability":[95,111],"constraint":[96],"strategies":[97],"are":[98],"introduced":[99],"parameter":[102],"optimization":[103],"procedure":[104],"logical":[107],"consistency":[108],"before":[115],"after":[117],"optimization.Finally,":[118],"efficacy":[120],"I-BRB-DR":[122],"validated":[124],"using":[125],"historical":[126],"case":[132],"study.The":[133],"results":[134],"indicate":[135],"that":[136],"can":[139],"not":[140],"only":[141],"accurately":[142],"capture":[143],"complex":[144],"patterns,":[146],"but":[147],"also":[148],"provide":[149],"clear":[150],"rule-based":[151],"explanations":[152],"forecasts.This":[155],"efficient,":[159],"interpretable,":[160],"adaptable":[162],"forecast":[163],"model,":[164],"which":[165],"provides":[166],"powerful":[168],"tool":[169],"intelligence":[175],"has":[177],"potential":[179],"expand":[181],"wider":[184],"range":[185],"time":[187],"series":[188],"tasks.":[190]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-28T10:33:24.094632","created_date":"2026-02-03T00:00:00"}