{"id":"https://openalex.org/W64371685","doi":null,"title":"Elevational Range Shifts Driven by Climate Change in Tropical Mountains: Assessment and Conservation Opportunities","display_name":"Elevational Range Shifts Driven by Climate Change in Tropical Mountains: Assessment and Conservation Opportunities","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W64371685","mag":"64371685"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:dukespace.lib.duke.edu:10161/5598","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10161/5598","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400687","display_name":"DukeSpace (Duke University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I170897317","host_organization_name":"Duke University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170897317"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Dissertation"},"volume":null,"type":"dissertation","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076952849","display_name":"Germ\u00e1n Forero\u2010Medina","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9952-7221","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9952-7221"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"German Forero Medina","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5076952849"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9731000065803528,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9731000065803528,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10005","display_name":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","score":0.009800000116229057,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10319","display_name":"Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management","score":0.002899999963119626,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/altitudinal-range-shift","display_name":"altitudinal range shift","score":0.9660000205039978},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"climate change","score":0.9259999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-mountains","display_name":"tropical mountains","score":0.9279999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/species-distribution","display_name":"species distribution","score":0.5220000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conservation","display_name":"conservation","score":0.3499999940395355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mountain-biodiversity","display_name":"mountain biodiversity","score":0.5019999742507935}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.7304316759109497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204323151","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q905424","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","level":2,"score":0.6089701652526855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.5653144121170044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.5635775923728943},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3853669762611389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.3551482558250427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100970517","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52107","display_name":"Physical geography","level":1,"score":0.32978618144989014},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.25888949632644653},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.1834525465965271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.11220607161521912},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.09497979283332825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146978453","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3798668","display_name":"Aerospace engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:dukespace.lib.duke.edu:10161/5598","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10161/5598","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400687","display_name":"DukeSpace (Duke University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I170897317","host_organization_name":"Duke University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170897317"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Dissertation"},{"id":"mag:64371685","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/bitstream/10161/5598/1/ForeoMedina_duke_0066D_11427.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Life on land","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15","score":0.9599999785423279},{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.5351999998092651}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3163151095","https://openalex.org/W6903610860","https://openalex.org/W6966795804","https://openalex.org/W2985790332","https://openalex.org/W7095375364","https://openalex.org/W632340422","https://openalex.org/W3035049885","https://openalex.org/W7017554513","https://openalex.org/W3206881528","https://openalex.org/W2736630063"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Global":[0],"climate":[1,31,95,232,392,420,483,494,620,630,658],"change":[2,484,495],"can":[3,485],"cause":[4,22],"shifts":[5,112,168,228,252,263,552],"in":[6,11,40,46,113,223,229,284,369,388,406,480,496,505,510,547,553,593,632,666,674],"species":[7,61,93,137,154,176,222,341,365,382,405,431,454,491,524,672,701],"distributions,":[8],"and":[9,17,78,116,172,177,179,202,214,246,298,345,351,383,443,470,571,604,644],"increases":[10],"some":[12,566],"of":[13,81,92,109,129,153,160,190,221,226,239,260,358,391,397,400,402,425,428,448,452,490,502,518,580,596,601,606,616,625,651,671,688,719],"their":[14,23,117,181,300,712],"competitors,":[15],"predators,":[16],"diseases":[18],"that":[19,75,136,162,385,436,463],"might":[20],"even":[21],"extinction.":[24],"Species":[25],"may":[26,62,97,562,587],"respond":[27],"to":[28,34,64,66,73,142,194,231,250,306,316,416,434,440,461,467,477,482,568,574,590,656],"a":[29,224,243,275,281,314,526],"warming":[30,317,546],"by":[32,183,198,254,493,680,685],"moving":[33,141,311],"higher":[35,67,143,478],"latitudes":[36],"or":[37,459,599,704],"elevations.":[38,68],"Shifts":[39],"geographic":[41],"ranges":[42,220,302,350,368,715],"are":[43,55,70,386,438,465],"common":[44],"responses":[45],"temperate":[47],"regions.":[48],"For":[49],"the":[50,57,82,89,106,114,127,150,158,184,207,218,248,258,289,322,329,340,343,349,356,370,389,398,407,426,449,488,500,506,540,548,594,597,633,639,645,675,686,700,717],"tropics,":[51],"latitudinal":[52],"temperature":[53,212,569],"gradients":[54,213],"shallow:":[56],"only":[58],"escape":[59],"for":[60,99,126,277,362,521,614],"be":[63,98,588],"move":[65,575],"There":[69],"few":[71],"data":[72,216,266,273],"suggest":[74],"they":[76,292,309],"do,":[77],"our":[79],"understanding":[80],"process":[83,108,128],"is":[84,193,267,414,532,636,677,696],"still":[85],"very":[86],"limited.":[87],"Yet,":[88],"greatest":[90],"loss":[91,673],"from":[94,165,217,324,333,545,619,629,716],"disruption":[96,631],"tropical":[100,244,408,497],"montane":[101],"species.":[102],"To":[103],"better":[104],"understand":[105],"potential":[107,134,330],"elevational":[110,166,261,301,334],"range":[111,130,167,227,251,262,335,399,427,451,551],"tropics":[115],"implications":[118,613],"we":[119,710],"have":[120],"to:":[121],"1)":[122],"Build":[123],"theoretical":[124],"models":[125],"shifting,":[131],"2)":[132],"Evaluate":[133],"constraints":[135,249,473],"could":[138,163],"face":[139,390],"while":[140],"elevations,":[144],"3)":[145],"Obtain":[146],"empirical":[147,204,265],"evidence":[148],"confirming":[149],"uphill":[151,312],"shift":[152,433,460,517,531],"ranges,":[155],"4)":[156],"Determine":[157],"number":[159,489,624,641,647],"extinctions":[161,331,361,618,628,661,683],"arise":[164],"(mountain":[169],"top":[170,360,627],"extinctions)":[171],"5)":[173],"Identify":[174],"vulnerable":[175,387],"areas,":[178],"determine":[180],"representation":[182],"Protected":[185],"Areas":[186],"Network.":[187],"The":[188,472,550,622,669],"purpose":[189],"this":[191,325,610,667],"dissertation":[192],"address":[195],"these":[196,660],"issues,":[197],"applying":[199],"novel":[200],"methods":[201],"collecting":[203],"evidence.":[205],"In":[206,499],"second":[208],"chapter":[209],"I":[210,234,279,327,354,373,512],"incorporated":[211],"land-cover":[215],"current":[219,450],"model":[225],"response":[230,315,481],"change.":[233,393,621],"tested":[235],"4":[236],"possible":[237],"scenarios":[238],"amphibian":[240,404,430],"movement":[241],"on":[242,321,339,474,584,707],"mountain":[245,359,626],"estimated":[247,328,623],"imposed":[253],"each":[255],"scenario.":[256],"Confirming":[257],"occurrence":[259],"with":[264,366,565],"also":[268,374,536],"essential,":[269],"but":[270,535],"requires":[271],"historical":[272,282],"as":[274,313,419],"baseline":[276],"comparison.":[278],"repeated":[280],"transect":[283],"Peru,":[285,511],"sampling":[286,304],"birds":[287,564,586],"at":[288],"same":[290],"locations":[291],"were":[293,310,555],"sampled":[294],"40":[295],"years":[296],"ago,":[297],"compared":[299],"between":[303],"occasions":[305],"evaluate":[307],"if":[308],"temperatures.":[318],"Finally,":[319],"based":[320],"results":[323],"comparison,":[326],"derived":[332],"shifts,":[336],"using":[337],"information":[338],"distribution,":[342],"topography":[344],"land":[346,653],"cover":[347],"within":[348],"surrounding":[352],"areas.":[353],"evaluated":[355],"extent":[357,670],"172":[363],"bird":[364,503,523],"restricted":[367],"northern":[371,634],"Andes.":[372],"considered":[375],"how":[376,708],"Colombia's":[377],"protected":[378],"Area":[379],"Network":[380],"represents":[381],"sites":[384],"More":[394,422],"than":[395,423,539,577,649],"30%":[396,424],"21":[401],"46":[403],"Sierra":[409],"Nevada":[410],"de":[411],"Santa":[412],"Marta":[413],"likely":[415,664],"become":[417,456],"isolated":[418,458],"changes.":[421],"13":[429],"would":[432,455],"areas":[435,462],"currently":[437,464],"unlikely":[439,466],"sustain":[441],"survival":[442,469],"reproduction.":[444,471],"Combined,":[445],"over":[446,525],"70%":[447],"7":[453],"thermally":[457],"support":[468],"species'":[475],"movements":[476],"elevations":[479],"increase":[486],"considerably":[487],"threatened":[492],"mountains.":[498],"comparison":[501],"distributions":[504],"Cerrros":[507],"del":[508],"Sira,":[509],"found":[513],"an":[514],"average":[515],"upward":[516],"49":[519],"m":[520,542],"55":[522],"41":[527],"year":[528],"interval.":[529],"This":[530],"significantly":[533,537],"upward,":[534],"smaller":[538],"152":[541],"one":[543],"expects":[544],"region.":[549],"elevation":[554],"similar":[556],"across":[557],"different":[558],"trophic":[559],"guilds.":[560],"Endothermy":[561],"provide":[563],"flexibility":[567],"changes":[570,592],"allow":[572],"them":[573],"less":[576],"expected.":[578],"Instead":[579],"being":[581],"directly":[582],"dependent":[583],"temperature,":[585],"responding":[589],"gradual":[591],"nature":[595],"habitat":[598],"availability":[600],"food":[602],"resources,":[603],"presence":[605],"competitors.":[607],"If":[608],"so,":[609],"has":[611],"important":[612],"estimates":[615],"mountaintop":[617,682],"Andes":[635,676],"low,":[637],"both":[638],"absolute":[640,681],"(5":[642],"species)":[643],"relative":[646],"(less":[648],"0.5%":[650],"Colombian":[652],"birds).":[654],"According":[655],"future":[657],"predictions":[659],"will":[662,702],"not":[663,678,705],"occur":[665],"century.":[668],"predicted":[679],"modeled":[684],"kind":[687],"processes":[689],"most":[690],"other":[691,720],"studies":[692],"use.":[693],"Rather,":[694],"it":[695],"highly":[697],"contingent":[698],"--":[699],"survive":[703],"depending":[706],"well":[709],"protect":[711],"much":[713],"reduced":[714],"variety":[718],"threats.":[721]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-05T12:25:35.769452","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
