{"id":"https://openalex.org/W641389896","doi":null,"title":"Probabilistic Mass Growth Uncertainties","display_name":"Probabilistic Mass Growth Uncertainties","publication_year":2013,"publication_date":"2013-06-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W641389896","mag":"641389896"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:casi.ntrs.nasa.gov:20130013736","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","pdf_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196257","display_name":"NASA STI Repository (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210124779","host_organization_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210124779"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"CASI","raw_type":"HQ-STI-13-050"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072427987","display_name":"E.S. Plumer","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210124779","display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/027ka1x80","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210124779"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Eric Plumer","raw_affiliation_strings":["NASA Headquarters; Washington DC United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"NASA Headquarters; Washington DC United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210124779"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062622041","display_name":"Darren Elliott","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210155169","display_name":"Tecolote Research (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/05bt80j81","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210155169"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Darren Elliott","raw_affiliation_strings":["Tecolote Research, Inc. Santa Barbara, CA, United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Tecolote Research, Inc. Santa Barbara, CA, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210155169"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.08032698,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12449","display_name":"Spacecraft Design and Technology","score":0.4661000072956085,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12449","display_name":"Spacecraft Design and Technology","score":0.4661000072956085,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14306","display_name":"Technology Assessment and Management","score":0.2053000032901764,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12000","display_name":"Systems Engineering Methodologies and Applications","score":0.08009999990463257,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2207","display_name":"Control and Systems Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cost-estimating-relationships","display_name":"cost estimating relationships","score":0.7770000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/space-systems","display_name":"space systems","score":0.8420000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cost-risk","display_name":"cost risk","score":0.625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/deep-space-missions","display_name":"deep space missions","score":1.0}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29829512","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q40218","display_name":"Spacecraft","level":2,"score":0.6521695852279663},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781384022","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1172383","display_name":"Datasheet","level":2,"score":0.5575737953186035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.5122038722038269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4962490200996399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.4623291492462158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.433788925409317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41458344","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q732577","display_name":"Publication","level":2,"score":0.41347020864486694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.3643175959587097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.3551768660545349},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146978453","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3798668","display_name":"Aerospace engineering","level":1,"score":0.2614384591579437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111368507","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43518","display_name":"Oceanography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112698675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37038","display_name":"Advertising","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:casi.ntrs.nasa.gov:20130013736","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","pdf_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196257","display_name":"NASA STI Repository (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210124779","host_organization_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210124779"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"CASI","raw_type":"HQ-STI-13-050"},{"id":"mag:641389896","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20130013736/downloads/20130013736.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402118","display_name":"NASA Technical Reports Server (NASA)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210124779","host_organization_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210124779"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:casi.ntrs.nasa.gov:20130013736","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","pdf_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20130013736","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196257","display_name":"NASA STI Repository (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210124779","host_organization_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210124779"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"CASI","raw_type":"HQ-STI-13-050"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W641389896.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W641389896.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2102902810","https://openalex.org/W1992970838","https://openalex.org/W2900450964","https://openalex.org/W775522452","https://openalex.org/W4376606160","https://openalex.org/W91894213","https://openalex.org/W2072938564","https://openalex.org/W2977195861","https://openalex.org/W2479071108","https://openalex.org/W2258255729"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Mass":[0],"has":[1],"been":[2],"widely":[3],"used":[4],"as":[5,100,102,157],"a":[6,43,79,116,136],"variable":[7],"input":[8,45],"parameter":[9],"for":[10,15,88,104],"Cost":[11,174],"Estimating":[12],"Relationships":[13],"(CER)":[14],"space":[16,20,98,110],"systems.":[17],"As":[18],"these":[19],"systems":[21],"progress":[22],"from":[23,171],"early":[24],"concept":[25],"studies":[26],"and":[27,51,58,64,108],"drawing":[28],"boards":[29],"to":[30,37,46,83],"the":[31,76,124,172],"launch":[32],"pad,":[33],"their":[34],"masses":[35,96],"tend":[36],"grow":[38],"substantially,":[39],"hence":[40],"adversely":[41],"affecting":[42],"primary":[44],"most":[47],"modeling":[48,70],"CERs.":[49],"Modeling":[50],"predicting":[52],"mass":[53,85,154,158],"uncertainty,":[54],"based":[55,166],"on":[56,142,167],"historical":[57,168],"analogous":[59],"data,":[60],"is":[61,65,165],"therefore":[62],"critical":[63],"an":[66,143],"integral":[67],"part":[68],"of":[69,78,95,97,115,128,138],"cost":[71,139],"risk.":[72],"This":[73,119,146,162],"paper":[74,120,147],"presents":[75],"results":[77,150],"NASA":[80,129,173],"on-going":[81],"effort":[82],"publish":[84],"growth":[86,155],"datasheet":[87],"adjusting":[89],"single-point":[90],"Technical":[91],"Baseline":[92],"Estimates":[93],"(TBE)":[94],"instruments":[99],"well":[101],"spacecraft,":[103],"both":[105],"earth":[106],"orbiting":[107],"deep":[109],"missions":[111],"at":[112],"various":[113],"stages":[114],"project's":[117],"lifecycle.":[118],"will":[121],"also":[122],"discusses":[123],"long":[125],"term":[126],"strategy":[127],"Headquarters":[130],"in":[131],"publishing":[132],"similar":[133],"results,":[134],"using":[135],"variety":[137],"driving":[140],"metrics,":[141],"annual":[144],"basis.":[145],"provides":[148],"quantitative":[149],"that":[151],"show":[152],"decreasing":[153],"uncertainties":[156],"estimate":[159],"maturity":[160],"increases.":[161],"paper's":[163],"analysis":[164],"data":[169],"obtained":[170],"Analysis":[175],"Data":[176],"Requirements":[177],"(CADRe)":[178],"database.":[179]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-01T11:40:01.658920","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
